PDD vs YMM Stock Comparison
Compare PDD and YMM across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between PDD and YMM?
YMM leads the current stock comparison as Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
PDD Holdings Inc. vs Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
YMM leads
YMM leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from PDD.
Fragile: 5 of 6 evidence groups support YMM, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
PDD Holdings Inc.
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors YMM over PDD, 58 versus 54 as of Sep 11, 2026. YMM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while PDD holds the stronger quality profile. YMM also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor YMM today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. YMM lead: Reversed — PDD led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; YMM now leads by 4.
Compare PDD Holdings Inc. and Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare PDD and YMM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value57 vs 67YMM +10
- Momentum22 vs 32YMM +10
- Quality77 vs 70PDD +7
- Risk Resilience57 vs 60Even
5 of 6 evidence groups favor YMM. YMM’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; PDD keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1
New signals
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
YMM's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — PDD and YMM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
YMM (Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
PDD (PDD Holdings Inc.): the counter-case, on quality.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
YMMYMM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
PDDPDD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
YMMYMM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points.
Momentum
YMMYMM on the Momentum factor, by 10 points.
Lower downside
PDDPDD carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
YMMYMM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | PDD | YMM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +36.7% | +39.7% | YMM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +52.7% | +29.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 9 | 3 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor YMM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | YMM | 54 vs 58 |
| Fundamentals | YMMon balance | revenue growth 5.8% vs 18.4%; EPS growth 117.1% vs 8.2%; TTM ROE 22% vs 10.6%; gross margin 56.3% vs 65.9%; operating margin 21.9% vs 33.6% — YMM takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | YMM | Value 57 vs 67 |
| Technicals | YMM | Price vs 50-day -9.3% vs -8.5%; vs 200-day -20.1% vs -12.4% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 57 vs 60 |
| Analyst expectations | YMM | Target upside 36.7% vs 39.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of PDD and YMM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on YMM.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10YMM lead: Reversed — PDD led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; YMM now leads by 4.
- Today
- YMM +4
- 54 vs 58
- 7 sessions ago
- YMM +4
- 55 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- PDD +8
- 64 vs 56
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 59 vs 59
The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Aug 11 when PDD moved ahead of YMM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (13.68%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (3.98%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
YMM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.04%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.37%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1PDD closes the Value gap — currently 10 points behind, the largest single contributor to YMM's edge.
- 2PDD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3YMM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
YMM leads on balance| Metric | PDD | YMM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 5.8% | 18.4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 117.1% | 8.2% |
| Gross margin | 56.3% | 65.9% |
| Operating margin | 21.9% | 33.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 22% | 10.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.01 | 0 |
Performance
YMM leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | PDD | YMM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -5.4% | -5.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -12.6% | -12.2% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -4.9% | -2.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -24.4% | -10.8% |
| Year to date | -31.4% | -24.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -37.3% | -38.4% |
Technicals
YMM has the stronger structure| Metric | PDD | YMM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 14 | 38.6 |
| ADX (14) | 18.7 | 28.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | -9.3% | -8.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | -20.1% | -12.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 30.9% | 32.3% |
Risk
Split| Metric | PDD | YMM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.99 | 1.26 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.38 | -1.23 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.91 | -1.61 |
| Max drawdown | -46.9% | -46.1% |
| Current drawdown | -43.6% | -41.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 33.7% | 37.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.6% | -3.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, PDD or YMM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, YMM is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 58 against PDD's 54. The edge comes from value and momentum. PDD is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is PDD or YMM the better buy right now?
YMM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor YMM over PDD?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. YMM leads Value by 10 points; YMM leads Momentum by 10 points; PDD leads Quality by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, PDD or YMM?
Analyst price targets imply +36.7% upside for PDD and +39.7% for YMM, so the Street currently favors YMM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, PDD or YMM?
YMM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. YMM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, PDD or YMM?
PDD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, PDD or YMM?
YMM on the Momentum factor, by 10 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, PDD or YMM?
PDD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PDD carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is PDD more profitable than YMM?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 56.3% vs 65.9%; operating margin 21.9% vs 33.6%; ttm roe 22% vs 10.6%. PDD leads on one measure and YMM on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is YMM's lead over PDD getting stronger or weaker?
YMM lead: Reversed — PDD led by 8 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; YMM now leads by 4. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-11, when PDD moved ahead of YMM.
What would change the PDD vs YMM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: PDD closes the Value gap — currently 10 points behind, the largest single contributor to YMM's edge; PDD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; YMM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about PDD and YMM?
PDD: 1 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted. YMM: 1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on PDD is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On YMM it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare PDD and YMM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.