OTIS vs SWK Stock Comparison
Compare OTIS and SWK across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between OTIS and SWK?
SWK leads the current stock comparison as Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Otis Worldwide Corporation vs Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.
SWK leads
SWK leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Momentum, but the lead has narrowed from 7 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors OTIS on target upside.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support SWK, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Otis Worldwide Corporation
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SWK over OTIS, 48 versus 47 as of Sep 11, 2026. SWK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and momentum. SWK also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors OTIS. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SWK today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. SWK lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 1 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Otis Worldwide Corporation and Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare OTIS and SWK against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience53 vs 60SWK +7
- Momentum24 vs 28SWK +4
- Quality44 vs 43Even
- Value66 vs 65Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor SWK. SWK’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and momentum.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -3
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience -1
No new signals fired.
SWK's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — OTIS and SWK both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SWK (Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and momentum.
OTIS (Otis Worldwide Corporation): the counter-case, on fundamentals, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SWKSWK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
OTISOTIS on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
SWKSWK on the Momentum factor, by 4 points.
Lower downside
SWKSWK on Risk Resilience, by 7 points.
Analyst upside
OTISOTIS on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors SWK, analyst targets favor OTIS. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | OTIS | SWK | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +29.7% | -1.6% | OTIS has more room |
| Target dispersion | +33.5% | +15.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 3 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SWK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 47 vs 48 |
| Fundamentals | OTISon balance | revenue growth 8.2% vs 3%; EPS growth 26.1% vs 4.9%; TTM ROE -27.3% vs 6.9%; gross margin 30.2% vs 31.7%; operating margin 15.4% vs 8.3% — OTIS takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 66 vs 65 |
| Technicals | SWK | Price vs 50-day -4.2% vs -6.1%; vs 200-day -14.8% vs 8.3% |
| Risk Resilience | SWK | Risk Resilience 53 vs 60 |
| Analyst expectations | OTIS | Target upside 29.7% vs -1.6% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of OTIS and SWK and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SWK.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10SWK lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 1 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SWK +1
- 47 vs 48
- 7 sessions ago
- SWK +3
- 52 vs 55
- 30 sessions ago
- SWK +7
- 51 vs 58
- 90 sessions ago
- SWK +1
- 56 vs 57
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Sep 9 when SWK moved ahead of OTIS.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (10.50%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
3 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (15.39%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
SWK leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.78%, AIQ -1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.01%, AIQ -1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1OTIS closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 7 points behind, the largest single contributor to SWK's edge.
- 2OTIS's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3SWK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 1-point move would eliminate SWK's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
OTIS leads on balance| Metric | OTIS | SWK |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.2% | 3% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 26.1% | 4.9% |
| Gross margin | 30.2% | 31.7% |
| Operating margin | 15.4% | 8.3% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -27.3% | 6.9% |
| Debt to equity | -1.54 | 0.53 |
Performance
SWK leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | OTIS | SWK |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -4.2% | -7.9% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -8.2% | -13.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -2.5% | 15.2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -19.8% | 21% |
| Year to date | -20.3% | 20.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -22.3% | 15.5% |
Technicals
SWK has the stronger structure| Metric | OTIS | SWK |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 29.3 | 27.1 |
| ADX (14) | 12.3 | 19.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | -4.2% | -6.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | -14.8% | 8.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 19.1% | 25.1% |
Risk
SWK is the more resilient| Metric | OTIS | SWK |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.31 | 1.57 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.29 | 0.48 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.99 | 0.86 |
| Max drawdown | -27.5% | -26.9% |
| Current drawdown | -27.5% | -14.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 21.4% | 37.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.1% | -3.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, OTIS or SWK?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SWK is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 48 against OTIS's 47. The edge comes from risk resilience and momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is OTIS or SWK the better buy right now?
SWK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SWK over OTIS?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. SWK leads Risk Resilience by 7 points; SWK leads Momentum by 4 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, OTIS or SWK?
Analyst price targets imply +29.7% upside for OTIS and -1.6% for SWK, so the Street currently favors OTIS. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors SWK. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, OTIS or SWK?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, OTIS or SWK?
OTIS on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, OTIS or SWK?
SWK on the Momentum factor, by 4 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, OTIS or SWK?
SWK is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SWK on Risk Resilience, by 7 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is OTIS more profitable than SWK?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 30.2% vs 31.7%; operating margin 15.4% vs 8.3%; ttm roe -27.3% vs 6.9%. OTIS leads on one measure and SWK on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is SWK's lead over OTIS getting stronger or weaker?
SWK lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-09, when SWK moved ahead of OTIS.
What would change the OTIS vs SWK verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: OTIS closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 7 points behind, the largest single contributor to SWK's edge; OTIS's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; SWK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 1-point move would eliminate SWK's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about OTIS and SWK?
OTIS: 2 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. SWK: 3 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on OTIS is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On SWK it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare OTIS and SWK with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.