MTSI vs OLED Stock Comparison
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. vs Universal Display Corporation
OLED leads
OLED leads by 14 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Risk Resilience.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support OLED.
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
Universal Display Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors OLED over MTSI, 56 versus 42 as of Sep 5, 2026. OLED's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and risk resilience. OLED also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OLED today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. OLED lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 14 points over 30 sessions.
Compare MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. and Universal Display Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Compare MTSI and OLED against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%25 vs 60OLED +35
- Risk Resilience15%41 vs 59OLED +18
- Quality30%69 vs 71Even
- Momentum25%30 vs 31Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor OLED. OLED’s edge is concentrated in value and risk resilience.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.
Largest factor move: Momentum +10
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No new signals fired.
OLED's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MTSI and OLED both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
OLED (Universal Display Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and risk resilience.
MTSI (MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.): the counter-case, on fundamentals, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 62.1% against 35.7%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
OLEDOLED on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
MTSIMTSI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
OLEDOLED on the peer-relative Value factor, by 35 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
OLEDOLED on Risk Resilience, by 18 points.
Analyst upside
OLEDOLED on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | MTSI | OLED | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +44.5% | +48.4% | OLED has more room |
| Target dispersion | +45% | +63.8% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | 5 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OLED. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | OLED | 42 vs 56 |
| Fundamentals | MTSIon balance | revenue growth 18.4% vs 7%; EPS growth 112.9% vs 39.5%; TTM ROE 17.1% vs 11.4%; gross margin 56.6% vs 75.3%; operating margin 18.1% vs 34.1% — MTSI takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | OLED | Value 25 vs 60 |
| Technicals | MTSI | Price vs 50-day -6.8% vs -1.7%; vs 200-day 2% vs -17.4% |
| Risk Resilience | OLED | Risk Resilience 41 vs 59 |
| Analyst expectations | OLED | Target upside 44.5% vs 48.4% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MTSI and OLED and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 14 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on OLED.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 – Sep 4OLED lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 14 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- OLED +14
- 42 vs 56
- 7 sessions ago
- OLED +11
- 43 vs 54
- 30 sessions ago
- OLED +13
- 53 vs 66
- 90 sessions ago
- OLED +12
- 43 vs 55
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on May 26 when MTSI moved ahead of OLED.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (9.47%)
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.75%)
0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (19.02%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.78%)
MTSI is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +3.46%, AIQ +3 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.37%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MTSI closes the Value gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to OLED's edge.
- 2MTSI's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3OLED starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MTSI leads on balance| Metric | MTSI | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 18.4% | 7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 112.9% | 39.5% |
| Gross margin | 56.6% | 75.3% |
| Operating margin | 18.1% | 34.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 17.1% | 11.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.24 | 0.01 |
Performance
MTSI leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | MTSI | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.4% | -0.8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -13.5% | -9.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -22.1% | -4.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 29.6% | -15.1% |
| Year to date | 57% | -29.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 106.6% | -40.8% |
Technicals
MTSI has the stronger structure| Metric | MTSI | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 25.9 | 39.5 |
| ADX (14) | 19.7 | 11.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | -6.8% | -1.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | 2% | -17.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 62.1% | 35.7% |
Risk
OLED is the more resilient| Metric | MTSI | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.24 | 1.35 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.43 | -1.26 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.15 | -1.87 |
| Max drawdown | -44.2% | -48.5% |
| Current drawdown | -34.4% | -45.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 60% | 41.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6.7% | -4.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MTSI or OLED?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, OLED is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 56 against MTSI's 42. The edge comes from value and risk resilience. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MTSI or OLED the better buy right now?
OLED carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor OLED over MTSI?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. OLED leads Value by 35 points; OLED leads Risk Resilience by 18 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MTSI or OLED?
Analyst price targets imply +44.5% upside for MTSI and +48.4% for OLED, so the Street currently favors OLED. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MTSI or OLED?
OLED is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. OLED on the peer-relative Value factor, by 35 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MTSI or OLED?
MTSI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MTSI or OLED?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MTSI or OLED?
OLED is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. OLED on Risk Resilience, by 18 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MTSI more profitable than OLED?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 56.6% vs 75.3%; operating margin 18.1% vs 34.1%; ttm roe 17.1% vs 11.4%. MTSI leads on one measure and OLED on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is OLED's lead over MTSI getting stronger or weaker?
OLED lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 14 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-05-26, when MTSI moved ahead of OLED.
What would change the MTSI vs OLED verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MTSI closes the Value gap — currently 35 points behind, the largest single contributor to OLED's edge; MTSI's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; OLED starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about MTSI and OLED?
MTSI: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. OLED: 0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MTSI is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On OLED it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare MTSI and OLED with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.