STM vs TEL Stock Comparison
Compare STM and TEL across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between STM and TEL?
TEL leads the current stock comparison as TE Connectivity plc, with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
STMicroelectronics N.V. vs TE Connectivity plc
TEL leads
TEL leads by 16 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 19 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors STM on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support TEL, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
STMicroelectronics N.V.
TE Connectivity plc
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TEL over STM, 60 versus 44 as of Sep 6, 2026. TEL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and quality. TEL also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors STM. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TEL today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. TEL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 19 to 16 points over 30 sessions. TEL leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare STMicroelectronics N.V. and TE Connectivity plc across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare STM and TEL against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%40 vs 67TEL +27
- Quality30%45 vs 63TEL +18
- Risk Resilience15%54 vs 63TEL +9
- Momentum25%41 vs 48TEL +7
4 of 6 evidence groups favor TEL. TEL’s edge is concentrated in value and quality.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-05, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-04.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
TEL's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — STM and TEL both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TEL (TE Connectivity plc): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and quality.
STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.): the counter-case, on technicals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 40.5% against 31.7%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TELTEL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
STMSTM on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TELTEL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 27 points.
Momentum
TELTEL on the Momentum factor, by 7 points.
Lower downside
TELTEL on Risk Resilience, by 9 points.
Analyst upside
STMSTM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors TEL, analyst targets favor STM. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | STM | TEL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +39.8% | +22% | STM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +71.2% | +29.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TEL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TEL | 44 vs 60 |
| Fundamentals | TELon balance | revenue growth 12.7% vs 8.8%; EPS growth 5.3% vs -12%; TTM ROE 2.7% vs 23.2%; gross margin 34.3% vs 35.4%; operating margin 5.8% vs 19.1% — TEL takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TEL | Value 40 vs 67 |
| Technicals | STM | Price vs 50-day -9.9% vs 1.5%; vs 200-day 15.3% vs -3.5% |
| Risk Resilience | TEL | Risk Resilience 54 vs 63 |
| Analyst expectations | STM | Target upside 39.8% vs 22% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of STM and TEL and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 16 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TEL.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 24 – Sep 5TEL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 19 to 16 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- TEL +16
- 44 vs 60
- 7 sessions ago
- TEL +12
- 42 vs 54
- 30 sessions ago
- TEL +19
- 45 vs 64
- 90 sessions ago
- TEL +10
- 44 vs 54
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on May 12 when TEL moved ahead of STM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (27.99%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.05%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (5.18%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
TEL leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.87%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.36%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1STM closes the Value gap — currently 27 points behind, the largest single contributor to TEL's edge.
- 2STM's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3TEL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 16-point move would eliminate TEL's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TEL leads on balance| Metric | STM | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 5.3% | -12% |
| Gross margin | 34.3% | 35.4% |
| Operating margin | 5.8% | 19.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 2.7% | 23.2% |
| Debt to equity | 0.23 | 0.43 |
Performance
STM leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | STM | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 5.8% | 3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -6.9% | -3.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -26.1% | -1.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 66.6% | 1.4% |
| Year to date | 101.4% | -8.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 102.5% | 1.3% |
Technicals
STM has the stronger structure| Metric | STM | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.9 | 40.7 |
| ADX (14) | 26.2 | 12.8 |
| Price vs 50-day | -9.9% | 1.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | 15.3% | -3.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 40.5% | 31.7% |
Risk
TEL is the more resilient| Metric | STM | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.69 | 1.56 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.38 | 0.06 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| Max drawdown | -39.5% | -21.4% |
| Current drawdown | -34.6% | -16.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 59.7% | 34.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.5% | -3.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, STM or TEL?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TEL is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 60 against STM's 44. The edge comes from value and quality. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is STM or TEL the better buy right now?
TEL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TEL over STM?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. TEL leads Value by 27 points; TEL leads Quality by 18 points; TEL leads Risk Resilience by 9 points. TEL leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by STM simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, STM or TEL?
Analyst price targets imply +39.8% upside for STM and +22% for TEL, so the Street currently favors STM. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors TEL. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, STM or TEL?
TEL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TEL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 27 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, STM or TEL?
STM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, STM or TEL?
TEL on the Momentum factor, by 7 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, STM or TEL?
TEL is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TEL on Risk Resilience, by 9 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is STM more profitable than TEL?
TEL leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 34.3% vs 35.4%; operating margin 5.8% vs 19.1%; ttm roe 2.7% vs 23.2%.
Is TEL's lead over STM getting stronger or weaker?
TEL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 19 to 16 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-24 and 2026-09-05. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-05-12, when TEL moved ahead of STM.
What would change the STM vs TEL verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: STM closes the Value gap — currently 27 points behind, the largest single contributor to TEL's edge; STM's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; TEL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 16-point move would eliminate TEL's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about STM and TEL?
STM: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. TEL: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on STM is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TEL it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare STM and TEL with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.