TSLA vs HD Stock Comparison
Tesla, Inc. vs The Home Depot, Inc.
TSLA leads
TSLA leads by 6 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from HD.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support TSLA, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Tesla, Inc.
The Home Depot, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TSLA over HD, 47 versus 41 as of Sep 2, 2026. TSLA's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum, while HD holds the stronger quality profile. TSLA also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TSLA today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. TSLA lead: Reversed — HD led by 21 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TSLA now leads by 6.
Compare Tesla, Inc. and The Home Depot, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum25%82 vs 19TSLA +63
- Quality30%41 vs 55HD +14
- Value30%24 vs 36HD +12
- Risk Resilience15%47 vs 58HD +11
2 of 6 evidence groups favor TSLA. TSLA’s edge is concentrated in momentum; HD keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
TSLA's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TSLA and HD both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TSLA (Tesla, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum.
HD (The Home Depot, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, value, risk resilience.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TSLATSLA on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
TSLATSLA on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
HDHD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points.
Momentum
TSLATSLA on the Momentum factor, by 63 points.
Lower downside
HDHD on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
TSLATSLA on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | TSLA | HD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +23.7% | +16% | TSLA has more room |
| Target dispersion | +31% | +28.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 12 | 13 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TSLA. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TSLA | 47 vs 41 |
| Fundamentals | HDon balance | revenue growth 26.1% vs 9.3%; EPS growth 126.7% vs 27.8%; ROE 4.6% vs 113.3%; gross margin 18.9% vs 33.1%; operating margin 4.2% vs 12.4% — HD takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | HD | Value 24 vs 36 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day -1.6% vs -5.9%; vs 200-day -8.1% vs -4.9% |
| Risk Resilience | HD | Risk Resilience 47 vs 58 |
| Analyst expectations | TSLA | Target upside 23.7% vs 16% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TSLA and HD and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 6 points.
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TSLA.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1TSLA lead: Reversed — HD led by 21 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TSLA now leads by 6.
- Today
- TSLA +6
- 47 vs 41
- 7 sessions ago
- TSLA +3
- 44 vs 41
- 30 sessions ago
- HD +21
- 34 vs 55
- 90 sessions ago
- HD +24
- 32 vs 56
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Aug 20 when TSLA moved ahead of HD.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (11.32%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.72%)
1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (1.31%)
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
TSLA leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.52%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.13%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1HD closes the Momentum gap — currently 63 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSLA's edge.
- 2HD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3TSLA's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
HD leads on balance| Metric | TSLA | HD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 26.1% | 9.3% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 126.7% | 27.8% |
| Gross margin | 18.9% | 33.1% |
| Operating margin | 4.2% | 12.4% |
| Return on equity | 4.6% | 113.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.11 | 4.18 |
Technicals
Split| Metric | TSLA | HD |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 65 | 23.5 |
| ADX (14) | 20.4 | 10.8 |
| Price vs 50-day | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| Price vs 200-day | -8.1% | -4.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 41.1% | 23.8% |
Risk
HD is the more resilient| Metric | TSLA | HD |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.26 | 0.7 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.28 | -0.89 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.44 | -1.53 |
| Max drawdown | -39.1% | -29.7% |
| Current drawdown | -24.9% | -22.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 47.1% | 25.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.5% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TSLA or HD?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TSLA is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 47 against HD's 41. The edge comes from momentum. HD is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TSLA or HD the better buy right now?
TSLA carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TSLA over HD?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. TSLA leads Momentum by 63 points; HD leads Quality by 14 points; HD leads Value by 12 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, TSLA or HD?
Analyst price targets imply +23.7% upside for TSLA and +16% for HD, so the Street currently favors TSLA. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TSLA or HD?
HD is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. HD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TSLA or HD?
TSLA on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TSLA or HD?
TSLA on the Momentum factor, by 63 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TSLA or HD?
HD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. HD on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TSLA more profitable than HD?
HD leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 18.9% vs 33.1%; operating margin 4.2% vs 12.4%; roe 4.6% vs 113.3%.
Is TSLA's lead over HD getting stronger or weaker?
TSLA lead: Reversed — HD led by 21 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TSLA now leads by 6. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-20, when TSLA moved ahead of HD.
What would change the TSLA vs HD verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: HD closes the Momentum gap — currently 63 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSLA's edge; HD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; TSLA's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about TSLA and HD?
TSLA: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. HD: 1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TSLA is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On HD it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare TSLA and HD with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.