NWN vs OTTR Stock Comparison
Compare NWN and OTTR across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between NWN and OTTR?
OTTR leads the current stock comparison as Otter Tail Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Northwest Natural Holding Company vs Otter Tail Corporation
OTTR leads
OTTR leads by 7 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience. Wall Street currently favors NWN on target upside.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support OTTR, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Northwest Natural Holding Company
Otter Tail Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors OTTR over NWN, 51 versus 44 as of Sep 11, 2026. OTTR's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience. OTTR also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors NWN. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OTTR today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. OTTR lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 7 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Northwest Natural Holding Company and Otter Tail Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare NWN and OTTR against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality33 vs 48OTTR +15
- Risk Resilience52 vs 62OTTR +10
- Value61 vs 64Even
- Momentum32 vs 32Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor OTTR. OTTR’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -4
New signals
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
OTTR's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — NWN and OTTR both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
OTTR (Otter Tail Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
NWN (Northwest Natural Holding Company): the counter-case, on fundamentals, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
OTTROTTR on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
OTTROTTR on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
OTTROTTR on Risk Resilience, by 10 points.
Analyst upside
NWNNWN on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors OTTR, analyst targets favor NWN. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | NWN | OTTR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +11.5% | -8% | NWN has more room |
| Target dispersion | +14.8% | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 2 | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OTTR. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | OTTR | 44 vs 51 |
| Fundamentals | NWNon balance | revenue growth -50.3% vs -3.6%; EPS growth -99.4% vs -110.4%; TTM ROE 8.3% vs 10.4%; gross margin 45.2% vs 40%; operating margin 31.6% vs 17.1% — NWN takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 61 vs 64 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day -3.4% vs -3.4%; vs 200-day -1.6% vs 0.3% |
| Risk Resilience | OTTR | Risk Resilience 52 vs 62 |
| Analyst expectations | NWN | Target upside 11.5% vs -8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of NWN and OTTR and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 7 points.
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on OTTR.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10OTTR lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 7 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- OTTR +7
- 44 vs 51
- 7 sessions ago
- OTTR +8
- 44 vs 52
- 30 sessions ago
- OTTR +7
- 52 vs 59
- 90 sessions ago
- OTTR +12
- 48 vs 60
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (0.48%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (3.92%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
OTTR leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.26%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.15%, AIQ -1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1NWN closes the Quality gap — currently 15 points behind, the largest single contributor to OTTR's edge.
- 2NWN's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3OTTR's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
NWN leads on balance| Metric | NWN | OTTR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -50.3% | -3.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -99.4% | -110.4% |
| Gross margin | 45.2% | 40% |
| Operating margin | 31.6% | 17.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 8.3% | 10.4% |
| Debt to equity | 1.73 | 0.67 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | NWN | OTTR |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.4% | -1.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2.5% | -4.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -4.8% | 2.5% |
| Year to date | 5% | 8.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 19.1% | 6.1% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | NWN | OTTR |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.3 | 31.3 |
| ADX (14) | 7.5 | 16 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.4% | -3.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | -1.6% | 0.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 16.7% | 14.7% |
Risk
OTTR is the more resilient| Metric | NWN | OTTR |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.35 | 0.19 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.75 | 0.22 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.01 | 0.35 |
| Max drawdown | -14.3% | -10.8% |
| Current drawdown | -12.1% | -6.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 20.7% | 21.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2% | -2.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, NWN or OTTR?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, OTTR is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 51 against NWN's 44. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is NWN or OTTR the better buy right now?
OTTR carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor OTTR over NWN?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. OTTR leads Quality by 15 points; OTTR leads Risk Resilience by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, NWN or OTTR?
Analyst price targets imply +11.5% upside for NWN and -8% for OTTR, so the Street currently favors NWN. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors OTTR. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, NWN or OTTR?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, NWN or OTTR?
OTTR on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, NWN or OTTR?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, NWN or OTTR?
OTTR is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. OTTR on Risk Resilience, by 10 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is NWN more profitable than OTTR?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 45.2% vs 40%; operating margin 31.6% vs 17.1%; ttm roe 8.3% vs 10.4%. NWN leads on two measures and OTTR on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is OTTR's lead over NWN getting stronger or weaker?
OTTR lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 7 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the NWN vs OTTR verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: NWN closes the Quality gap — currently 15 points behind, the largest single contributor to OTTR's edge; NWN's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; OTTR's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about NWN and OTTR?
NWN: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. OTTR: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on NWN is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On OTTR it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare NWN and OTTR with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.