MTCH vs PUBM Stock Comparison
Compare MTCH and PUBM across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between MTCH and PUBM?
MTCH and PUBM are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Match Group, Inc. vs PubMatic, Inc.
MTCH and PUBM are effectively level
MTCH and PUBM are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Match Group, Inc.
PubMatic, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate MTCH and PUBM as of Sep 11, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare Match Group, Inc. and PubMatic, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare MTCH and PUBM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value50 vs 63PUBM +13
- Momentum69 vs 59MTCH +10
- Quality60 vs 56MTCH +4
- Risk Resilience47 vs 46Even
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -2
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
No new signals fired.
MTCH's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MTCH and PUBM both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
PUBMPUBM on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
PUBMPUBM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 13 points.
Momentum
MTCHMTCH on the Momentum factor, by 10 points.
Lower downside
MTCHMTCH carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
PUBMPUBM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | MTCH | PUBM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -2.8% | +17.5% | PUBM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +34% | +51.6% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 8 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 57 vs 57 |
| Fundamentals | MTCHon balance | revenue growth -1.3% vs 25.6%; EPS growth 5.8% vs 88.9%; TTM ROE -3% vs -5.4%; gross margin 74.8% vs 64.4%; operating margin 28.2% vs -4.9% — MTCH takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | PUBM | Value 50 vs 63 |
| Technicals | PUBM | Price vs 50-day 7.5% vs 10.3%; vs 200-day 20.1% vs 54.3% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 47 vs 46 |
| Analyst expectations | PUBM | Target upside -2.8% vs 17.5% |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10PUBM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 5 to 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 57 vs 57
- 7 sessions ago
- MTCH +4
- 60 vs 56
- 30 sessions ago
- PUBM +5
- 56 vs 61
- 90 sessions ago
- PUBM +2
- 60 vs 62
The lead changed hands 6 times in this window, most recently on Aug 27 when MTCH moved ahead of PUBM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (13.25%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (42.17%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.36%, AIQ -1 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.6%, AIQ +1 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MTCH leads on balance| Metric | MTCH | PUBM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -1.3% | 25.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 5.8% | 88.9% |
| Gross margin | 74.8% | 64.4% |
| Operating margin | 28.2% | -4.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -3% | -5.4% |
| Debt to equity | -14.98 | 0.17 |
Performance
PUBM leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | MTCH | PUBM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -1.5% | -6.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 14.3% | -5.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 21.7% | 45.2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 36.7% | 92.8% |
| Year to date | 29.5% | 83% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 7.9% | 89.8% |
Technicals
PUBM has the stronger structure| Metric | MTCH | PUBM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 59.4 | 48 |
| ADX (14) | 19.1 | 24.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | 7.5% | 10.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | 20.1% | 54.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 28.4% | 37.1% |
Risk
Split| Metric | MTCH | PUBM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.9 | 1.35 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.32 | 1.17 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.47 | 2.63 |
| Max drawdown | -25.1% | -42.8% |
| Current drawdown | -1.5% | -8.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 32.1% | 72.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.1% | -4.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, MTCH or PUBM?
Analyst price targets imply -2.8% upside for MTCH and +17.5% for PUBM, so the Street currently favors PUBM. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MTCH or PUBM?
PUBM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. PUBM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 13 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MTCH or PUBM?
PUBM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MTCH or PUBM?
MTCH on the Momentum factor, by 10 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MTCH or PUBM?
MTCH is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MTCH carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MTCH more profitable than PUBM?
MTCH leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 74.8% vs 64.4%; operating margin 28.2% vs -4.9%; ttm roe -3% vs -5.4%.
What do the current signals say about MTCH and PUBM?
MTCH: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. PUBM: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MTCH is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On PUBM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare MTCH and PUBM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.