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Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) Stock Analysis

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

SPOT Stock Analysis Summary

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) currently has an AIQ Score of 58/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 79/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

SPOT at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$593.44
AIQ Score58/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$120.11B
P/E Ratio (TTM)35.32
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-09-30)$2.90
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-09-30)$5.72B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta1.61
Volume3.23M
52-week range$405.00-$673.16
RSI 1458.74
50-Day SMA$529.38
200-Day SMA$496.94
Analyst Price Target$603.79
Next EarningsFeb 9, 2027
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

SPOTSpotify Technology S.A.

Communication Services / Internet Content & Information

Relative Leader / Watch

Strong Relative Position

NeutralEdge 8/10
$593.44+$36.20 (+6.50%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    78
  • Value
    24
  • Quality
    79
  • Risk resilience
    49
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

SPOT Stock Analysis Summary

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) currently has an AIQ Score of 58/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 79/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, SPOT has AIQ Score of 58/100 with Quality base of 79/100 and fading Value at 24/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (79/100) leads while Value (24/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Communication Services · 6.50% stock move · SPOT classified in Internet Content & Information.

Current Evidence

NeutralSPOT is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 79/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is SPOT Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

SPOT currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 79/100, while Value is weakest at 24/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 79/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 78/100.
  • - Price is +5.26% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +1.74% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (36 vs 2).
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 24/100.

Current Consensus

SPOT's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 36 buy, 7 neutral, and 2 sell votes. SPOT's 14-day RSI is 58.74, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. SPOT's beta is 1.61, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in SPOT?

The largest recent change in SPOT is Momentum moving down by 17.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-4.0
Momentum
-17.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-1.0

What Would Change the SPOT Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

SPOT Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Spotify Technology S.A..

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) Stock Analysis

Spotify Technology S.A. has an AIQ Score of 58/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 79/100. Beta is 1.61, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextSPOT is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 58/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 79/100 while value lags at 24/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 78/100 · Value 24/100 · Quality 79/100 · Risk 49/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 79/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 78/100 and RSI (14) is 58.7.

Regime fitWait

SPOT is in a Neutral regime at 58/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 49/100 with beta 1.61 and annual volatility 46.56%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 79/100 while value lags at 24/100.

AIQ Score
58/100
Price
$593.44
Beta
1.61
RSI (14)
58.7

SPOT Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

SPOT Fundamentals

SPOT valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$5.72B
Net income
$595.97M
Free cash flow
$791.69M
View full SPOT fundamental analysis

SPOT Technical Analysis

SPOT technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
58.74
Price vs SMA-50
+5.26%
View full SPOT technical analysis

SPOT Stock Catalysts

Track SPOT earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Feb 9, 2027
Analyst target
$603.79
News items
5
View SPOT earnings and stock catalysts

SPOT Dividend Analysis

SPOT dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
—
Payout ratio
0.00%
View SPOT dividend history and analysis

SPOT Financial Data

SPOT revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$5.72B
EPS
$2.90
Periods
8
View SPOT financials

SPOT Risk Analysis

SPOT volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.61
Risk score
49/100
1Y volatility
46.56%
View SPOT risk analysis

SPOT Stock News

SPOT stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Oct 30, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read SPOT stock news

SPOT vs Streaming and Media Peers

Current peer cohort: SPOT · NFLX · ROKU · DIS. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
SPOT
Current stock
58/10024/10078/10049/100-0.2446.56%Current
NFLX
Netflix
48/10033/10023/10045/100-1.5335.92%SPOT vs NFLX
ROKU
Roku
54/10024/10073/10068/1001.2440.67%SPOT vs ROKU
DIS
Walt Disney
57/10051/10071/10060/1000.0127.02%SPOT vs DIS
Pairwise Compare links: NFLX · ROKU · DISSPOT vs NFLXSPOT vs ROKUSPOT vs DISCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

How SPOT scores against the names it is most often compared with.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a SPOT stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
35.32
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
33.82%
Gross margin
33.08%
Current debt / equity
0.05
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Sep 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$5.72B
Quarter net income
$595.97M
Quarter free cash flow
$791.69M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
58.74
MACD
11.71

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
49/100
Beta
1.61
Annual volatility
46.56%
Max drawdown
-37.99%

SPOT Stock FAQ

What is SPOT stock price today?

Spotify Technology S.A.'s current stock price is $593.44. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is SPOT bullish or bearish right now?

SPOT's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is SPOT's market cap?

SPOT's market cap is $120.11B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is SPOT's current P/E ratio?

SPOT's current P/E ratio is 35.32 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is SPOT's RSI?

SPOT's 14-day RSI is 58.74 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is SPOT above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

SPOT is 5.26% from its 50-day SMA and 12.13% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is SPOT's next earnings date?

SPOT's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 9, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does SPOT pay a dividend?

SPOT's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.