POST vs SJM Stock Comparison
Compare POST and SJM across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between POST and SJM?
POST and SJM are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Post Holdings, Inc. vs The J. M. Smucker Company
POST and SJM are effectively level
POST and SJM are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Post Holdings, Inc.
The J. M. Smucker Company
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate POST and SJM as of Sep 11, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare Post Holdings, Inc. and The J. M. Smucker Company across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare POST and SJM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value69 vs 52POST +17
- Quality21 vs 33SJM +12
- Momentum46 vs 54SJM +8
- Risk Resilience45 vs 41POST +4
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -2
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -6
No new signals fired.
SJM's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — POST and SJM both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
SJMSJM on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
POSTPOST on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points.
Momentum
SJMSJM on the Momentum factor, by 8 points.
Lower downside
POSTPOST on Risk Resilience, by 4 points.
Analyst upside
POSTPOST on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | POST | SJM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +41.5% | +4.7% | POST has more room |
| Target dispersion | +29.1% | +48.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 14 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 45 vs 45 |
| Fundamentals | SJMon balance | revenue growth -4.6% vs -2.2%; EPS growth -17.5% vs -16.5%; TTM ROE 8.7% vs 4.1%; gross margin 26.9% vs 38.7%; operating margin 10.1% vs 19.7% — SJM takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | POST | Value 69 vs 52 |
| Technicals | SJM | Price vs 50-day -6.2% vs 1%; vs 200-day -16.4% vs 13.1% |
| Risk Resilience | POST | Risk Resilience 45 vs 41 |
| Analyst expectations | POST | Target upside 41.5% vs 4.7% |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10SJM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 8 to 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 45 vs 45
- 7 sessions ago
- SJM +3
- 48 vs 51
- 30 sessions ago
- SJM +8
- 38 vs 46
- 90 sessions ago
- SJM +1
- 43 vs 44
The lead changed hands 7 times in this window, most recently on Aug 7 when SJM moved ahead of POST.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (12.40%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (12.04%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -0.11%, AIQ -1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.06%, AIQ -2 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
SJM leads on balance| Metric | POST | SJM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -4.6% | -2.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -17.5% | -16.5% |
| Gross margin | 26.9% | 38.7% |
| Operating margin | 10.1% | 19.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 8.7% | 4.1% |
| Debt to equity | 2.48 | 1.2 |
Performance
SJM leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | POST | SJM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -4.8% | -6.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -0.4% | 1.9% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -14.2% | 3.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -21% | 12.5% |
| Year to date | -19% | 23.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -24.5% | 8.5% |
Technicals
SJM has the stronger structure| Metric | POST | SJM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 54.8 | 45.5 |
| ADX (14) | 13.9 | 23 |
| Price vs 50-day | -6.2% | 1% |
| Price vs 200-day | -16.4% | 13.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 28.6% | 28.7% |
Risk
POST is the more resilient| Metric | POST | SJM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.09 | -0.25 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.85 | 0.31 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.09 | 0.56 |
| Max drawdown | -33.5% | -22.8% |
| Current drawdown | -29.9% | -8.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 31.4% | 29.1% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3% | -2.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, POST or SJM?
Analyst price targets imply +41.5% upside for POST and +4.7% for SJM, so the Street currently favors POST. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, POST or SJM?
POST is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. POST on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, POST or SJM?
SJM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, POST or SJM?
SJM on the Momentum factor, by 8 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, POST or SJM?
POST is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. POST on Risk Resilience, by 4 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is POST more profitable than SJM?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 26.9% vs 38.7%; operating margin 10.1% vs 19.7%; ttm roe 8.7% vs 4.1%. POST leads on one measure and SJM on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
What do the current signals say about POST and SJM?
POST: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. SJM: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on POST is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On SJM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare POST and SJM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.