ETF Analysis
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY) ETF Analysis
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY) currently has an AIQ Score of 40/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 59/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
ULTY at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $23.60 |
| AIQ Score | 40/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Fund Size | $1.54B |
| Expense Ratio | 1.40% |
| Holdings Count | 101 |
| NAV | $23.68 |
| Asset Class | Equity |
| Primary Exposure | Technology (48.89%) |
| Issuer | YieldMax |
| Domicile | US |
| Inception Date | Feb 28, 2024 |
| Distribution Yield | 94.41% |
| Beta | 1.45 |
| Average Volume | 476.23K |
| 52-week range | $23.42-$52.30 |
| RSI 14 | 27.13 |
| 50-Day SMA | $25.76 |
| 200-Day SMA | $30.27 |
| Risk Score | 59/100 |
| Momentum Score | 24/100 |
| Value Exposure Score | 33/100 |
ULTY Long-Horizon ETF Performance
Trailing returns, growth of $10,000, drawdown history, and calendar-year returns from available daily closes.
| Period | Total return | Annualized | Max drawdown | Start date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | -54.21% | -54.23% | -54.46% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| 3Y | -87.74% | -54.85% | -88.25% | Feb 29, 2024 |
| 5Y | -87.74% | -54.85% | -88.25% | Feb 29, 2024 |
| 10Y | -87.74% | -54.85% | -88.25% | Feb 29, 2024 |
Growth of $10,000
Indexed to the first available close in this history window.
Drawdown History
Peak-to-trough decline from each prior high over the available window.
Calendar-Year Returns
Full-year returns where available, with the current calendar year shown as YTD.
ULTYYieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF
Financial Services / Asset Management - Income
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Latest quote
- Momentum24
- Value33
- Quality50
- Risk resilience59
- Sentiment—
ULTY ETF Analysis Summary
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY) currently has an AIQ Score of 40/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 59/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, ULTY has AIQ Score of 40/100 with Risk resilience base of 59/100 and fading Momentum at 24/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Risk resilience (59/100) leads while Momentum (24/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · -0.51% ETF move · ULTY classified in Asset Management - Income.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is ULTY Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
ULTY currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 59/100, while Momentum is weakest at 24/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - No strong bullish evidence is available in the current snapshot.
- - Value is the current constraint at 33/100.
- - Momentum is weak at 24/100.
- - Price is -22.03% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 7).
Current Consensus
ULTY's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 7 buy, 2 neutral, and 36 sell votes. ULTY's 14-day RSI is 27.13, which places the ETF in an oversold momentum range. ULTY's beta is 1.45, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in ULTY?
The largest recent change in ULTY is Momentum moving down by 3.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the ULTY Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, risk resilience improves, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, distribution or liquidity context deteriorates, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive market-context evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
ULTY Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF.
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY) ETF Analysis
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF has an AIQ Score of 40/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 59/100. Beta is 1.45, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | ULTY is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 40/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that risk leads at 59/100 while momentum lags at 24/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 24/100 · Value 33/100 · Quality 50/100 · Risk 59/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Risk is the strongest factor at 59/100.
Momentum is 24/100 and RSI (14) is 27.1.
ULTY is in a Neutral regime at 40/100.
Risk factor is 59/100 with beta 1.45 and annual volatility 24.14%.
Current conflict: risk leads at 59/100 while momentum lags at 24/100.
ULTY Research Cluster
ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.
ULTY ETF Analytics
ULTY holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.
ULTY Technical Analysis
ULTY technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
ULTY ETF Market Context
Track ULTY market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.
ULTY Distribution Analysis
ULTY distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.
ULTY ETF Data
ULTY available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.
ULTY Risk Analysis
ULTY volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
ULTY ETF News
ULTY ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
ULTY vs Leveraged / Single-Stock Products Peers
Current peer cohort: ULTY · BULL · MSTY · NVDL · TSLL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULTY Current ETF | 40/100 | 33/100 | 24/100 | 59/100 | -3.31 | 24.14% | Current |
| BULL Parabellum Acquisition Corp ⚠️ | 48/100 | 48/100 | 30/100 | 50/100 | -0.76 | 62.77% | ULTY vs BULL |
| MSTY YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF | 40/100 | — | 47/100 | 0/100 | -1.64 | 71.38% | ULTY vs MSTY |
| NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 41/100 | — | 37/100 | 0/100 | 0.52 | 75.18% | ULTY vs NVDL |
| TSLL Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X ETF | 45/100 | 24/100 | 68/100 | 0/100 | -0.35 | 90.20% | ULTY vs TSLL |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current ETF evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Valuation exposure across the fund's holdings.
Quality context inferred from fund exposure and available evidence.
Trend, momentum, volume, and timing confirmation.
Resilience, volatility, beta, drawdown, and tail risk.
News and event pressure around the setup.
Open the return calculator with ETF context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalystsNo quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.
Checked Oct 22, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
ETF Analytics Snapshot
Current ETF evidence uses fund profile, cost, size, distribution, momentum, and risk fields.
ETF pages use fund-native profile fields for cost, size, liquidity, holdings breadth, NAV, issuer, and launch date.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching ULTY
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for ULTY
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
ULTY ETF FAQ
What is ULTY ETF price today?
ULTY is currently shown at $23.60. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.
What is ULTY's 52-week high and low?
ULTY's 52-week range is $23.42 to $52.30 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.
Does ULTY pay a dividend?
ULTY's current distribution yield is 94.41% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.
What should investors compare before buying ULTY?
Compare ULTY's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.