RKLB vs SPIR Stock Comparison
Compare RKLB and SPIR across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between RKLB and SPIR?
RKLB and SPIR are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. vs Spire Global, Inc.
RKLB and SPIR are effectively level
RKLB and SPIR are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
Spire Global, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate RKLB and SPIR as of Sep 11, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare Rocket Lab USA, Inc. and Spire Global, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare RKLB and SPIR against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience43 vs 35RKLB +8
- Value34 vs 36Even
- Quality46 vs 46Even
- Momentum24 vs 24Even
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1
New signals
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (0.96%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — RKLB and SPIR both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
SPIRSPIR on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
RKLBRKLB on Risk Resilience, by 8 points.
Analyst upside
SPIRSPIR on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | RKLB | SPIR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +75.9% | +81.7% | SPIR has more room |
| Target dispersion | +47% | +43.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 9 | 3 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 36 vs 36 |
| Fundamentals | RKLBon balance | revenue growth 16.8% vs 14%; EPS growth -14.3% vs 33.3%; TTM ROE -7.6% vs -75.2%; gross margin 37.3% vs 37.7%; operating margin -29.1% vs -125.6% — RKLB takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 34 vs 36 |
| Technicals | SPIR | Price vs 50-day -13.8% vs -14.6%; vs 200-day -22.2% vs -16.4% |
| Risk Resilience | RKLB | Risk Resilience 43 vs 35 |
| Analyst expectations | SPIR | Target upside 75.9% vs 81.7% |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10SPIR lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 11 to 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 36 vs 36
- 7 sessions ago
- Level
- 36 vs 36
- 30 sessions ago
- SPIR +11
- 45 vs 56
- 90 sessions ago
- SPIR +13
- 38 vs 51
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (9.24%)
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (0.96%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.6%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.24%, AIQ 0 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
RKLB leads on balance| Metric | RKLB | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 16.8% | 14% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -14.3% | 33.3% |
| Gross margin | 37.3% | 37.7% |
| Operating margin | -29.1% | -125.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -7.6% | -75.2% |
| Debt to equity | 0.04 | 0.05 |
Performance
SPIR leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | RKLB | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -1.8% | -5.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -23.7% | -23.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -41% | -31.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -13.9% | 2.3% |
| Year to date | -11.1% | 50.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 29.8% | 25.9% |
Technicals
SPIR has the stronger structure| Metric | RKLB | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 23 | 20 |
| ADX (14) | 21.2 | 25.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | -13.8% | -14.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -22.2% | -16.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 40.7% | 48.8% |
Risk
RKLB is the more resilient| Metric | RKLB | SPIR |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.65 | 3.49 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.71 | 0.7 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.28 | 1.14 |
| Max drawdown | -61% | -58.6% |
| Current drawdown | -58.8% | -55.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 95.1% | 104.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -9.5% | -9.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, RKLB or SPIR?
Analyst price targets imply +75.9% upside for RKLB and +81.7% for SPIR, so the Street currently favors SPIR. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, RKLB or SPIR?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, RKLB or SPIR?
SPIR on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, RKLB or SPIR?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, RKLB or SPIR?
RKLB is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. RKLB on Risk Resilience, by 8 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is RKLB more profitable than SPIR?
RKLB leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 37.3% vs 37.7%; operating margin -29.1% vs -125.6%; ttm roe -7.6% vs -75.2%.
What do the current signals say about RKLB and SPIR?
RKLB: 1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. SPIR: 1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on RKLB is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On SPIR it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare RKLB and SPIR with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.