NXPI vs ON Stock Comparison
NXPI currently leads ON in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 61 vs 46. The clearest difference is quality.
What is the main difference between NXPI and ON?
NXPI leads the current stock comparison as NXP Semiconductors N.V., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
NXP Semiconductors N.V. vs ON Semiconductor Corporation
NXPI leads
NXPI leads by 15 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum. Wall Street currently favors ON on target upside.
Stable: 5 of 6 evidence groups support NXPI.
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
ON Semiconductor Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors NXPI over ON, 61 versus 46 as of Oct 21, 2026. NXPI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum. NXPI also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors ON. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NXPI today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability. NXPI lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 15 points over 30 sessions. NXPI leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare NXP Semiconductors N.V. and ON Semiconductor Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare NXPI and ON against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality69 vs 46NXPI +23
- Momentum55 vs 38NXPI +17
- Risk Resilience44 vs 35NXPI +9
- Value66 vs 58NXPI +8
5 of 6 evidence groups favor NXPI. NXPI’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
New signals
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.53%)
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
NXPI's lead widened by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — NXPI and ON both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
ON (ON Semiconductor Corporation): the counter-case, on analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 48.2% against 33.2%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
NXPINXPI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ONON on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
NXPINXPI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points.
Momentum
NXPINXPI on the Momentum factor, by 17 points.
Lower downside
NXPINXPI on Risk Resilience, by 9 points.
Analyst upside
ONON on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors NXPI, analyst targets favor ON. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | NXPI | ON | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +16.7% | +34.2% | ON has more room |
| Target dispersion | +52.3% | +106.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | 10 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NXPI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | NXPI | 61 vs 46 |
| Fundamentals | NXPIon balance | revenue growth 9.9% vs 6%; EPS growth -31.5% vs 8.2%; TTM ROE 28% vs 8.4%; gross margin 55.9% vs 37.4%; operating margin 28.7% vs 11.7% — NXPI takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | NXPI | Value 66 vs 58 |
| Technicals | NXPI | Price vs 50-day 5.3% vs 1.7%; vs 200-day -3.5% vs -7.6% |
| Risk Resilience | NXPI | Risk Resilience 44 vs 35 |
| Analyst expectations | ON | Target upside 16.7% vs 34.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of NXPI and ON and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 15 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on NXPI.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20NXPI lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 15 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- NXPI +15
- 61 vs 46
- 7 sessions ago
- NXPI +13
- 58 vs 45
- 30 sessions ago
- NXPI +15
- 64 vs 49
- 90 sessions ago
- NXPI +5
- 53 vs 48
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
No signal that the other name lacks.
0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral
Only ON
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 3 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode, MACD Bearish Crossover.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +2%, AIQ +2 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.75%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ON closes the Quality gap — currently 23 points behind, the largest single contributor to NXPI's edge.
- 2ON's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3NXPI starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
NXPI leads on balance| Metric | NXPI | ON |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 9.9% | 6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -31.5% | 8.2% |
| Gross margin | 55.9% | 37.4% |
| Operating margin | 28.7% | 11.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 28% | 8.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.96 | 0.62 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | NXPI | ON |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 5% | -1.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 0% | 2.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -14.8% | -18.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 5.8% | -13% |
| Year to date | 9.5% | 39.6% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 9.3% | 42.8% |
Technicals
NXPI has the stronger structure| Metric | NXPI | ON |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 50.1 | 47.9 |
| ADX (14) | 13 | 18.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | -3.5% | -7.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 33.2% | 48.2% |
Risk
NXPI is the more resilient| Metric | NXPI | ON |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.72 | 2.61 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.37 | 0.84 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.7 | 1.16 |
| Max drawdown | -34.2% | -50.3% |
| Current drawdown | -28.6% | -43.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 49.1% | 62.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4% | -5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, NXPI or ON?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, NXPI is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 61 against ON's 46. The edge comes from quality and momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is NXPI or ON the better buy right now?
NXPI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor NXPI over ON?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. NXPI leads Quality by 23 points; NXPI leads Momentum by 17 points; NXPI leads Risk Resilience by 9 points. NXPI leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by ON simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, NXPI or ON?
Analyst price targets imply +16.7% upside for NXPI and +34.2% for ON, so the Street currently favors ON. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors NXPI. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, NXPI or ON?
NXPI is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. NXPI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, NXPI or ON?
ON on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, NXPI or ON?
NXPI on the Momentum factor, by 17 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, NXPI or ON?
NXPI is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. NXPI on Risk Resilience, by 9 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is NXPI more profitable than ON?
NXPI leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 55.9% vs 37.4%; operating margin 28.7% vs 11.7%; ttm roe 28% vs 8.4%.
Is NXPI's lead over ON getting stronger or weaker?
NXPI lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 15 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the NXPI vs ON verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ON closes the Quality gap — currently 23 points behind, the largest single contributor to NXPI's edge; ON's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; NXPI starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about NXPI and ON?
NXPI: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral. ON: 0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral. The most decision-relevant rule on NXPI is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On ON it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare NXPI and ON with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.