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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Stock Analysis

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ORLY Stock Analysis Summary

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) currently has an AIQ Score of 50/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 73/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 27/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

ORLY at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$89.20
AIQ Score50/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$72.89B
P/E Ratio (TTM)27.74
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$0.87
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$4.89B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta0.52
Volume4.26M
52-week range$82.59-$102.46
RSI 1469.36
50-Day SMA$87.35
200-Day SMA$90.65
Analyst Price Target$107.81
Next EarningsOct 28, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty Retail

Low Priority

In Line With Peers

NeutralEdge 5/10
$89.20−$0.82 (−0.91%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    73
  • Value
    27
  • Quality
    53
  • Risk resilience
    52
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

ORLY Stock Analysis Summary

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) currently has an AIQ Score of 50/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 73/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 27/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, ORLY has AIQ Score of 50/100 with Momentum base of 73/100 and fading Value at 27/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (73/100) leads while Value (27/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · -0.91% stock move · ORLY classified in Specialty Retail.

Current Evidence

NeutralORLY is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 73/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ORLY Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ORLY currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 73/100, while Value is weakest at 27/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 73/100.
  • - Price is +2.12% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +20.86% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (33 vs 8).
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 27/100.
  • - Price is -1.60% below its 200-day SMA.

Current Consensus

ORLY's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 33 buy, 4 neutral, and 8 sell votes. ORLY's 14-day RSI is 69.36, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. ORLY's beta is 0.52, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ORLY?

The largest recent change in ORLY is Momentum moving up by 28.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+7.0
Momentum
+28.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+2.0

What Would Change the ORLY Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ORLY Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for O'Reilly Automotive, Inc..

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) Stock Analysis

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 50/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 73/100. Beta is 0.54, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextORLY is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 50/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 73/100 while value lags at 27/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 73/100 · Value 27/100 · Quality 53/100 · Risk 52/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 73/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 73/100 and RSI (14) is 69.4.

Regime fitWait

ORLY is in a Neutral regime at 50/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 52/100 with beta 0.54 and annual volatility 25.91%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 73/100 while value lags at 27/100.

AIQ Score
50/100
Price
$89.20
Beta
0.54
RSI (14)
69.4

ORLY Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ORLY Fundamentals

ORLY valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.89B
Net income
$715.06M
Free cash flow
$698.9M
View full ORLY fundamental analysis

ORLY Technical Analysis

ORLY technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
69.36
Price vs SMA-50
+2.12%
View full ORLY technical analysis

ORLY Stock Catalysts

Track ORLY earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 28, 2026
Analyst target
$107.81
News items
5
View ORLY earnings and stock catalysts

ORLY Dividend Analysis

ORLY dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
—
Payout ratio
0.00%
View ORLY dividend history and analysis

ORLY Financial Data

ORLY revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.89B
EPS
$0.87
Periods
4
View ORLY financials

ORLY Risk Analysis

ORLY volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.52
Risk score
52/100
1Y volatility
25.91%
View ORLY risk analysis

ORLY Stock News

ORLY stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read ORLY stock news

ORLY vs Retail — Specialty & Discount Peers

Current peer cohort: ORLY · PLNT · PTON · PVH · RL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ORLY
Current stock
50/10027/10073/10052/100-0.525.91%Current
PLNT
Planet Fitness
54/10044/10076/10038/100-1.0250.45%ORLY vs PLNT
PTON
Peloton
48/10039/10062/10030/100-0.3559.71%ORLY vs PTON
PVH
PVH Corp
62/10073/10080/10045/1000.246.95%ORLY vs PVH
RL
Ralph Lauren
64/10038/10080/10061/1000.4434.85%ORLY vs RL
Pairwise Compare links: PLNT · PTON · PVH · RLORLY vs PLNTORLY vs PTONORLY vs PVHORLY vs RLCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ORLY stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
27.74
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
51.64%
Current debt / equity
-5.22
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.89B
Quarter net income
$715.06M
Quarter free cash flow
$698.9M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
69.36
MACD
0.7

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
52/100
Beta
0.54
Annual volatility
25.91%
Max drawdown
-18.65%

ORLY Stock FAQ

What is ORLY stock price today?

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.'s current stock price is $89.20. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ORLY bullish or bearish right now?

ORLY's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ORLY's market cap?

ORLY's market cap is $72.89B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ORLY's current P/E ratio?

ORLY's current P/E ratio is 27.74 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ORLY's RSI?

ORLY's 14-day RSI is 69.36 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ORLY above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ORLY is 2.12% from its 50-day SMA and -1.60% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ORLY's next earnings date?

ORLY's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 28, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ORLY pay a dividend?

ORLY's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.