ROKU vs SPOT Stock Comparison
Roku, Inc. vs Spotify Technology S.A.
SPOT leads
SPOT leads by 8 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from ROKU.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support SPOT, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Roku, Inc.
Spotify Technology S.A.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SPOT over ROKU, 62 versus 54 as of Sep 2, 2026. SPOT's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while ROKU holds the stronger risk resilience profile. SPOT also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SPOT today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. SPOT lead: Reversed — ROKU led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; SPOT now leads by 8.
Compare Roku, Inc. and Spotify Technology S.A. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality30%62 vs 84SPOT +22
- Risk Resilience15%66 vs 52ROKU +14
- Momentum25%75 vs 85SPOT +10
- Value30%24 vs 26Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor SPOT. SPOT’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; ROKU keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
SPOT's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ROKU and SPOT both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SPOT (Spotify Technology S.A.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
ROKU (Roku, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SPOTSPOT on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
ROKUROKU on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
SPOTSPOT on the Momentum factor, by 10 points.
Lower downside
ROKUROKU on Risk Resilience, by 14 points.
Analyst upside
SPOTSPOT on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ROKU | SPOT | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -1.4% | +10% | SPOT has more room |
| Target dispersion | +35.3% | +39.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 16 | 10 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SPOT. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SPOT | 54 vs 62 |
| Fundamentals | SPOTon balance | revenue growth 8.5% vs 20.5%; EPS growth 91.4% vs -14.9%; ROE 13.2% vs 40.5%; gross margin 45.5% vs 32.8%; operating margin 5.2% vs 14.6% — SPOT takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 24 vs 26 |
| Technicals | ROKU | Price vs 50-day 7.7% vs 12.9%; vs 200-day 34.3% vs 6.8% |
| Risk Resilience | ROKU | Risk Resilience 66 vs 52 |
| Analyst expectations | SPOT | Target upside -1.4% vs 10% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ROKU and SPOT and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 8 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SPOT.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1SPOT lead: Reversed — ROKU led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; SPOT now leads by 8.
- Today
- SPOT +8
- 54 vs 62
- 7 sessions ago
- SPOT +9
- 53 vs 62
- 30 sessions ago
- ROKU +1
- 56 vs 55
- 90 sessions ago
- ROKU +7
- 51 vs 44
The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Aug 3 when ROKU moved ahead of SPOT.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (25.53%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (1.3%)
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (2.91%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.82%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
SPOT leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.54%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +2.61%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ROKU closes the Quality gap — currently 22 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPOT's edge.
- 2ROKU generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3SPOT's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
SPOT leads on balance| Metric | ROKU | SPOT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.5% | 20.5% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 91.4% | -14.9% |
| Gross margin | 45.5% | 32.8% |
| Operating margin | 5.2% | 14.6% |
| Return on equity | 13.2% | 40.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.14 | 0.06 |
Technicals
ROKU has the stronger structure| Metric | ROKU | SPOT |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 67.2 | 62.9 |
| ADX (14) | 51.2 | 11.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | 7.7% | 12.9% |
| Price vs 200-day | 34.3% | 6.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 17% | 43.4% |
Risk
ROKU is the more resilient| Metric | ROKU | SPOT |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.53 | 0.35 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.23 | -0.4 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.19 | -0.6 |
| Max drawdown | -27.7% | -44.1% |
| Current drawdown | -1.8% | -26.4% |
| Annualized volatility | 42.9% | 44.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.5% | -4.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ROKU or SPOT?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SPOT is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 62 against ROKU's 54. The edge comes from quality and momentum. ROKU is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ROKU or SPOT the better buy right now?
SPOT carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SPOT over ROKU?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. SPOT leads Quality by 22 points; ROKU leads Risk Resilience by 14 points; SPOT leads Momentum by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ROKU or SPOT?
Analyst price targets imply -1.4% upside for ROKU and +10% for SPOT, so the Street currently favors SPOT. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ROKU or SPOT?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ROKU or SPOT?
ROKU on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ROKU or SPOT?
SPOT on the Momentum factor, by 10 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ROKU or SPOT?
ROKU is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ROKU on Risk Resilience, by 14 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ROKU more profitable than SPOT?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 45.5% vs 32.8%; operating margin 5.2% vs 14.6%; roe 13.2% vs 40.5%. ROKU leads on one measure and SPOT on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is SPOT's lead over ROKU getting stronger or weaker?
SPOT lead: Reversed — ROKU led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; SPOT now leads by 8. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-03, when ROKU moved ahead of SPOT.
What would change the ROKU vs SPOT verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ROKU closes the Quality gap — currently 22 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPOT's edge; ROKU generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; SPOT's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ROKU and SPOT?
ROKU: 4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. SPOT: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ROKU is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SPOT it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare ROKU and SPOT with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.