NGD vs SBSW Stock Comparison
Compare NGD and SBSW across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between NGD and SBSW?
NGD leads the current stock comparison as New Gold Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
New Gold Inc. vs Sibanye Stillwater Limited
NGD leads
NGD leads by 12 AIQ points, primarily on Quality, having only recently taken the lead back from SBSW.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support NGD, and the lead recently changed hands.
New Gold Inc.
Sibanye Stillwater Limited
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors NGD over SBSW, 61 versus 49 as of Sep 11, 2026. NGD's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality, while SBSW holds the stronger value profile. NGD also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NGD today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. NGD lead: Reversed — SBSW led by 5 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NGD now leads by 12.
Compare New Gold Inc. and Sibanye Stillwater Limited across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare NGD and SBSW against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality90 vs 26NGD +64
- Value36 vs 63SBSW +27
- Risk Resilience52 vs 50Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor NGD. NGD’s edge is concentrated in quality; SBSW keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -15
New signals
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
NGD's lead widened by 4 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — NGD and SBSW both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
NGD (New Gold Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality.
SBSW (Sibanye Stillwater Limited): the counter-case, on value, valuation, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
NGDNGD on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
SBSWSBSW on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
SBSWSBSW on the peer-relative Value factor, by 27 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
SBSWSBSW carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
NGDNGD on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | NGD | SBSW | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +40.4% | +13.6% | NGD has more room |
| Target dispersion | 0% | +31.6% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 2 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NGD. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | NGD | 61 vs 49 |
| Fundamentals | NGDon balance | revenue growth 10.5% vs 30.3%; EPS growth 3.7% vs 57.5%; TTM ROE 64.8% vs -12.9%; gross margin 51.8% vs 27.5%; operating margin 44.8% vs 23.4% — NGD takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | SBSW | Value 36 vs 63 |
| Technicals | SBSW | Price vs 50-day -18.6% vs 23.1%; vs 200-day 28% vs -1.2% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 52 vs 50 |
| Analyst expectations | NGD | Target upside 40.4% vs 13.6% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of NGD and SBSW and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 12 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on NGD.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10NGD lead: Reversed — SBSW led by 5 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NGD now leads by 12.
- Today
- NGD +12
- 61 vs 49
- 7 sessions ago
- NGD +8
- 61 vs 53
- 30 sessions ago
- SBSW +5
- 47 vs 52
- 90 sessions ago
- NGD +7
- 47 vs 40
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Sep 2 when NGD moved ahead of SBSW.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
No active signals
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (24.89%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.28%)
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -0.24%, AIQ -4 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SBSW closes the Quality gap — currently 64 points behind, the largest single contributor to NGD's edge.
- 2SBSW's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3NGD starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
NGD leads on balance| Metric | NGD | SBSW |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.5% | 30.3% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 3.7% | 57.5% |
| Gross margin | 51.8% | 27.5% |
| Operating margin | 44.8% | 23.4% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 64.8% | -12.9% |
| Debt to equity | 0.21 | 1.11 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | NGD | SBSW |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -15.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -14.6% | 17.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 10.3% | 38.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 41.2% | -9.6% |
| Year to date | 4.2% | -11.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 170.2% | 39.4% |
Technicals
SBSW has the stronger structure| Metric | NGD | SBSW |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 22.1 | 57.8 |
| ADX (14) | 22.6 | 36.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | -18.6% | 23.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 28% | -1.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 69.9% | 61.5% |
Risk
Split| Metric | NGD | SBSW |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.37 | 2.55 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.88 | 0.86 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.37 | 1.27 |
| Max drawdown | -32.3% | -62.1% |
| Current drawdown | -32.3% | -40.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 66% | 67.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -7% | -6.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, NGD or SBSW?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, NGD is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 61 against SBSW's 49. The edge comes from quality. SBSW is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is NGD or SBSW the better buy right now?
NGD carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor NGD over SBSW?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. NGD leads Quality by 64 points; SBSW leads Value by 27 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, NGD or SBSW?
Analyst price targets imply +40.4% upside for NGD and +13.6% for SBSW, so the Street currently favors NGD. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, NGD or SBSW?
SBSW is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SBSW on the peer-relative Value factor, by 27 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, NGD or SBSW?
SBSW on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, NGD or SBSW?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, NGD or SBSW?
SBSW is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SBSW carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is NGD more profitable than SBSW?
NGD leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 51.8% vs 27.5%; operating margin 44.8% vs 23.4%; ttm roe 64.8% vs -12.9%.
Is NGD's lead over SBSW getting stronger or weaker?
NGD lead: Reversed — SBSW led by 5 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NGD now leads by 12. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-02, when NGD moved ahead of SBSW.
What would change the NGD vs SBSW verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SBSW closes the Quality gap — currently 64 points behind, the largest single contributor to NGD's edge; SBSW's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; NGD starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about NGD and SBSW?
NGD: No active signals. SBSW: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral. On SBSW it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare NGD and SBSW with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.