TDG vs TGI Stock Comparison

Compare TDG and TGI across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 11, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 1 points
TDG
Industrials
vs
TGI
Industrials
TDG
TransDigm Group Incorporated
Price
$1,140
Day move
+1.19%
AIQ Score
42/100
Best edge
Risk Resilience
Sector
Industrials
TGI
Triumph Group, Inc.
Leads
Price
$26.01
Day move
-
AIQ Score
43/100
Best edge
Balanced
Sector
Industrials

What is the main difference between TDG and TGI?

TGI leads the current stock comparison as Triumph Group, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from balanced and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

TransDigm Group Incorporated vs Triumph Group, Inc.

Data as of Sep 11, 2026· market close· Industrials· Coverage 53/66 fields· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 2/10

TGI leads

TGI leads by 1 AIQ points.

Fragile: 1 of 5 evidence groups support TGI.

Evidence agreement: 1 of 5Comparison trend: Stable
TDG

TransDigm Group Incorporated

AIQ Score
42/100
AIQ Edge Score
3/10
TGI

Triumph Group, Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
43/100
AIQ Edge Score
4/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TGI over TDG, 43 versus 42 as of Sep 11, 2026. 1 of 5 covered evidence groups favor TGI today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. TGI lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.

Compare TransDigm Group Incorporated and Triumph Group, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Price-return comparison using available daily close history.

TDG
+84.2%
TGI
+41.0%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000

TDG $18,421 · TGI $14,104

Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

TDG advantage
0
TGI advantage
  • Risk Resilience76 vs 43
    TDG +33
  • Quality57 vs 44
    TDG +13
  • Value39 vs 41
    Even

1 of 5 evidence groups favor TGI. Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.

TDG0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +1

No new signals fired.

TGI0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

TGI's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TDG and TGI both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

TGI (Triumph Group, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile.

TDG (TransDigm Group Incorporated): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, fundamentals.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

TGI

TGI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

TGI

TGI on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

Even

The two are level on Value.

Momentum

Even

The two are level on Momentum.

Lower downside

TDG

TDG on Risk Resilience, by 33 points.

Analyst upside

TGI

TGI on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureTDGTGINote
Implied upside to target+33.1%+238.3%TGI has more room
Target dispersion+23.1%0%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyHoldContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering61Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

1 of 5 covered evidence groups favor TGI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven42 vs 43
FundamentalsTDGon balancerevenue growth 7.7% vs 19.8%; EPS growth 2.1% vs 89.5%; TTM ROE -21% vs -45.2%; gross margin 59.6% vs 31.5%; operating margin 46.2% vs 11% — TDG takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationEvenValue 39 vs 41
TechnicalsNot coveredNot covered
Risk ResilienceTDGRisk Resilience 76 vs 43
Analyst expectationsTGITarget upside 33.1% vs 238.3%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TDG and TGI and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Only 1 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TGI.

How the comparison changed

119 daily snapshots · May 4 Sep 10

TGI lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.

May 4TDG leads above the line · TGI leads belowSep 10
Today
TGI +1
42 vs 43
7 sessions ago
Level
43 vs 43
30 sessions ago
TGI +3
47 vs 50
90 sessions ago
TDG +8
58 vs 50

The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Jul 27 when TDG moved ahead of TGI.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

TDG

0 bullish / 5 bearish

  • Death Cross Active bearish, trend, long horizon (2.92%)
  • Keltner Channel Breakdown bearish, volatility, short horizon
  • 52-Week Low Proximity bearish, risk, long horizon (0.0%)
TGI

No active signals

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

TDGNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.19%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1TDG's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
  2. 2TGI starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
  3. 3A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

TDG leads on balance
MetricTDGTGI
Revenue growth (YoY)7.7%19.8%
EPS growth (YoY)2.1%89.5%
Gross margin59.6%31.5%
Operating margin46.2%11%
Return on equity (TTM)-21%-45.2%
Debt to equity-2.74-12.91

Performance

Split across windows
MetricTDGTGI
1 week (5 sessions)-2.3%
1 month (20 sessions)-8.8%
3 months (63 sessions)-7.1%
6 months (126 sessions)-10.4%
Year to date-14.3%
1 year (252 sessions)-12.9%

Technicals

Split
MetricTDGTGI
RSI (14)31.1
ADX (14)19.2
Price vs 50-day-7.3%
Price vs 200-day-11%
Volatility (1M, annualized)19.6%

Risk

TDG is the more resilient
MetricTDGTGI
Beta0.69
Sharpe ratio-0.57
Sortino ratio-0.77
Max drawdown-22.4%
Current drawdown-22.3%
Annualized volatility27.3%
Value at risk (95%)-2.6%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, TDG or TGI?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TGI is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 43 against TDG's 42. The edge comes from its factor profile. TDG is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is TDG or TGI the better buy right now?

TGI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor TGI over TDG?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TDG leads Risk Resilience by 33 points; TDG leads Quality by 13 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, TDG or TGI?

Analyst price targets imply +33.1% upside for TDG and +238.3% for TGI, so the Street currently favors TGI. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, TDG or TGI?

Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, TDG or TGI?

TGI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, TDG or TGI?

The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, TDG or TGI?

TDG is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TDG on Risk Resilience, by 33 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is TDG more profitable than TGI?

TDG leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 59.6% vs 31.5%; operating margin 46.2% vs 11%; ttm roe -21% vs -45.2%.

Is TGI's lead over TDG getting stronger or weaker?

TGI lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-27, when TDG moved ahead of TGI.

What would change the TDG vs TGI verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TDG's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; TGI starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about TDG and TGI?

TDG: 0 bullish / 5 bearish. TGI: No active signals. The most decision-relevant rule on TDG is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).

Compare TDG and TGI with others

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.