STLD vs TROX Stock Comparison
Compare STLD and TROX across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between STLD and TROX?
STLD leads the current stock comparison as Steel Dynamics, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Steel Dynamics, Inc. vs Tronox Holdings plc
STLD leads
STLD leads by 22 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 7 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors TROX on target upside.
Competitive: 3 of 6 evidence groups support STLD, its lead is widening, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
Tronox Holdings plc
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors STLD over TROX, 56 versus 34 as of Sep 11, 2026. STLD's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while TROX holds the stronger value profile. STLD also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors TROX. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor STLD today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. STLD lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 22 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Steel Dynamics, Inc. and Tronox Holdings plc across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare STLD and TROX against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality48 vs 2STLD +46
- Momentum66 vs 25STLD +41
- Value58 vs 65TROX +7
- Risk Resilience52 vs 49Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor STLD. STLD’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; TROX keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +2
No new signals fired.
STLD's lead widened by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — STLD and TROX both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
TROX (Tronox Holdings plc): the counter-case, on value, valuation, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
STLDSTLD on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
STLDSTLD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TROXTROX on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points.
Momentum
STLDSTLD on the Momentum factor, by 41 points.
Lower downside
TROXTROX carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
TROXTROX on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors STLD, analyst targets favor TROX. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | STLD | TROX | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +10% | +85.7% | TROX has more room |
| Target dispersion | +41.7% | +60.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 6 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor STLD. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | STLD | 56 vs 34 |
| Fundamentals | STLD | revenue growth 17% vs 14.2%; EPS growth 32.6% vs -64.6%; TTM ROE 17.6% vs -40.4%; gross margin 14.6% vs 5.3%; operating margin 10.6% vs -3.5% |
| Valuation | TROX | Value 58 vs 65 |
| Technicals | STLD | Price vs 50-day -1% vs -24.2%; vs 200-day 12% vs -30.9% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 52 vs 49 |
| Analyst expectations | TROX | Target upside 10% vs 85.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of STLD and TROX and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 22 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on STLD.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10STLD lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 22 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- STLD +22
- 56 vs 34
- 7 sessions ago
- STLD +20
- 53 vs 33
- 30 sessions ago
- STLD +7
- 43 vs 36
- 90 sessions ago
- STLD +8
- 41 vs 33
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (14.44%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.53%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (15.97%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
TROX is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.14%, AIQ +2 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -3.7%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TROX closes the Quality gap — currently 46 points behind, the largest single contributor to STLD's edge.
- 2TROX's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3STLD's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
STLD leads on balance| Metric | STLD | TROX |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 17% | 14.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 32.6% | -64.6% |
| Gross margin | 14.6% | 5.3% |
| Operating margin | 10.6% | -3.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 17.6% | -40.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.44 | 2.9 |
Performance
STLD leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | STLD | TROX |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -4.3% | -10.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -9.9% | -25.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -11.1% | -35.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 28.7% | -31.8% |
| Year to date | 39.9% | 10.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 76.2% | 2.8% |
Technicals
STLD has the stronger structure| Metric | STLD | TROX |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 69.4 | 15.2 |
| ADX (14) | 13.2 | 34.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | -1% | -24.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 12% | -30.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 46.1% | 39.4% |
Risk
Split| Metric | STLD | TROX |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.17 | 2.02 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.71 | 0.57 |
| Max drawdown | -22.6% | -56.2% |
| Current drawdown | -16.2% | -56.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 36.6% | 78.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.3% | -6.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, STLD or TROX?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, STLD is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 56 against TROX's 34. The edge comes from quality and momentum. TROX is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is STLD or TROX the better buy right now?
STLD carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor STLD over TROX?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. STLD leads Quality by 46 points; STLD leads Momentum by 41 points; TROX leads Value by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, STLD or TROX?
Analyst price targets imply +10% upside for STLD and +85.7% for TROX, so the Street currently favors TROX. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors STLD. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, STLD or TROX?
TROX is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TROX on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, STLD or TROX?
STLD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, STLD or TROX?
STLD on the Momentum factor, by 41 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, STLD or TROX?
TROX is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TROX carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is STLD more profitable than TROX?
STLD leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 14.6% vs 5.3%; operating margin 10.6% vs -3.5%; ttm roe 17.6% vs -40.4%.
Is STLD's lead over TROX getting stronger or weaker?
STLD lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 22 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the STLD vs TROX verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TROX closes the Quality gap — currently 46 points behind, the largest single contributor to STLD's edge; TROX's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; STLD's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about STLD and TROX?
STLD: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. TROX: 1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on STLD is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TROX it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare STLD and TROX with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.