TDG vs VSEC Stock Comparison
Compare TDG and VSEC across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between TDG and VSEC?
TDG leads the current stock comparison as TransDigm Group Incorporated, with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
TransDigm Group Incorporated vs VSE Corporation
TDG leads
TDG leads by 8 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, having only recently taken the lead back from VSEC.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support TDG, and the lead recently changed hands.
TransDigm Group Incorporated
VSE Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TDG over VSEC, 42 versus 34 as of Sep 11, 2026. TDG's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality, while VSEC holds the stronger momentum profile. TDG also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TDG today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. TDG lead: Reversed — VSEC led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TDG now leads by 8.
Compare TransDigm Group Incorporated and VSE Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare TDG and VSEC against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience76 vs 51TDG +25
- Quality57 vs 35TDG +22
- Momentum9 vs 19VSEC +10
- Value39 vs 36Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor TDG. TDG’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality; VSEC keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No new signals fired.
TDG's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TDG and VSEC both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TDG (TransDigm Group Incorporated): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.
VSEC (VSE Corporation): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 50.7% against 19.6%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TDGTDG on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
VSECVSEC on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
VSECVSEC on the Momentum factor, by 10 points.
Lower downside
TDGTDG on Risk Resilience, by 25 points.
Analyst upside
TDGTDG on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | TDG | VSEC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +33.1% | +29.7% | TDG has more room |
| Target dispersion | +23.1% | +31.6% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 4 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TDG. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TDG | 42 vs 34 |
| Fundamentals | TDGon balance | revenue growth 7.7% vs 38.4%; EPS growth 2.1% vs -13.2%; TTM ROE -21% vs 3.7%; gross margin 59.6% vs 14%; operating margin 46.2% vs 11.2% — TDG takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 39 vs 36 |
| Technicals | VSEC | Price vs 50-day -7.3% vs -8.3%; vs 200-day -11% vs -2.8% |
| Risk Resilience | TDG | Risk Resilience 76 vs 51 |
| Analyst expectations | TDG | Target upside 33.1% vs 29.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TDG and VSEC and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 8 points.
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TDG.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10TDG lead: Reversed — VSEC led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TDG now leads by 8.
- Today
- TDG +8
- 42 vs 34
- 7 sessions ago
- TDG +9
- 43 vs 34
- 30 sessions ago
- VSEC +1
- 47 vs 48
- 90 sessions ago
- TDG +11
- 58 vs 47
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Aug 24 when TDG moved ahead of VSEC.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 5 bearish
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (2.92%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (0.0%)
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.29%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.20%)
VSEC is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.19%, AIQ 0 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.21%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1VSEC closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to TDG's edge.
- 2VSEC's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3TDG starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TDG leads on balance| Metric | TDG | VSEC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 7.7% | 38.4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 2.1% | -13.2% |
| Gross margin | 59.6% | 14% |
| Operating margin | 46.2% | 11.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -21% | 3.7% |
| Debt to equity | -2.74 | 0.35 |
Performance
VSEC leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | TDG | VSEC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2.3% | -2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -8.8% | -20.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -7.1% | 11.2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -10.4% | -10.5% |
| Year to date | -14.3% | 11.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -12.9% | 17.3% |
Technicals
VSEC has the stronger structure| Metric | TDG | VSEC |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 31.1 | 34.8 |
| ADX (14) | 19.2 | 18.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | -7.3% | -8.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | -11% | -2.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 19.6% | 50.7% |
Risk
TDG is the more resilient| Metric | TDG | VSEC |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.69 | 2.32 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.57 | 0.51 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.77 | 0.84 |
| Max drawdown | -22.4% | -30.4% |
| Current drawdown | -22.3% | -20.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 27.3% | 58.1% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.6% | -5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TDG or VSEC?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TDG is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 42 against VSEC's 34. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. VSEC is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TDG or VSEC the better buy right now?
TDG carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TDG over VSEC?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TDG leads Risk Resilience by 25 points; TDG leads Quality by 22 points; VSEC leads Momentum by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, TDG or VSEC?
Analyst price targets imply +33.1% upside for TDG and +29.7% for VSEC, so the Street currently favors TDG. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TDG or VSEC?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TDG or VSEC?
VSEC on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TDG or VSEC?
VSEC on the Momentum factor, by 10 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TDG or VSEC?
TDG is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TDG on Risk Resilience, by 25 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TDG more profitable than VSEC?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 59.6% vs 14%; operating margin 46.2% vs 11.2%; ttm roe -21% vs 3.7%. TDG leads on two measures and VSEC on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is TDG's lead over VSEC getting stronger or weaker?
TDG lead: Reversed — VSEC led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TDG now leads by 8. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-08-24, when TDG moved ahead of VSEC.
What would change the TDG vs VSEC verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: VSEC closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to TDG's edge; VSEC's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; TDG starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about TDG and VSEC?
TDG: 0 bullish / 5 bearish. VSEC: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TDG is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On VSEC it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare TDG and VSEC with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.