Stock Analysis
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) Stock Analysis
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) currently has an AIQ Score of 60/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 85/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 45/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
MPC at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $467.98 |
| AIQ Score | 60/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Buy |
| Market Cap | $111.81B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 13.18 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $17.68 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $51.99B |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 1.04% |
| Beta | 0.51 |
| Volume | 2.21M |
| 52-week range | $161.93-$493.98 |
| RSI 14 | 72.66 |
| 50-Day SMA | $405.06 |
| 200-Day SMA | $280.92 |
| Analyst Price Target | $371.00 |
| Next Earnings | Nov 3, 2026 |
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Relative Leader / Watch
Strong Relative Position
Latest quote
- Momentum85
- Value59
- Quality48
- Risk resilience45
- Sentiment71
MPC Stock Analysis Summary
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) currently has an AIQ Score of 60/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 85/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 45/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, MPC has AIQ Score of 60/100 with Momentum base of 85/100 and fading Risk resilience at 45/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Momentum (85/100) leads while Risk resilience (45/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Energy · -1.49% stock move · MPC classified in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is MPC Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
MPC currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 85/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 45/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Momentum is constructive at 85/100.
- - Price is +15.53% above its 50-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (33 vs 7).
- - Analyst target implies -20.72% downside from the latest quote.
Current Consensus
MPC's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 33 buy, 5 neutral, and 7 sell votes. MPC's 14-day RSI is 72.66, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. MPC's beta is 0.51, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in MPC?
The largest recent change in MPC is Risk Resilience moving up by 2.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the MPC Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
MPC Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Marathon Petroleum Corporation.
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) Stock Analysis
Marathon Petroleum Corporation has an AIQ Score of 60/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 85/100. Beta is 0.54, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | MPC is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 60/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that momentum leads at 85/100 while risk lags at 45/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 85/100 · Value 59/100 · Quality 48/100 · Risk 45/100 · Sentiment 71/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Momentum is the strongest factor at 85/100.
Momentum is 85/100 and RSI (14) is 72.7.
MPC is in a Neutral regime at 60/100.
Risk factor is 45/100 with beta 0.54 and annual volatility 35.86%.
Current conflict: momentum leads at 85/100 while risk lags at 45/100.
MPC Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
MPC Fundamentals
MPC valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
MPC Technical Analysis
MPC technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
MPC Stock Catalysts
Track MPC earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
MPC Dividend Analysis
MPC dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
MPC Financial Data
MPC revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
MPC Risk Analysis
MPC volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
MPC Stock News
MPC stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
MPC vs Refiners & Oilfield Services Peers
Current peer cohort: MPC · PSX · PTEN · RIG · SLB. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPC Current stock | 60/100 | 59/100 | 85/100 | 45/100 | 2.65 | 35.86% | Current |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 59/100 | 54/100 | 80/100 | 56/100 | 2.57 | 31.71% | MPC vs PSX |
| PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy | 48/100 | 61/100 | 54/100 | 51/100 | 1.56 | 51.43% | MPC vs PTEN |
| RIG Transocean | 54/100 | 37/100 | 79/100 | 49/100 | 1.37 | 51.15% | MPC vs RIG |
| SLB Schlumberger | 46/100 | 38/100 | 54/100 | 59/100 | 1.25 | 36.31% | MPC vs SLB |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 22, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching MPC
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for MPC
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
MPC Stock FAQ
What is MPC stock price today?
Marathon Petroleum Corporation's current stock price is $467.98. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is MPC bullish or bearish right now?
MPC's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is MPC's market cap?
MPC's market cap is $111.81B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is MPC's current P/E ratio?
MPC's current P/E ratio is 13.18 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is MPC's RSI?
MPC's 14-day RSI is 72.66 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is MPC above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
MPC is 15.53% from its 50-day SMA and 66.59% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is MPC's next earnings date?
MPC's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 3, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does MPC pay a dividend?
MPC's dividend yield is 1.04% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.