TSN vs USFD Stock Comparison
Compare TSN and USFD across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between TSN and USFD?
TSN leads the current stock comparison as Tyson Foods, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Tyson Foods, Inc. vs US Foods Holding Corp.
TSN leads
TSN leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Value, having only recently taken the lead back from USFD.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support TSN, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Tyson Foods, Inc.
US Foods Holding Corp.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TSN over USFD, 41 versus 40 as of Sep 11, 2026. TSN's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value, while USFD holds the stronger quality profile. TSN also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TSN today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. TSN lead: Reversed — USFD led by 5 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TSN now leads by 1.
Compare Tyson Foods, Inc. and US Foods Holding Corp. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare TSN and USFD against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value64 vs 47TSN +17
- Quality29 vs 36USFD +7
- Risk Resilience50 vs 56USFD +6
- Momentum24 vs 26Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor TSN. TSN’s edge is concentrated in value; USFD keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1
No new signals fired.
TSN's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TSN and USFD both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TSN (Tyson Foods, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value.
USFD (US Foods Holding Corp.): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TSNTSN on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
USFDUSFD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TSNTSN on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
USFDUSFD on Risk Resilience, by 6 points.
Analyst upside
TSNTSN on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | TSN | USFD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +32.7% | +16.3% | TSN has more room |
| Target dispersion | +24.2% | +35.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 5 | 6 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TSN. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 41 vs 40 |
| Fundamentals | USFD | revenue growth 1.6% vs 9.6%; EPS growth -29.3% vs 137.7%; TTM ROE 3.2% vs 16.7%; gross margin 6.2% vs 17.6%; operating margin 2.5% vs 3.2% |
| Valuation | TSN | Value 64 vs 47 |
| Technicals | USFD | Price vs 50-day -7.4% vs -7.6%; vs 200-day -13.2% vs 5.8% |
| Risk Resilience | USFD | Risk Resilience 50 vs 56 |
| Analyst expectations | TSN | Target upside 32.7% vs 16.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TSN and USFD and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TSN.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10TSN lead: Reversed — USFD led by 5 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TSN now leads by 1.
- Today
- TSN +1
- 41 vs 40
- 7 sessions ago
- USFD +4
- 41 vs 45
- 30 sessions ago
- USFD +5
- 47 vs 52
- 90 sessions ago
- USFD +6
- 48 vs 54
The lead changed hands 9 times in this window, most recently on Sep 9 when TSN moved ahead of USFD.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 5 bearish, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (5.62%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
3 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (13.68%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
TSN leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.99%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.75%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1USFD closes the Value gap — currently 17 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSN's edge.
- 2USFD's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3TSN's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 5 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
USFD leads on balance| Metric | TSN | USFD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 1.6% | 9.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -29.3% | 137.7% |
| Gross margin | 6.2% | 17.6% |
| Operating margin | 2.5% | 3.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 3.2% | 16.7% |
| Debt to equity | 0.44 | 1.22 |
Performance
USFD leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | TSN | USFD |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -6% | -8.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -6% | -12.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -6.5% | 6.5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -12.3% | 5.2% |
| Year to date | -10.5% | 27.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -6.2% | 22.7% |
Technicals
USFD has the stronger structure| Metric | TSN | USFD |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 22.7 | 16.2 |
| ADX (14) | 20.9 | 21.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | -7.4% | -7.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -13.2% | 5.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 32.8% | 23.5% |
Risk
USFD is the more resilient| Metric | TSN | USFD |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.06 | 0.17 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.25 | 0.71 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.39 | 1.3 |
| Max drawdown | -25.2% | -21.1% |
| Current drawdown | -23.7% | -13.4% |
| Annualized volatility | 26.6% | 30% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.2% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TSN or USFD?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TSN is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 41 against USFD's 40. The edge comes from value. USFD is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TSN or USFD the better buy right now?
TSN carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TSN over USFD?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TSN leads Value by 17 points; USFD leads Quality by 7 points; USFD leads Risk Resilience by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, TSN or USFD?
Analyst price targets imply +32.7% upside for TSN and +16.3% for USFD, so the Street currently favors TSN. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TSN or USFD?
TSN is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TSN on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TSN or USFD?
USFD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TSN or USFD?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TSN or USFD?
USFD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. USFD on Risk Resilience, by 6 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TSN more profitable than USFD?
USFD leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 6.2% vs 17.6%; operating margin 2.5% vs 3.2%; ttm roe 3.2% vs 16.7%.
Is TSN's lead over USFD getting stronger or weaker?
TSN lead: Reversed — USFD led by 5 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TSN now leads by 1. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 9 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-09, when TSN moved ahead of USFD.
What would change the TSN vs USFD verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: USFD closes the Value gap — currently 17 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSN's edge; USFD's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; TSN's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 5 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about TSN and USFD?
TSN: 1 bullish / 5 bearish, conflicted. USFD: 3 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TSN is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On USFD it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare TSN and USFD with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.