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Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) Stock Analysis

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ONTO Stock Analysis Summary

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) currently has an AIQ Score of 33/100, indicating a bearish setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 62/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 15/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

ONTO at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$268.01
AIQ Score33/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$12.75B
P/E Ratio52.86
Forward P/E
EPS$1.22
Revenue TTM$343.13M
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta1.59
Volume722.59K
52-week range$101.06-$386.46
RSI 1421.13
50-Day SMA$293.97
200-Day SMA$241.04
Analyst Price Target$371.93
Next EarningsNov 5, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

ONTO

Overview
Onto Innovation Inc.
Technology· Semiconductors
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 1/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$268.01
+$15.55 (+6.16%)
Latest market quote
Momentum15
Value28
Quality48
Risk Resilience40
Sentiment62
View financial data

ONTO Stock Analysis Summary

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) currently has an AIQ Score of 33/100, indicating a bearish setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 62/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 15/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, ONTO has AIQ Score of 33/100 with Sentiment base of 62/100 and fading Momentum at 15/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Sentiment (62/100) leads while Momentum (15/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Technology · 6.16% stock move · ONTO classified in Semiconductors.

Current Evidence

BearishONTO is in a bearish AIQ regime; Sentiment is the strongest visible factor at 62/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ONTO Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ONTO currently has a bearish overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 62/100, while Momentum is weakest at 15/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +38.77% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 28/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 15/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 40/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (33 vs 7).

Current Consensus

ONTO's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 7 buy, 5 neutral, and 33 sell votes. ONTO's 14-day RSI is 21.13, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. ONTO's beta is 1.59, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ONTO?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
33/100
Momentum
15/100
Quality
48/100
Risk
40/100

What Would Change the ONTO Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ONTO Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Onto Innovation Inc..

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) Stock Analysis

Onto Innovation Inc. has an AIQ Score of 33/100 in a Defensive regime. Sentiment is strongest at 62/100. Beta is 1.59, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextONTO is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 33/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 62/100 while momentum lags at 15/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 15/100 · Value 28/100 · Quality 48/100 · Risk 40/100 · Sentiment 62/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Sentiment is the strongest factor at 62/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 15/100 and RSI (14) is 21.1.

Regime fitFail

ONTO is in a Defensive regime at 33/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 40/100 with beta 1.59 and annual volatility 70.92%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: sentiment leads at 62/100 while momentum lags at 15/100.

AIQ Score
33/100
Price
$268.01
Beta
1.59
RSI (14)
21.1

ONTO Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ONTO Fundamentals

ONTO valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$343.13M
Net income
$60.1M
Free cash flow
$57.85M
View full ONTO fundamental analysis

ONTO Technical Analysis

ONTO technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
21.13
Price vs SMA-50
-8.83%
View full ONTO technical analysis

ONTO Stock Catalysts

Track ONTO earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 5, 2026
Analyst target
$371.93
News items
5
View ONTO earnings and stock catalysts

ONTO Dividend Analysis

ONTO dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
Payout ratio
View ONTO dividend history and analysis

ONTO Financial Data

ONTO revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$343.13M
EPS
$1.22
Periods
8
View ONTO financials

ONTO Risk Analysis

ONTO volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.59
Risk score
40/100
1Y volatility
70.92%
View ONTO risk analysis

ONTO Stock News

ONTO stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Sep 5, 2026
Sentiment
62/100
Read ONTO stock news

ONTO vs Semiconductors — Mid Cap / Supply Chain Peers

Current peer cohort: ONTO · POWI · RMBS · SIMO · SITM. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ONTO
Current stock
33/10028/10015/10040/1001.6770.92%Current
POWI
Power Integrations
44/10043/10024/10052/1000.4463.20%ONTO vs POWI
RMBS
Rambus Inc
48/10040/10025/10042/1000.5179.27%ONTO vs RMBS
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology
55/10038/10046/10045/1001.7283.41%ONTO vs SIMO
SITM
SiTime Corporation
31/10024/10031/10029/1001.5185.75%ONTO vs SITM
Pairwise Compare links: POWI · RMBS · SIMO · SITMONTO vs POWIONTO vs RMBSONTO vs SIMOONTO vs SITMCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 4, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ONTO stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 5, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
95.66
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
17.53%
Gross margin
50.36%
Current debt / equity
0.77
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$343.13M
Quarter net income
$60.1M
Quarter free cash flow
$57.85M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
21.13
MACD
-9.51

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
40/100
Beta
1.59
Annual volatility
70.92%
Max drawdown
-42.31%

ONTO Stock FAQ

What is ONTO stock price today?

Onto Innovation Inc.'s current stock price is $268.01. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ONTO bullish or bearish right now?

ONTO's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ONTO's market cap?

ONTO's market cap is $12.75B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ONTO's current P/E ratio?

ONTO's current P/E ratio is 52.86 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ONTO's RSI?

ONTO's 14-day RSI is 21.13 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ONTO above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ONTO is -8.83% from its 50-day SMA and 11.19% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ONTO's next earnings date?

ONTO's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 5, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ONTO pay a dividend?

ONTO's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.