NJR vs NRG Stock Comparison
Compare NJR and NRG across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between NJR and NRG?
NJR and NRG are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
New Jersey Resources Corporation vs NRG Energy, Inc.
NJR and NRG are effectively level
NJR and NRG are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
New Jersey Resources Corporation
NRG Energy, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate NJR and NRG as of Sep 11, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare New Jersey Resources Corporation and NRG Energy, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare NJR and NRG against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience52 vs 34NJR +18
- Momentum32 vs 40NRG +8
- Value59 vs 64NRG +5
- Quality35 vs 33Even
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -6
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
New signals
- 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (2.9%)
NJR's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — NJR and NRG both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
NRGNRG on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
NRGNRG on the peer-relative Value factor, by 5 points.
Momentum
NRGNRG on the Momentum factor, by 8 points.
Lower downside
NJRNJR on Risk Resilience, by 18 points.
Analyst upside
NRGNRG on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | NJR | NRG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +16% | +72.9% | NRG has more room |
| Target dispersion | +3.2% | +36.7% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 3 | 10 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 44 vs 44 |
| Fundamentals | NRGon balance | revenue growth -62.8% vs 7.4%; EPS growth -95.6% vs 3.5%; TTM ROE 14.4% vs 25.4%; gross margin 28.3% vs 16.4%; operating margin 24.6% vs 5.4% — NRG takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | NRG | Value 59 vs 64 |
| Technicals | NJR | Price vs 50-day -5.5% vs -9.6%; vs 200-day 0.1% vs -23.5% |
| Risk Resilience | NJR | Risk Resilience 52 vs 34 |
| Analyst expectations | NRG | Target upside 16% vs 72.9% |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10NJR lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 3 to 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 44 vs 44
- 7 sessions ago
- Level
- 45 vs 45
- 30 sessions ago
- NJR +3
- 44 vs 41
- 90 sessions ago
- NJR +7
- 54 vs 47
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Sep 9 when NJR moved ahead of NRG.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (5.26%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (16.26%)
- 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (2.9%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -0.34%, AIQ -2 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.62%, AIQ 0 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
NRG leads on balance| Metric | NJR | NRG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -62.8% | 7.4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -95.6% | 3.5% |
| Gross margin | 28.3% | 16.4% |
| Operating margin | 24.6% | 5.4% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 14.4% | 25.4% |
| Debt to equity | 1.47 | 4.83 |
Performance
NJR leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | NJR | NRG |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -3.6% | -7.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -3.6% | -7.5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -1.1% | -24.9% |
| Year to date | 15.7% | -29.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 15.3% | -24.4% |
Technicals
NJR has the stronger structure| Metric | NJR | NRG |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.1 | 44.3 |
| ADX (14) | 22.9 | 17.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | -5.5% | -9.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 0.1% | -23.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 15.3% | 51.1% |
Risk
NJR is the more resilient| Metric | NJR | NRG |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.39 | 1.4 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.62 | -0.47 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.98 | -0.65 |
| Max drawdown | -11.2% | -40.5% |
| Current drawdown | -11.2% | -39.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 18.5% | 48.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.9% | -5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, NJR or NRG?
Analyst price targets imply +16% upside for NJR and +72.9% for NRG, so the Street currently favors NRG. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, NJR or NRG?
NRG is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. NRG on the peer-relative Value factor, by 5 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, NJR or NRG?
NRG on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, NJR or NRG?
NRG on the Momentum factor, by 8 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, NJR or NRG?
NJR is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. NJR on Risk Resilience, by 18 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is NJR more profitable than NRG?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 28.3% vs 16.4%; operating margin 24.6% vs 5.4%; ttm roe 14.4% vs 25.4%. NJR leads on two measures and NRG on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
What do the current signals say about NJR and NRG?
NJR: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. NRG: 1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on NJR is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On NRG it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare NJR and NRG with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.