INTC vs ONTO Stock Comparison
Compare INTC and ONTO across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between INTC and ONTO?
INTC leads the current stock comparison as Intel Corp., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Intel Corp. vs Onto Innovation Inc.
INTC leads
INTC leads by 7 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from ONTO. Wall Street currently favors ONTO on target upside.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support INTC, the lead recently changed hands, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Intel Corp.
Onto Innovation Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors INTC over ONTO, 44 versus 37 as of Sep 11, 2026. INTC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum, while ONTO holds the stronger risk resilience profile. INTC also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors ONTO. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor INTC today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. INTC lead: Reversed — ONTO led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; INTC now leads by 7.
Compare Intel Corp. and Onto Innovation Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare INTC and ONTO against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum77 vs 32INTC +45
- Risk Resilience28 vs 40ONTO +12
- Quality39 vs 48ONTO +9
- Value30 vs 28Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor INTC. INTC’s edge is concentrated in momentum; ONTO keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -8
New signals
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -2
No new signals fired.
INTC's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — INTC and ONTO both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
INTC (Intel Corp.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum.
ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, fundamentals — but at materially higher volatility, 65.1% against 58.9%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
INTCINTC on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ONTOONTO on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
INTCINTC on the Momentum factor, by 45 points.
Lower downside
ONTOONTO on Risk Resilience, by 12 points.
Analyst upside
ONTOONTO on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors INTC, analyst targets favor ONTO. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | INTC | ONTO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -0.1% | +32.2% | ONTO has more room |
| Target dispersion | +136.1% | +36.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 27 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor INTC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | INTC | 44 vs 37 |
| Fundamentals | ONTOon balance | revenue growth 18.8% vs 17.5%; EPS growth -195.9% vs 79.4%; TTM ROE -10.8% vs 6.5%; gross margin 38.9% vs 50.4% — ONTO takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 30 vs 28 |
| Technicals | INTC | Price vs 50-day 4.2% vs -2.8%; vs 200-day 33.4% vs 10.5% |
| Risk Resilience | ONTO | Risk Resilience 28 vs 40 |
| Analyst expectations | ONTO | Target upside -0.1% vs 32.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of INTC and ONTO and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 7 points.
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on INTC.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10INTC lead: Reversed — ONTO led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; INTC now leads by 7.
- Today
- INTC +7
- 44 vs 37
- 7 sessions ago
- INTC +2
- 35 vs 33
- 30 sessions ago
- ONTO +8
- 38 vs 46
- 90 sessions ago
- ONTO +1
- 33 vs 34
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Aug 31 when INTC moved ahead of ONTO.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (31.44%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (18.98%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (6.62%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
ONTO is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +2.61%, AIQ -2 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +4.59%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ONTO closes the Momentum gap — currently 45 points behind, the largest single contributor to INTC's edge.
- 2ONTO's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3INTC's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ONTO leads on balance| Metric | INTC | ONTO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 18.8% | 17.5% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -195.9% | 79.4% |
| Gross margin | 38.9% | 50.4% |
| Operating margin | 0.1% | 12.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -10.8% | 6.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.58 | 0.77 |
Performance
INTC leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | INTC | ONTO |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -0.6% | -20.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -6.3% | -0.2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 109.1% | 39.5% |
| Year to date | 171.9% | 70.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 309.8% | 159.5% |
Technicals
INTC has the stronger structure| Metric | INTC | ONTO |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 61.3 | 36 |
| ADX (14) | 15.5 | 13 |
| Price vs 50-day | 4.2% | -2.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 33.4% | 10.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 58.9% | 65.1% |
Risk
ONTO is the more resilient| Metric | INTC | ONTO |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.89 | 3.13 |
| Sharpe ratio | 2.12 | 1.64 |
| Sortino ratio | 3.98 | 2.68 |
| Max drawdown | -41.9% | -42.3% |
| Current drawdown | -28.8% | -28.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 79.9% | 71.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6.2% | -7.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, INTC or ONTO?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, INTC is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 44 against ONTO's 37. The edge comes from momentum. ONTO is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is INTC or ONTO the better buy right now?
INTC carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor INTC over ONTO?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. INTC leads Momentum by 45 points; ONTO leads Risk Resilience by 12 points; ONTO leads Quality by 9 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, INTC or ONTO?
Analyst price targets imply -0.1% upside for INTC and +32.2% for ONTO, so the Street currently favors ONTO. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors INTC. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, INTC or ONTO?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, INTC or ONTO?
ONTO on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, INTC or ONTO?
INTC on the Momentum factor, by 45 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, INTC or ONTO?
ONTO is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ONTO on Risk Resilience, by 12 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is INTC more profitable than ONTO?
ONTO leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 38.9% vs 50.4%; operating margin 0.1% vs 12.5%; ttm roe -10.8% vs 6.5%.
Is INTC's lead over ONTO getting stronger or weaker?
INTC lead: Reversed — ONTO led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; INTC now leads by 7. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-31, when INTC moved ahead of ONTO.
What would change the INTC vs ONTO verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ONTO closes the Momentum gap — currently 45 points behind, the largest single contributor to INTC's edge; ONTO's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; INTC's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about INTC and ONTO?
INTC: 4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. ONTO: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on INTC is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ONTO it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare INTC and ONTO with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.