OR vs RGLD Stock Comparison
Compare OR and RGLD across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between OR and RGLD?
OR leads the current stock comparison as OR Royalties Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
OR Royalties Inc. vs Royal Gold, Inc.
OR leads
OR leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Quality, having only recently taken the lead back from RGLD. Wall Street currently favors RGLD on target upside.
Fragile: 1 of 6 evidence groups support OR, and the lead recently changed hands.
OR Royalties Inc.
Royal Gold, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors OR over RGLD, 56 versus 55 as of Sep 11, 2026. OR's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality, while RGLD holds the stronger risk resilience profile. OR also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors RGLD. 1 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OR today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. OR lead: Reversed — RGLD led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; OR now leads by 1.
Compare OR Royalties Inc. and Royal Gold, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare OR and RGLD against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality80 vs 71OR +9
- Risk Resilience55 vs 60RGLD +5
- Value34 vs 36Even
- Momentum56 vs 56Even
1 of 6 evidence groups favor OR. OR’s edge is concentrated in quality; RGLD keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -14
New signals
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -13
No new signals fired.
OR's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — OR and RGLD both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
OR (OR Royalties Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality.
RGLD (Royal Gold, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, technicals, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
OROR on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
RGLDRGLD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
RGLDRGLD on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors OR, analyst targets favor RGLD. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | OR | RGLD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +11.9% | +21.4% | RGLD has more room |
| Target dispersion | +27.3% | +14.7% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 3 | 4 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OR. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 56 vs 55 |
| Fundamentals | OR | revenue growth -3.5% vs -4%; EPS growth -15.4% vs -16%; TTM ROE 21.8% vs 11.5%; gross margin 84.5% vs 66.8%; operating margin 76.3% vs 63.1% |
| Valuation | Even | Value 34 vs 36 |
| Technicals | RGLD | Price vs 50-day 10.4% vs 12.7%; vs 200-day -2.8% vs 6.9% |
| Risk Resilience | RGLD | Risk Resilience 55 vs 60 |
| Analyst expectations | RGLD | Target upside 11.9% vs 21.4% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of OR and RGLD and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on OR.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10OR lead: Reversed — RGLD led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; OR now leads by 1.
- Today
- OR +1
- 56 vs 55
- 7 sessions ago
- OR +2
- 61 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- RGLD +2
- 62 vs 64
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 48 vs 48
The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Sep 2 when OR moved ahead of RGLD.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (12.99%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.66%)
1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (6.21%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
RGLD is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 4 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.53%, AIQ -4 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -0.67%, AIQ -3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1RGLD closes the Quality gap — currently 9 points behind, the largest single contributor to OR's edge.
- 2RGLD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3OR starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
OR leads on balance| Metric | OR | RGLD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -3.5% | -4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -15.4% | -16% |
| Gross margin | 84.5% | 66.8% |
| Operating margin | 76.3% | 63.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 21.8% | 11.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.15 | 0.05 |
Performance
RGLD leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | OR | RGLD |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2.6% | -1.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 6.3% | 9.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 13.9% | 28.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -16.6% | -7.9% |
| Year to date | 1.3% | 14.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 2.4% | 36.2% |
Technicals
RGLD has the stronger structure| Metric | OR | RGLD |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 52.3 | 51.4 |
| ADX (14) | 28.4 | 36.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | 10.4% | 12.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | -2.8% | 6.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 48.4% | 42% |
Risk
RGLD is the more resilient| Metric | OR | RGLD |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.44 | 1.35 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.23 | 0.88 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.31 | 1.28 |
| Max drawdown | -41.2% | -38.4% |
| Current drawdown | -24.9% | -16.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 47.7% | 41.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5% | -4.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, OR or RGLD?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, OR is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 56 against RGLD's 55. The edge comes from quality. RGLD is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is OR or RGLD the better buy right now?
OR carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor OR over RGLD?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. OR leads Quality by 9 points; RGLD leads Risk Resilience by 5 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, OR or RGLD?
Analyst price targets imply +11.9% upside for OR and +21.4% for RGLD, so the Street currently favors RGLD. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors OR. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, OR or RGLD?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, OR or RGLD?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, OR or RGLD?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, OR or RGLD?
RGLD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. RGLD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is OR more profitable than RGLD?
OR leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 84.5% vs 66.8%; operating margin 76.3% vs 63.1%; ttm roe 21.8% vs 11.5%.
Is OR's lead over RGLD getting stronger or weaker?
OR lead: Reversed — RGLD led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; OR now leads by 1. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-02, when OR moved ahead of RGLD.
What would change the OR vs RGLD verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: RGLD closes the Quality gap — currently 9 points behind, the largest single contributor to OR's edge; RGLD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; OR starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about OR and RGLD?
OR: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral. RGLD: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on OR is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On RGLD it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare OR and RGLD with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.