MTSI vs OLED Stock Comparison
OLED currently leads MTSI in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 64 vs 39. The clearest difference is momentum.
What is the main difference between MTSI and OLED?
OLED leads the current stock comparison as Universal Display Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. vs Universal Display Corporation
OLED leads
OLED leads by 25 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, and the lead has widened from 4 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors MTSI on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support OLED, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
Universal Display Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors OLED over MTSI, 64 versus 39 as of Oct 21, 2026. OLED's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value. OLED also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors MTSI. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OLED today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. OLED lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 25 points over 30 sessions.
Compare MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. and Universal Display Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare MTSI and OLED against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum20 vs 67OLED +47
- Value25 vs 60OLED +35
- Risk Resilience41 vs 56OLED +15
- Quality69 vs 71Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor OLED. OLED’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +16
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
OLED's lead widened by 5 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MTSI and OLED both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
OLED (Universal Display Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
MTSI (MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.): the counter-case, on fundamentals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 66.9% against 45.8%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
OLEDOLED on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
MTSIMTSI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
OLEDOLED on the peer-relative Value factor, by 35 points.
Momentum
OLEDOLED on the Momentum factor, by 47 points.
Lower downside
OLEDOLED on Risk Resilience, by 15 points.
Analyst upside
MTSIMTSI on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors OLED, analyst targets favor MTSI. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | MTSI | OLED | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +48.8% | +42.6% | MTSI has more room |
| Target dispersion | +43.1% | +65.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 4 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OLED. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | OLED | 39 vs 64 |
| Fundamentals | MTSIon balance | revenue growth 18.4% vs 7%; EPS growth 112.9% vs 39.5%; TTM ROE 17.1% vs 11.4%; gross margin 56.6% vs 75.3%; operating margin 18.1% vs 34.1% — MTSI takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | OLED | Value 25 vs 60 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day -3.8% vs 3.5%; vs 200-day -6.4% vs -12.1% |
| Risk Resilience | OLED | Risk Resilience 41 vs 56 |
| Analyst expectations | MTSI | Target upside 48.8% vs 42.6% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MTSI and OLED and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 25 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on OLED.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20OLED lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 25 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- OLED +25
- 39 vs 64
- 7 sessions ago
- OLED +18
- 41 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- OLED +4
- 52 vs 56
- 90 sessions ago
- OLED +5
- 58 vs 63
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Oct 12 when OLED moved ahead of MTSI.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only MTSI
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (1.05%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only OLED
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (15.32%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode.
OLED leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +3.85%, AIQ -1 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +2.14%, AIQ +4 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MTSI closes the Momentum gap — currently 47 points behind, the largest single contributor to OLED's edge.
- 2MTSI's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3OLED's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MTSI leads on balance| Metric | MTSI | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 18.4% | 7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 112.9% | 39.5% |
| Gross margin | 56.6% | 75.3% |
| Operating margin | 18.1% | 34.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 17.1% | 11.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.24 | 0.01 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | MTSI | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -14.8% | 8.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -6% | 5.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -7% | 0.6% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -5.3% | -17.1% |
| Year to date | 53.5% | -29.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 90.6% | -45.3% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | MTSI | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 44 | 61.3 |
| ADX (14) | 18 | 18.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.8% | 3.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | -6.4% | -12.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 66.9% | 45.8% |
Risk
OLED is the more resilient| Metric | MTSI | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.24 | 1.42 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.29 | -1.3 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.93 | -1.86 |
| Max drawdown | -44.2% | -51.8% |
| Current drawdown | -35.8% | -45.8% |
| Annualized volatility | 63.1% | 42.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6.8% | -4.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MTSI or OLED?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, OLED is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 64 against MTSI's 39. The edge comes from momentum and value. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MTSI or OLED the better buy right now?
OLED carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor OLED over MTSI?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. OLED leads Momentum by 47 points; OLED leads Value by 35 points; OLED leads Risk Resilience by 15 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MTSI or OLED?
Analyst price targets imply +48.8% upside for MTSI and +42.6% for OLED, so the Street currently favors MTSI. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors OLED. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MTSI or OLED?
OLED is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. OLED on the peer-relative Value factor, by 35 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MTSI or OLED?
MTSI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MTSI or OLED?
OLED on the Momentum factor, by 47 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MTSI or OLED?
OLED is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. OLED on Risk Resilience, by 15 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MTSI more profitable than OLED?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 56.6% vs 75.3%; operating margin 18.1% vs 34.1%; ttm roe 17.1% vs 11.4%. MTSI leads on one measure and OLED on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is OLED's lead over MTSI getting stronger or weaker?
OLED lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 25 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-12, when OLED moved ahead of MTSI.
What would change the MTSI vs OLED verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MTSI closes the Momentum gap — currently 47 points behind, the largest single contributor to OLED's edge; MTSI's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; OLED's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about MTSI and OLED?
MTSI: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. OLED: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MTSI is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On OLED it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare MTSI and OLED with others
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This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.