NBIS vs RIOT Stock Comparison
NBIS currently leads RIOT in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 34 vs 30. The clearest difference is quality, while RIOT has the stronger momentum profile.
What is the main difference between NBIS and RIOT?
NBIS leads the current stock comparison as Nebius Group N.V., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Nebius Group N.V. vs Riot Platforms, Inc.
NBIS leads
NBIS leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, but the lead has narrowed from 17 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors RIOT on target upside.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support NBIS, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Nebius Group N.V.
Riot Platforms, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors NBIS over RIOT, 34 versus 30 as of Oct 31, 2026. NBIS's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while RIOT holds the stronger momentum profile. NBIS also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors RIOT. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NBIS today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. NBIS lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Nebius Group N.V. and Riot Platforms, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price return from daily closes; distributions are not included.
Price return comparison
Growth of $10,000, price only
Split-adjusted closes only. Distributions are excluded, which understates the return of any fund or stock that pays them.
Compare NBIS and RIOT against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality43 vs 28NBIS +15
- Risk Resilience44 vs 31NBIS +13
- Momentum19 vs 29RIOT +10
- Value34 vs 34Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor NBIS. NBIS’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; RIOT keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum +11
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +5
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
NBIS's lead widened by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — NBIS and RIOT both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
NBIS (Nebius Group N.V.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
RIOT (Riot Platforms, Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
NBISNBIS on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
RIOTRIOT on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
RIOTRIOT on the Momentum factor, by 10 points.
Lower downside
NBISNBIS on Risk Resilience, by 13 points.
Analyst upside
RIOTRIOT on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors NBIS, analyst targets favor RIOT. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | NBIS | RIOT | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +75.4% | +149.8% | RIOT has more room |
| Target dispersion | +98.4% | +50% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 9 | 6 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NBIS. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | NBIS | 34 vs 30 |
| Fundamentals | NBISon balance | revenue growth 45.9% vs 4.2%; EPS growth -128.3% vs 52.8%; gross margin 58.6% vs -13.8%; operating margin -49.3% vs -89.1% — NBIS takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 34 vs 34 |
| Technicals | NBIS | Price vs 50-day -27.3% vs -32.7%; vs 200-day 3.1% vs -25.7% |
| Risk Resilience | NBIS | Risk Resilience 44 vs 31 |
| Analyst expectations | RIOT | Target upside 75.4% vs 149.8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of NBIS and RIOT and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on NBIS.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28NBIS lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- NBIS +4
- 34 vs 30
- 7 sessions ago
- NBIS +4
- 33 vs 29
- 30 sessions ago
- NBIS +17
- 47 vs 30
- 90 sessions ago
- NBIS +7
- 43 vs 36
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only NBIS
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (19.88%)
0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral
Only RIOT
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (2.10%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode, MACD Bearish Crossover.
NBIS leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -10.38%, AIQ +2 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -6.77%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1RIOT closes the Quality gap — currently 15 points behind, the largest single contributor to NBIS's edge.
- 2RIOT's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3NBIS's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 13 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate NBIS's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
NBIS leads on balance| Metric | NBIS | RIOT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 45.9% | 4.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -128.3% | 52.8% |
| Gross margin | 58.6% | -13.8% |
| Operating margin | -49.3% | -89.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 0.9% | -48.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.97 | 0.13 |
Performance
NBIS leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | NBIS | RIOT |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -22.7% | -28.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -3.2% | -34.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 29.1% | -9.6% |
| Year to date | 117.8% | 14% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 55.5% | -32.5% |
Technicals
NBIS has the stronger structure| Metric | NBIS | RIOT |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 33.8 | 36 |
| ADX (14) | 26.2 | 37.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | -27.3% | -32.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | 3.1% | -25.7% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 94.8% | 79.5% |
Risk
NBIS is the more resilient| Metric | NBIS | RIOT |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.88 | 3.88 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.86 | -0.07 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.64 | -0.13 |
| Max drawdown | -48.3% | -56.3% |
| Current drawdown | -36.4% | -49.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 109.5% | 87.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -10% | -8.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, NBIS or RIOT?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, NBIS is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 34 against RIOT's 30. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. RIOT is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is NBIS or RIOT the better buy right now?
NBIS carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor NBIS over RIOT?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. NBIS leads Quality by 15 points; NBIS leads Risk Resilience by 13 points; RIOT leads Momentum by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, NBIS or RIOT?
Analyst price targets imply +75.4% upside for NBIS and +149.8% for RIOT, so the Street currently favors RIOT. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors NBIS. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, NBIS or RIOT?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, NBIS or RIOT?
RIOT on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, NBIS or RIOT?
RIOT on the Momentum factor, by 10 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, NBIS or RIOT?
NBIS is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. NBIS on Risk Resilience, by 13 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is NBIS more profitable than RIOT?
NBIS leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 58.6% vs -13.8%; operating margin -49.3% vs -89.1%; ttm roe 0.9% vs -48.4%.
Is NBIS's lead over RIOT getting stronger or weaker?
NBIS lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the NBIS vs RIOT verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: RIOT closes the Quality gap — currently 15 points behind, the largest single contributor to NBIS's edge; RIOT's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; NBIS's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 13 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate NBIS's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about NBIS and RIOT?
NBIS: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. RIOT: 0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on NBIS is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On RIOT it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare NBIS and RIOT with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.