TTD vs TWLO Stock Comparison
Compare TTD and TWLO across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between TTD and TWLO?
TTD leads the current stock comparison as The Trade Desk, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
The Trade Desk, Inc. vs Twilio Inc.
TTD leads
TTD leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Value.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support TTD, and its current signal state is conflicted.
The Trade Desk, Inc.
Twilio Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TTD over TWLO, 57 versus 55 as of Sep 11, 2026. TTD's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and value, while TWLO holds the stronger momentum profile. TTD also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TTD today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. TTD lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions.
Compare The Trade Desk, Inc. and Twilio Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare TTD and TWLO against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum50 vs 63TWLO +13
- Quality74 vs 64TTD +10
- Value49 vs 41TTD +8
- Risk Resilience52 vs 52Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor TTD. TTD’s edge is concentrated in quality and value; TWLO keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No new signals fired.
TTD's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TTD and TWLO both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TTD (The Trade Desk, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and value.
TWLO (Twilio Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TTDTTD on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TTDTTD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TTDTTD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points.
Momentum
TWLOTWLO on the Momentum factor, by 13 points.
Lower downside
TWLOTWLO carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
TTDTTD on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | TTD | TWLO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +34% | +2.7% | TTD has more room |
| Target dispersion | +151% | +70.6% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 23 | 16 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TTD. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 57 vs 55 |
| Fundamentals | TTDon balance | revenue growth 3.8% vs 6.6%; EPS growth 75% vs 10.8%; TTM ROE 16.1% vs 14.1%; gross margin 83% vs 48.5%; operating margin 19.6% vs 5.5% — TTD takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TTD | Value 49 vs 41 |
| Technicals | TWLO | Price vs 50-day -12.1% vs 4.6%; vs 200-day -43.3% vs 40.2% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 52 vs 52 |
| Analyst expectations | TTD | Target upside 34% vs 2.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TTD and TWLO and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TTD.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10TTD lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- TTD +2
- 57 vs 55
- 7 sessions ago
- TTD +3
- 58 vs 55
- 30 sessions ago
- TTD +1
- 58 vs 57
- 90 sessions ago
- TTD +5
- 62 vs 57
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Aug 19 when TTD moved ahead of TWLO.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (51.08%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (31.81%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
TTD leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +2.65%, AIQ +1 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.64%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TWLO closes the Quality gap — currently 10 points behind, the largest single contributor to TTD's edge.
- 2TWLO generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3TTD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TTD leads on balance| Metric | TTD | TWLO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.8% | 6.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 75% | 10.8% |
| Gross margin | 83% | 48.5% |
| Operating margin | 19.6% | 5.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 16.1% | 14.1% |
| Debt to equity | 0.17 | 0.12 |
Performance
TWLO leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | TTD | TWLO |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -4% | 1.9% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 3.6% | -6.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -27.6% | 11.6% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -48.8% | 82.5% |
| Year to date | -63.2% | 62.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -73.2% | 111.9% |
Technicals
TWLO has the stronger structure| Metric | TTD | TWLO |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.5 | 57.5 |
| ADX (14) | 17.7 | 16.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | -12.1% | 4.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -43.3% | 40.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 50.3% | 48% |
Risk
Split| Metric | TTD | TWLO |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.83 | 1.39 |
| Sharpe ratio | -2.1 | 1.48 |
| Sortino ratio | -2.87 | 3.04 |
| Max drawdown | -75.9% | -24.7% |
| Current drawdown | -74.2% | -9.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 57.1% | 61.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.4% | -4.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TTD or TWLO?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TTD is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 57 against TWLO's 55. The edge comes from quality and value. TWLO is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TTD or TWLO the better buy right now?
TTD carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TTD over TWLO?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TWLO leads Momentum by 13 points; TTD leads Quality by 10 points; TTD leads Value by 8 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, TTD or TWLO?
Analyst price targets imply +34% upside for TTD and +2.7% for TWLO, so the Street currently favors TTD. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TTD or TWLO?
TTD is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TTD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TTD or TWLO?
TTD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TTD or TWLO?
TWLO on the Momentum factor, by 13 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TTD or TWLO?
TWLO is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TWLO carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TTD more profitable than TWLO?
TTD leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 83% vs 48.5%; operating margin 19.6% vs 5.5%; ttm roe 16.1% vs 14.1%.
Is TTD's lead over TWLO getting stronger or weaker?
TTD lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-19, when TTD moved ahead of TWLO.
What would change the TTD vs TWLO verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TWLO closes the Quality gap — currently 10 points behind, the largest single contributor to TTD's edge; TWLO generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; TTD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about TTD and TWLO?
TTD: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. TWLO: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TTD is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On TWLO it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare TTD and TWLO with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.