MSCI vs TYL Stock Comparison
Compare MSCI and TYL across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between MSCI and TYL?
TYL leads the current stock comparison as Tyler Technologies, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
MSCI Inc. vs Tyler Technologies, Inc.
TYL leads
TYL leads by 7 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, but the lead has narrowed from 16 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors MSCI on target upside.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support TYL, and its lead is narrowing.
MSCI Inc.
Tyler Technologies, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TYL over MSCI, 47 versus 40 as of Sep 11, 2026. TYL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while MSCI holds the stronger quality profile. TYL also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors MSCI. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TYL today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. TYL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 7 points over 30 sessions.
Compare MSCI Inc. and Tyler Technologies, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare MSCI and TYL against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value24 vs 49TYL +25
- Momentum28 vs 36TYL +8
- Quality60 vs 53MSCI +7
- Risk Resilience53 vs 50Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor TYL. TYL’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; MSCI keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -7
New signals
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -9
No new signals fired.
TYL's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MSCI and TYL both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TYL (Tyler Technologies, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
MSCI (MSCI Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TYLTYL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TYLTYL on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TYLTYL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 25 points.
Momentum
TYLTYL on the Momentum factor, by 8 points.
Lower downside
MSCIMSCI carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
MSCIMSCI on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors TYL, analyst targets favor MSCI. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | MSCI | TYL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +27.1% | +21.6% | MSCI has more room |
| Target dispersion | +20.6% | +28.1% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 8 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TYL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TYL | 40 vs 47 |
| Fundamentals | TYLon balance | revenue growth 1.9% vs 5.1%; EPS growth -15.2% vs 18.4%; TTM ROE -54.1% vs 9.3%; gross margin 83% vs 46.6%; operating margin 55.7% vs 15.1% — TYL takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TYL | Value 24 vs 49 |
| Technicals | TYL | Price vs 50-day -4.1% vs 2.6%; vs 200-day -4.4% vs -5.7% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 53 vs 50 |
| Analyst expectations | MSCI | Target upside 27.1% vs 21.6% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MSCI and TYL and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 7 points.
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TYL.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10TYL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 7 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- TYL +7
- 40 vs 47
- 7 sessions ago
- TYL +12
- 49 vs 61
- 30 sessions ago
- TYL +16
- 42 vs 58
- 90 sessions ago
- TYL +12
- 50 vs 62
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Jun 11 when TYL moved ahead of MSCI.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (0.90%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (8.37%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.19%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
MSCI is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.28%, AIQ -2 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.35%, AIQ -2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MSCI closes the Value gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to TYL's edge.
- 2MSCI's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3TYL starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 9 points over 30 sessions, and a further 7-point move would eliminate TYL's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TYL leads on balance| Metric | MSCI | TYL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 1.9% | 5.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -15.2% | 18.4% |
| Gross margin | 83% | 46.6% |
| Operating margin | 55.7% | 15.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -54.1% | 9.3% |
| Debt to equity | -2.43 | 0.48 |
Performance
MSCI leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | MSCI | TYL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2.3% | -10.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2.7% | 5.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -10% | 10.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 0.1% | -3.7% |
| Year to date | -4.6% | -26.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -4.5% | -40.7% |
Technicals
TYL has the stronger structure| Metric | MSCI | TYL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 37.5 | 43.7 |
| ADX (14) | 12.5 | 28.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | -4.1% | 2.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -4.4% | -5.7% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 26% | 41.9% |
Risk
Split| Metric | MSCI | TYL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.4 | 0.09 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.1 | -1.13 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.13 | -1.46 |
| Max drawdown | -18.1% | -50.7% |
| Current drawdown | -14.9% | -39.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 30.7% | 41.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.6% | -4.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MSCI or TYL?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TYL is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 47 against MSCI's 40. The edge comes from value and momentum. MSCI is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MSCI or TYL the better buy right now?
TYL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TYL over MSCI?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TYL leads Value by 25 points; TYL leads Momentum by 8 points; MSCI leads Quality by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MSCI or TYL?
Analyst price targets imply +27.1% upside for MSCI and +21.6% for TYL, so the Street currently favors MSCI. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors TYL. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MSCI or TYL?
TYL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TYL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 25 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MSCI or TYL?
TYL on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MSCI or TYL?
TYL on the Momentum factor, by 8 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MSCI or TYL?
MSCI is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MSCI carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MSCI more profitable than TYL?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 83% vs 46.6%; operating margin 55.7% vs 15.1%; ttm roe -54.1% vs 9.3%. MSCI leads on two measures and TYL on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is TYL's lead over MSCI getting stronger or weaker?
TYL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 16 to 7 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-06-11, when TYL moved ahead of MSCI.
What would change the MSCI vs TYL verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MSCI closes the Value gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to TYL's edge; MSCI's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; TYL starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 9 points over 30 sessions, and a further 7-point move would eliminate TYL's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about MSCI and TYL?
MSCI: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. TYL: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MSCI is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TYL it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare MSCI and TYL with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.