SMPL vs SYY Stock Comparison
Compare SMPL and SYY across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between SMPL and SYY?
SYY leads the current stock comparison as Sysco Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
The Simply Good Foods Company vs Sysco Corporation
SYY leads
SYY leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 0 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors SMPL on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support SYY, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
The Simply Good Foods Company
Sysco Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SYY over SMPL, 51 versus 47 as of Sep 11, 2026. SYY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and momentum, while SMPL holds the stronger value profile. SYY also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors SMPL. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SYY today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. SYY lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare The Simply Good Foods Company and Sysco Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare SMPL and SYY against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience39 vs 58SYY +19
- Value70 vs 57SMPL +13
- Momentum33 vs 45SYY +12
- Quality40 vs 48SYY +8
3 of 6 evidence groups favor SYY. SYY’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and momentum; SMPL keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
No new signals fired.
SYY's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SMPL and SYY both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SYY (Sysco Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and momentum.
SMPL (The Simply Good Foods Company): the counter-case, on value, fundamentals, valuation — but at materially higher volatility, 53% against 15.8%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SYYSYY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
SMPLSMPL on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
SMPLSMPL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 13 points.
Momentum
SYYSYY on the Momentum factor, by 12 points.
Lower downside
SYYSYY on Risk Resilience, by 19 points.
Analyst upside
SMPLSMPL on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors SYY, analyst targets favor SMPL. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | SMPL | SYY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +47.8% | +1.3% | SMPL has more room |
| Target dispersion | +61.9% | +1.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 9 | 3 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SYY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SYY | 47 vs 51 |
| Fundamentals | SMPLon balance | revenue growth 9.5% vs 7.8%; EPS growth 66.5% vs 63.4%; TTM ROE -12.3% vs 75.5%; gross margin 32.1% vs 18.5%; operating margin 5.9% vs 3.7% — SMPL takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | SMPL | Value 70 vs 57 |
| Technicals | SYY | Price vs 50-day -13.1% vs 0.3%; vs 200-day -29.6% vs 3.6% |
| Risk Resilience | SYY | Risk Resilience 39 vs 58 |
| Analyst expectations | SMPL | Target upside 47.8% vs 1.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of SMPL and SYY and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SYY.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10SYY lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SYY +4
- 47 vs 51
- 7 sessions ago
- SMPL +2
- 52 vs 50
- 30 sessions ago
- Level
- 53 vs 53
- 90 sessions ago
- SYY +5
- 55 vs 60
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Sep 8 when SYY moved ahead of SMPL.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (28.39%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (1.6%)
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (4.39%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
SYY leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -3.91%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.09%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SMPL closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 19 points behind, the largest single contributor to SYY's edge.
- 2SMPL's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3SYY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
SMPL leads on balance| Metric | SMPL | SYY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 9.5% | 7.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 66.5% | 63.4% |
| Gross margin | 32.1% | 18.5% |
| Operating margin | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -12.3% | 75.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.28 | 5.61 |
Performance
SYY leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | SMPL | SYY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -9.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -6.4% | -2.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -18.8% | 4.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -31% | -2.7% |
| Year to date | -49% | 11.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -63.7% | 0.9% |
Technicals
SYY has the stronger structure| Metric | SMPL | SYY |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 40.2 | 46.2 |
| ADX (14) | 12.8 | 13 |
| Price vs 50-day | -13.1% | 0.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | -29.6% | 3.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 53% | 15.8% |
Risk
SYY is the more resilient| Metric | SMPL | SYY |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.83 | 0.06 |
| Sortino ratio | -2.22 | 0.07 |
| Max drawdown | -63.8% | -24% |
| Current drawdown | -63.6% | -9.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 50.5% | 26.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.7% | -2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, SMPL or SYY?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SYY is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 51 against SMPL's 47. The edge comes from risk resilience and momentum. SMPL is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is SMPL or SYY the better buy right now?
SYY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SYY over SMPL?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. SYY leads Risk Resilience by 19 points; SMPL leads Value by 13 points; SYY leads Momentum by 12 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, SMPL or SYY?
Analyst price targets imply +47.8% upside for SMPL and +1.3% for SYY, so the Street currently favors SMPL. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors SYY. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, SMPL or SYY?
SMPL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SMPL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 13 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, SMPL or SYY?
SMPL on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, SMPL or SYY?
SYY on the Momentum factor, by 12 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, SMPL or SYY?
SYY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SYY on Risk Resilience, by 19 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is SMPL more profitable than SYY?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 32.1% vs 18.5%; operating margin 5.9% vs 3.7%; ttm roe -12.3% vs 75.5%. SMPL leads on two measures and SYY on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is SYY's lead over SMPL getting stronger or weaker?
SYY lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-08, when SYY moved ahead of SMPL.
What would change the SMPL vs SYY verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SMPL closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 19 points behind, the largest single contributor to SYY's edge; SMPL's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; SYY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about SMPL and SYY?
SMPL: 0 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral. SYY: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on SMPL is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On SYY it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare SMPL and SYY with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.