PSEC vs TPVG Stock Comparison
PSEC currently leads TPVG in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 50 vs 47. The clearest difference is value.
What is the main difference between PSEC and TPVG?
PSEC leads the current stock comparison as Prospect Capital Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Prospect Capital Corporation vs TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
PSEC leads
PSEC leads by 3 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 7 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support PSEC, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Prospect Capital Corporation
TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors PSEC over TPVG, 50 versus 47 as of Oct 22, 2026. PSEC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and quality. PSEC also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PSEC today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. PSEC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 3 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Prospect Capital Corporation and TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare PSEC and TPVG against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value70 vs 63PSEC +7
- Quality58 vs 52PSEC +6
- Risk Resilience37 vs 40Even
- Momentum25 vs 25Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor PSEC. PSEC’s edge is concentrated in value and quality.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 7 active signals are unchanged.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 6 active signals are unchanged.
PSEC's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — PSEC and TPVG both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
PSEC (Prospect Capital Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and quality.
TPVG (TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.): the counter-case, on fundamentals, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
PSECPSEC on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TPVGTPVG on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
PSECPSEC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
TPVGTPVG carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
PSECPSEC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | PSEC | TPVG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +70.1% | +18.2% | PSEC has more room |
| Target dispersion | 0% | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Sell | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | PSEC | TPVG |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | -5.59% | -10.43% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $0.720 | $1.440 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $0.540 | $0.830 |
| Years increased | 0 | 2 |
| No cut in window | No (2) | No (2) |
| Cohort rank | not ranked | not ranked |
PSEC grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — -5.59% a year against TPVG's -10.43%.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PSEC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 50 vs 47 |
| Fundamentals | TPVGon balance | revenue growth 4.5% vs 8.9%; EPS growth -266.7% vs 73.3%; TTM ROE 4.1% vs 11%; gross margin 79.7% vs 76%; operating margin 51% vs 65.6% — TPVG takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | PSEC | Value 70 vs 63 |
| Technicals | TPVG | Price vs 50-day -29.8% vs -15.8%; vs 200-day -37.4% vs -18.8% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 37 vs 40 |
| Analyst expectations | PSEC | Target upside 70.1% vs 18.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of PSEC and TPVG and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on PSEC.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20PSEC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 3 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- PSEC +3
- 50 vs 47
- 7 sessions ago
- PSEC +4
- 51 vs 47
- 30 sessions ago
- PSEC +7
- 55 vs 48
- 90 sessions ago
- TPVG +15
- 43 vs 58
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Sep 2 when PSEC moved ahead of TPVG.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only PSEC
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.65%)
1 bullish / 5 bearish, conflicted
No signal that the other name lacks.
Both carry 6 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, Keltner Channel Breakdown, RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce, 52-Week Low Proximity, Downtrend Structure Active, MACD Bearish Crossover.
PSEC leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.34%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.4%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TPVG closes the Value gap — currently 7 points behind, the largest single contributor to PSEC's edge.
- 2TPVG's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3PSEC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 5 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 4 points over 30 sessions, and a further 3-point move would eliminate PSEC's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TPVG leads on balance| Metric | PSEC | TPVG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 4.5% | 8.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -266.7% | 73.3% |
| Gross margin | 79.7% | 76% |
| Operating margin | 51% | 65.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 4.1% | 11% |
| Debt to equity | 0.41 | 1.26 |
Performance
TPVG leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | PSEC | TPVG |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -10.8% | -4.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -27.2% | -12.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -29.5% | -6.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -43.6% | -20% |
| Year to date | -38.1% | -32.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -46.2% | -22.1% |
Technicals
TPVG has the stronger structure| Metric | PSEC | TPVG |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 7.2 | 18 |
| ADX (14) | 49.1 | 20.2 |
| Price vs 50-day | -29.8% | -15.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | -37.4% | -18.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 34.5% | 23.8% |
Risk
Split| Metric | PSEC | TPVG |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.57 | -0.68 |
| Sortino ratio | -2.32 | -1.13 |
| Max drawdown | -51.1% | -36.8% |
| Current drawdown | -51.1% | -36.8% |
| Annualized volatility | 36.8% | 35.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.8% | -3.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, PSEC or TPVG?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, PSEC is the stronger of the two as of Oct 22, 2026, scoring 50 against TPVG's 47. The edge comes from value and quality. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is PSEC or TPVG the better buy right now?
PSEC carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 22, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor PSEC over TPVG?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. PSEC leads Value by 7 points; PSEC leads Quality by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, PSEC or TPVG?
Analyst price targets imply +70.1% upside for PSEC and +18.2% for TPVG, so the Street currently favors PSEC. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, PSEC or TPVG?
PSEC is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. PSEC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, PSEC or TPVG?
TPVG on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, PSEC or TPVG?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, PSEC or TPVG?
TPVG is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TPVG carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is PSEC more profitable than TPVG?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 79.7% vs 76%; operating margin 51% vs 65.6%; ttm roe 4.1% vs 11%. PSEC leads on one measure and TPVG on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is PSEC's lead over TPVG getting stronger or weaker?
PSEC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 3 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-09-02, when PSEC moved ahead of TPVG.
What would change the PSEC vs TPVG verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TPVG closes the Value gap — currently 7 points behind, the largest single contributor to PSEC's edge; TPVG's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; PSEC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 5 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 4 points over 30 sessions, and a further 3-point move would eliminate PSEC's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about PSEC and TPVG?
PSEC: 1 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. TPVG: 1 bullish / 5 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on PSEC is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On TPVG it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare PSEC and TPVG with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.