ETF Analysis
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) ETF Analysis
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) currently has an AIQ Score of 40/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 54/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 0/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
MSTY at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $15.27 |
| AIQ Score | 40/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Sell |
| Fund Size | $824.72M |
| Expense Ratio | 1.03% |
| Holdings Count | 24 |
| NAV | $13.78 |
| Asset Class | Alternatives |
| Primary Exposure | Cash & Others (100.00%) |
| Issuer | YieldMax |
| Domicile | US |
| Inception Date | Feb 21, 2024 |
| Distribution Yield | 147.34% |
| Beta | 2.15 |
| Average Volume | 1.97M |
| 52-week range | $11.53-$62.30 |
| RSI 14 | 41.06 |
| 50-Day SMA | $15.10 |
| 200-Day SMA | $19.81 |
| Risk Score | 0/100 |
| Momentum Score | 47/100 |
| Value Exposure Score | — |
MSTY Long-Horizon ETF Performance
Trailing returns, growth of $10,000, drawdown history, and calendar-year returns from available daily closes.
| Period | Total return | Annualized | Max drawdown | Start date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | -76.30% | -76.32% | -81.31% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| 3Y | -86.41% | -52.80% | -94.86% | Feb 22, 2024 |
| 5Y | -86.41% | -52.80% | -94.86% | Feb 22, 2024 |
| 10Y | -86.41% | -52.80% | -94.86% | Feb 22, 2024 |
Growth of $10,000
Indexed to the first available close in this history window.
Drawdown History
Peak-to-trough decline from each prior high over the available window.
Calendar-Year Returns
Full-year returns where available, with the current calendar year shown as YTD.
MSTYYieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF
Financial Services / Asset Management - Income
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Latest quote
- Momentum47
- Value—
- Quality54
- Risk resilience0
- Sentiment—
MSTY ETF Analysis Summary
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) currently has an AIQ Score of 40/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 54/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 0/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, MSTY has AIQ Score of 40/100 with Quality base of 54/100 and fading Risk resilience at 0/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Quality (54/100) leads while Risk resilience (0/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · 6.04% ETF move · MSTY classified in Asset Management - Income.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is MSTY Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
MSTY currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 54/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 0/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Price is +1.12% above its 50-day SMA.
- - Risk Resilience is weak at 0/100.
- - Price is -22.91% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (27 vs 9).
Current Consensus
MSTY's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 9 buy, 9 neutral, and 27 sell votes. MSTY's 14-day RSI is 41.06, which places the ETF in a weaker momentum range. MSTY's beta is 2.15, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in MSTY?
The largest recent change in MSTY is Momentum moving up by 23.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the MSTY Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, risk resilience improves, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, distribution or liquidity context deteriorates, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive market-context evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
MSTY Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF.
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) ETF Analysis
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF has an AIQ Score of 40/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 54/100. Beta is 2.15, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | MSTY is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 40/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that quality leads at 54/100 while risk lags at 0/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 47/100 · Quality 54/100 · Risk 0/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Quality is the strongest factor at 54/100.
Momentum is 47/100 and RSI (14) is 41.1.
MSTY is in a Neutral regime at 40/100.
Risk factor is 0/100 with beta 2.15 and annual volatility 71.38%.
Current conflict: quality leads at 54/100 while risk lags at 0/100.
MSTY Research Cluster
ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.
MSTY ETF Analytics
MSTY holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.
MSTY Technical Analysis
MSTY technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
MSTY ETF Market Context
Track MSTY market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.
MSTY Distribution Analysis
MSTY distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.
MSTY ETF Data
MSTY available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.
MSTY Risk Analysis
MSTY volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
MSTY ETF News
MSTY ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
MSTY vs Leveraged / Single-Stock Products Peers
Current peer cohort: MSTY · NVDL · TSLL · ULTY · BULL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTY Current ETF | 40/100 | — | 47/100 | 0/100 | -1.64 | 71.38% | Current |
| NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 41/100 | — | 37/100 | 0/100 | 0.52 | 75.18% | MSTY vs NVDL |
| TSLL Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X ETF | 45/100 | 24/100 | 68/100 | 0/100 | -0.35 | 90.20% | MSTY vs TSLL |
| ULTY YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF | 40/100 | 33/100 | 24/100 | 59/100 | -3.31 | 24.14% | MSTY vs ULTY |
| BULL Parabellum Acquisition Corp ⚠️ | 48/100 | 48/100 | 30/100 | 50/100 | -0.76 | 62.77% | MSTY vs BULL |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current ETF evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Valuation exposure across the fund's holdings.
Quality context inferred from fund exposure and available evidence.
Trend, momentum, volume, and timing confirmation.
Resilience, volatility, beta, drawdown, and tail risk.
News and event pressure around the setup.
Open the return calculator with ETF context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalystsNo quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.
Checked Oct 22, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
ETF Analytics Snapshot
Current ETF evidence uses fund profile, cost, size, distribution, momentum, and risk fields.
ETF pages use fund-native profile fields for cost, size, liquidity, holdings breadth, NAV, issuer, and launch date.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching MSTY
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for MSTY
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
MSTY ETF FAQ
What is MSTY ETF price today?
MSTY is currently shown at $15.27. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.
What is MSTY's 52-week high and low?
MSTY's 52-week range is $11.53 to $62.30 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.
Does MSTY pay a dividend?
MSTY's current distribution yield is 147.34% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.
What should investors compare before buying MSTY?
Compare MSTY's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.