TPG vs TROW Stock Comparison
Compare TPG and TROW across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between TPG and TROW?
TROW leads the current stock comparison as T. Rowe Price Group, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
TPG Inc. vs T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.
TROW leads
TROW leads by 24 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, and the lead has widened from 0 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors TPG on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support TROW, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
TPG Inc.
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TROW over TPG, 59 versus 35 as of Sep 11, 2026. TROW's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality. TROW also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors TPG. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TROW today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the lead has swung materially session to session. TROW lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 24 points over 30 sessions. TROW leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare TPG Inc. and T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare TPG and TROW against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience41 vs 73TROW +32
- Quality49 vs 80TROW +31
- Value29 vs 53TROW +24
- Momentum22 vs 31TROW +9
4 of 6 evidence groups favor TROW. TROW’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -15
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
TROW's lead widened by 4 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TPG and TROW both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TROW (T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.
TPG (TPG Inc.): the counter-case, on analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 47.5% against 14.1%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TROWTROW on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TPGTPG on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TROWTROW on the peer-relative Value factor, by 24 points.
Momentum
TROWTROW on the Momentum factor, by 9 points.
Lower downside
TROWTROW on Risk Resilience, by 32 points.
Analyst upside
TPGTPG on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors TROW, analyst targets favor TPG. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | TPG | TROW | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +21% | +0.4% | TPG has more room |
| Target dispersion | +31.2% | +31.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Sell | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | 6 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TROW. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TROW | 35 vs 59 |
| Fundamentals | TROWon balance | revenue growth 271.1% vs 2.7%; EPS growth 9.8% vs 29.1%; TTM ROE 18.6% vs 20.4%; gross margin 95.9% vs 70.7%; operating margin 17.7% vs 30.3% — TROW takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TROW | Value 29 vs 53 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day 0.3% vs -6.9%; vs 200-day -4.3% vs 3.6% |
| Risk Resilience | TROW | Risk Resilience 41 vs 73 |
| Analyst expectations | TPG | Target upside 21% vs 0.4% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TPG and TROW and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 24 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TROW.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10TROW lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 24 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- TROW +24
- 35 vs 59
- 7 sessions ago
- TROW +15
- 47 vs 62
- 30 sessions ago
- Level
- 58 vs 58
- 90 sessions ago
- TROW +20
- 51 vs 71
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Aug 14 when TPG moved ahead of TROW.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (3.15%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (10.03%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
TROW leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 4 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.62%, AIQ -4 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.17%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TPG closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 32 points behind, the largest single contributor to TROW's edge.
- 2TPG's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3TROW's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TROW leads on balance| Metric | TPG | TROW |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 271.1% | 2.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 9.8% | 29.1% |
| Gross margin | 95.9% | 70.7% |
| Operating margin | 17.7% | 30.3% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 18.6% | 20.4% |
| Debt to equity | 2.42 | 0.04 |
Performance
TROW leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | TPG | TROW |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -10.3% | -1.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -7.8% | -3.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 12.4% | 1.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 15.4% | 20.4% |
| Year to date | -26.5% | 5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -20.5% | -0.6% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | TPG | TROW |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 30.2 | 29.4 |
| ADX (14) | 35.5 | 23.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.3% | -6.9% |
| Price vs 200-day | -4.3% | 3.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 47.5% | 14.1% |
Risk
TROW is the more resilient| Metric | TPG | TROW |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.46 | -0.03 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.68 | -0.03 |
| Max drawdown | -45.5% | -20.9% |
| Current drawdown | -32.6% | -11.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 40.4% | 24.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.4% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TPG or TROW?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TROW is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 59 against TPG's 35. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TPG or TROW the better buy right now?
TROW carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TROW over TPG?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TROW leads Risk Resilience by 32 points; TROW leads Quality by 31 points; TROW leads Value by 24 points. TROW leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by TPG simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, TPG or TROW?
Analyst price targets imply +21% upside for TPG and +0.4% for TROW, so the Street currently favors TPG. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors TROW. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TPG or TROW?
TROW is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TROW on the peer-relative Value factor, by 24 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TPG or TROW?
TPG on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TPG or TROW?
TROW on the Momentum factor, by 9 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TPG or TROW?
TROW is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TROW on Risk Resilience, by 32 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TPG more profitable than TROW?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 95.9% vs 70.7%; operating margin 17.7% vs 30.3%; ttm roe 18.6% vs 20.4%. TPG leads on one measure and TROW on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is TROW's lead over TPG getting stronger or weaker?
TROW lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 24 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-08-14, when TPG moved ahead of TROW.
What would change the TPG vs TROW verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TPG closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 32 points behind, the largest single contributor to TROW's edge; TPG's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; TROW's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about TPG and TROW?
TPG: 2 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. TROW: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TPG is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On TROW it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare TPG and TROW with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.