NKE vs ORLY Stock Comparison
NKE currently leads ORLY in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 61 vs 50. The clearest difference is value.
What is the main difference between NKE and ORLY?
NKE leads the current stock comparison as NIKE, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
NIKE, Inc. vs O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
NKE leads
NKE leads by 11 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Risk Resilience. Wall Street currently favors ORLY on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support NKE, and its current signal state is conflicted.
NIKE, Inc.
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors NKE over ORLY, 61 versus 50 as of Oct 21, 2026. NKE's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and risk resilience. NKE also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors ORLY. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NKE today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. NKE lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 11 points over 30 sessions.
Compare NIKE, Inc. and O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare NKE and ORLY against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value50 vs 27NKE +23
- Risk Resilience65 vs 52NKE +13
- Quality60 vs 53NKE +7
- Momentum73 vs 74Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor NKE. NKE’s edge is concentrated in value and risk resilience.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +20
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +5
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
NKE's lead widened by 4 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — NKE and ORLY both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
NKE (NIKE, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and risk resilience.
ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.): the counter-case, on fundamentals, technicals, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
NKENKE on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
NKENKE on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
NKENKE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 23 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
NKENKE on Risk Resilience, by 13 points.
Analyst upside
ORLYORLY on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors NKE, analyst targets favor ORLY. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | NKE | ORLY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +15.2% | +20.9% | ORLY has more room |
| Target dispersion | +129.6% | +19.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 23 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NKE. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | NKE | 61 vs 50 |
| Fundamentals | ORLYon balance | revenue growth -2.7% vs 7.3%; EPS growth 105.7% vs 20.8%; TTM ROE 22% vs -232.4%; gross margin 42.9% vs 51.6%; operating margin 8.2% vs 19.6% — ORLY takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | NKE | Value 50 vs 27 |
| Technicals | ORLY | Price vs 50-day 0.4% vs 2%; vs 200-day -20.6% vs -0.7% |
| Risk Resilience | NKE | Risk Resilience 65 vs 52 |
| Analyst expectations | ORLY | Target upside 15.2% vs 20.9% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of NKE and ORLY and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 11 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on NKE.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20NKE lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 11 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- NKE +11
- 61 vs 50
- 7 sessions ago
- NKE +7
- 55 vs 48
- 30 sessions ago
- NKE +9
- 51 vs 42
- 90 sessions ago
- NKE +5
- 49 vs 44
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
No signal that the other name lacks.
2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only ORLY
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 5 more signals that do not separate them: Bollinger Band Squeeze, Death Cross Active, BB Upper Band Breach, Keltner Channel Breakout, MACD Bullish Crossover.
NKE leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 5 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.92%, AIQ +5 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.91%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ORLY closes the Value gap — currently 23 points behind, the largest single contributor to NKE's edge.
- 2ORLY's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3NKE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ORLY leads on balance| Metric | NKE | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -2.7% | 7.3% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 105.7% | 20.8% |
| Gross margin | 42.9% | 51.6% |
| Operating margin | 8.2% | 19.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 22% | -232.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.74 | -5.22 |
Performance
ORLY leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | NKE | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -10.3% | 4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -18.3% | -4% |
| Year to date | -40.5% | -1.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -43.3% | -11% |
Technicals
ORLY has the stronger structure| Metric | NKE | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 69.9 | 72.3 |
| ADX (14) | 24.9 | 20.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.4% | 2% |
| Price vs 200-day | -20.6% | -0.7% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 28% | 14% |
Risk
NKE is the more resilient| Metric | NKE | ORLY |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.6 | 0.05 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.54 | -0.49 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.99 | -0.76 |
| Max drawdown | -51.4% | -18.6% |
| Current drawdown | -45.6% | -11.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 35.8% | 25.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.1% | -2.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, NKE or ORLY?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, NKE is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 61 against ORLY's 50. The edge comes from value and risk resilience. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is NKE or ORLY the better buy right now?
NKE carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor NKE over ORLY?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. NKE leads Value by 23 points; NKE leads Risk Resilience by 13 points; NKE leads Quality by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, NKE or ORLY?
Analyst price targets imply +15.2% upside for NKE and +20.9% for ORLY, so the Street currently favors ORLY. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors NKE. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, NKE or ORLY?
NKE is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. NKE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 23 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, NKE or ORLY?
NKE on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, NKE or ORLY?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, NKE or ORLY?
NKE is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. NKE on Risk Resilience, by 13 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is NKE more profitable than ORLY?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 42.9% vs 51.6%; operating margin 8.2% vs 19.6%; ttm roe 22% vs -232.4%. NKE leads on one measure and ORLY on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is NKE's lead over ORLY getting stronger or weaker?
NKE lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 11 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the NKE vs ORLY verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ORLY closes the Value gap — currently 23 points behind, the largest single contributor to NKE's edge; ORLY's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; NKE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about NKE and ORLY?
NKE: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. ORLY: 2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on NKE is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On ORLY it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare NKE and ORLY with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.