OKTA vs ORCL Stock Comparison
ORCL currently leads OKTA in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 51 vs 45. The clearest difference is value, while OKTA has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between OKTA and ORCL?
ORCL leads the current stock comparison as Oracle Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Okta, Inc. vs Oracle Corporation
ORCL leads
ORCL leads by 6 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Quality, having only recently taken the lead back from OKTA.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ORCL, and the lead recently changed hands.
Okta, Inc.
Oracle Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ORCL over OKTA, 51 versus 45 as of Oct 21, 2026. ORCL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and quality, while OKTA holds the stronger risk resilience profile. ORCL also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ORCL today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. ORCL lead: Reversed — OKTA led by 9 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ORCL now leads by 6.
Compare Okta, Inc. and Oracle Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare OKTA and ORCL against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value33 vs 61ORCL +28
- Risk Resilience47 vs 23OKTA +24
- Quality64 vs 70ORCL +6
- Momentum37 vs 34Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor ORCL. ORCL’s edge is concentrated in value and quality; OKTA keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
ORCL's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — OKTA and ORCL both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ORCL (Oracle Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and quality.
OKTA (Okta, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ORCLORCL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
OKTAOKTA on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ORCLORCL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 28 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
OKTAOKTA on Risk Resilience, by 24 points.
Analyst upside
ORCLORCL on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | OKTA | ORCL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -15% | +88.8% | ORCL has more room |
| Target dispersion | +104.3% | +94.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 33 | 21 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ORCL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ORCL | 45 vs 51 |
| Fundamentals | ORCLon balance | revenue growth 5.2% vs 11.6%; EPS growth 59.5% vs 14.8%; TTM ROE 4.3% vs 50.6%; gross margin 78.1% vs 65.8%; operating margin 7.7% vs 30.8% — ORCL takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ORCL | Value 33 vs 61 |
| Technicals | OKTA | Price vs 50-day 14.9% vs -10.6%; vs 200-day 62.2% vs -17.8% |
| Risk Resilience | OKTA | Risk Resilience 47 vs 23 |
| Analyst expectations | ORCL | Target upside -15% vs 88.8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of OKTA and ORCL and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 6 points.
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ORCL.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20ORCL lead: Reversed — OKTA led by 9 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ORCL now leads by 6.
- Today
- ORCL +6
- 45 vs 51
- 7 sessions ago
- Level
- 52 vs 52
- 30 sessions ago
- OKTA +9
- 57 vs 48
- 90 sessions ago
- ORCL +6
- 54 vs 60
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Sep 23 when OKTA moved ahead of ORCL.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only OKTA
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (51.85%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral
Only ORCL
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (10.51%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode, MACD Bearish Crossover.
OKTA is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +7.54%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.53%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1OKTA closes the Value gap — currently 28 points behind, the largest single contributor to ORCL's edge.
- 2OKTA generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3ORCL starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ORCL leads on balance| Metric | OKTA | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 5.2% | 11.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 59.5% | 14.8% |
| Gross margin | 78.1% | 65.8% |
| Operating margin | 7.7% | 30.8% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 4.3% | 50.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.01 | 3.67 |
Performance
OKTA leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | OKTA | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -14.4% | -8.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -1.3% | -12.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 41.9% | 4.2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 149.9% | -27.6% |
| Year to date | 124.4% | -32.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 121.2% | -57.7% |
Technicals
OKTA has the stronger structure| Metric | OKTA | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 40.4 | 44.7 |
| ADX (14) | 37 | 11.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | 14.9% | -10.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 62.2% | -17.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 60.2% | 56.7% |
Risk
OKTA is the more resilient| Metric | OKTA | ORCL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.32 | 2.2 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.45 | -1.18 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.74 | -2.08 |
| Max drawdown | -33.1% | -60.5% |
| Current drawdown | -16.4% | -55% |
| Annualized volatility | 67.3% | 57.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.4% | -5.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, OKTA or ORCL?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ORCL is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 51 against OKTA's 45. The edge comes from value and quality. OKTA is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is OKTA or ORCL the better buy right now?
ORCL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ORCL over OKTA?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ORCL leads Value by 28 points; OKTA leads Risk Resilience by 24 points; ORCL leads Quality by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, OKTA or ORCL?
Analyst price targets imply -15% upside for OKTA and +88.8% for ORCL, so the Street currently favors ORCL. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, OKTA or ORCL?
ORCL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ORCL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 28 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, OKTA or ORCL?
OKTA on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, OKTA or ORCL?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, OKTA or ORCL?
OKTA is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. OKTA on Risk Resilience, by 24 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is OKTA more profitable than ORCL?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 78.1% vs 65.8%; operating margin 7.7% vs 30.8%; ttm roe 4.3% vs 50.6%. OKTA leads on one measure and ORCL on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ORCL's lead over OKTA getting stronger or weaker?
ORCL lead: Reversed — OKTA led by 9 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ORCL now leads by 6. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-23, when OKTA moved ahead of ORCL.
What would change the OKTA vs ORCL verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: OKTA closes the Value gap — currently 28 points behind, the largest single contributor to ORCL's edge; OKTA generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; ORCL starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about OKTA and ORCL?
OKTA: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. ORCL: 0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on OKTA is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ORCL it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare OKTA and ORCL with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.