SPGI vs TPG Stock Comparison
SPGI currently leads TPG in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 60 vs 41. The clearest difference is momentum.
What is the main difference between SPGI and TPG?
SPGI leads the current stock comparison as S&P Global Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
S&P Global Inc. vs TPG Inc.
SPGI leads
SPGI leads by 19 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Quality, and the lead has widened from 9 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors TPG on target upside.
Competitive: 3 of 6 evidence groups support SPGI, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
S&P Global Inc.
TPG Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SPGI over TPG, 60 versus 41 as of Oct 31, 2026. SPGI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and quality. SPGI also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors TPG. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SPGI today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. SPGI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 9 to 19 points over 30 sessions.
Compare S&P Global Inc. and TPG Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare SPGI and TPG against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum91 vs 40SPGI +51
- Quality68 vs 49SPGI +19
- Risk Resilience63 vs 49SPGI +14
- Value26 vs 29Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor SPGI. SPGI’s edge is concentrated in momentum and quality.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-30, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-29.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
SPGI's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SPGI and TPG both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SPGI (S&P Global Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and quality.
TPG (TPG Inc.): the counter-case, on fundamentals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 34.6% against 21.3%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SPGISPGI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TPGTPG on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
SPGISPGI on the Momentum factor, by 51 points.
Lower downside
SPGISPGI on Risk Resilience, by 14 points.
Analyst upside
TPGTPG on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors SPGI, analyst targets favor TPG. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | SPGI | TPG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +8.6% | +23.6% | TPG has more room |
| Target dispersion | +10.7% | +31.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SPGI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SPGI | 60 vs 41 |
| Fundamentals | TPGon balance | EPS growth -12.2% vs 9.8%; TTM ROE 15.5% vs 18.6%; gross margin 70.9% vs 95.9%; operating margin 46.3% vs 17.7% — TPG takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 26 vs 29 |
| Technicals | SPGI | Price vs 50-day 11% vs -1.1%; vs 200-day 4.2% vs -2.8% |
| Risk Resilience | SPGI | Risk Resilience 63 vs 49 |
| Analyst expectations | TPG | Target upside 8.6% vs 23.6% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of SPGI and TPG and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 19 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SPGI.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jul 1 – Oct 30SPGI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 9 to 19 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SPGI +19
- 60 vs 41
- 7 sessions ago
- SPGI +20
- 61 vs 41
- 30 sessions ago
- SPGI +9
- 50 vs 41
- 90 sessions ago
- SPGI +2
- 59 vs 57
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Aug 24 when SPGI moved ahead of TPG.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
Only SPGI
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (2.64%)
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral
Only TPG
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (2.94%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.56%)
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bullish Crossover.
SPGI leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.28%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -2.63%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TPG closes the Momentum gap — currently 51 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPGI's edge.
- 2TPG's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3SPGI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TPG leads on balance| Metric | SPGI | TPG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -0.6% | 271.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -12.2% | 9.8% |
| Gross margin | 70.9% | 95.9% |
| Operating margin | 46.3% | 17.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 15.5% | 18.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.5 | 2.42 |
Performance
SPGI leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | SPGI | TPG |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 12.5% | 1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 3.7% | 6% |
| Year to date | -14% | -30.2% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -8.2% | -21.1% |
Technicals
SPGI has the stronger structure| Metric | SPGI | TPG |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 85 | 47.1 |
| ADX (14) | 32.1 | 17 |
| Price vs 50-day | 11% | -1.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 4.2% | -2.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 21.3% | 34.6% |
Risk
SPGI is the more resilient| Metric | SPGI | TPG |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.32 | 1.47 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.29 | -0.52 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.35 | -0.79 |
| Max drawdown | -29.3% | -45.5% |
| Current drawdown | -17.8% | -36% |
| Annualized volatility | 30.2% | 39.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.9% | -4.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, SPGI or TPG?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SPGI is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 60 against TPG's 41. The edge comes from momentum and quality. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is SPGI or TPG the better buy right now?
SPGI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SPGI over TPG?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. SPGI leads Momentum by 51 points; SPGI leads Quality by 19 points; SPGI leads Risk Resilience by 14 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, SPGI or TPG?
Analyst price targets imply +8.6% upside for SPGI and +23.6% for TPG, so the Street currently favors TPG. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors SPGI. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, SPGI or TPG?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, SPGI or TPG?
TPG on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, SPGI or TPG?
SPGI on the Momentum factor, by 51 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, SPGI or TPG?
SPGI is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPGI on Risk Resilience, by 14 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is SPGI more profitable than TPG?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 70.9% vs 95.9%; operating margin 46.3% vs 17.7%; ttm roe 15.5% vs 18.6%. SPGI leads on one measure and TPG on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is SPGI's lead over TPG getting stronger or weaker?
SPGI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 9 to 19 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-07-01 and 2026-10-30. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-24, when SPGI moved ahead of TPG.
What would change the SPGI vs TPG verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TPG closes the Momentum gap — currently 51 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPGI's edge; TPG's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; SPGI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about SPGI and TPG?
SPGI: 2 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. TPG: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on SPGI is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On TPG it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare SPGI and TPG with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.