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State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) ETF Analysis

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.

XLE ETF Analysis Summary

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) currently has an AIQ Score of 65/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 41/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

XLE at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$68.16
AIQ Score65/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Fund Size$44.64B
Expense Ratio0.08%
Holdings Count24
NAV$67.80
Asset ClassEquity
Primary ExposureEnergy (100.00%)
IssuerSPDR
DomicileUS
Inception DateDec 16, 1998
Distribution Yield2.25%
Beta-0.02
Average Volume30.85M
52-week range$43.07-$68.64
RSI 1478.5
50-Day SMA$64.04
200-Day SMA$57.95
Risk Score41/100
Momentum Score80/100
Value Exposure Score54/100
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

XLE Long-Horizon ETF Performance

Trailing returns, growth of $10,000, drawdown history, and calendar-year returns from available daily closes.

History available
Oct 22, 2021 to Oct 20, 2026
$10,000 became
$23,458.15
Worst drawdown shown
-25.46%
PeriodTotal returnAnnualizedMax drawdownStart date
1Y56.45%56.50%-15.59%Oct 20, 2025
3Y50.61%14.62%-22.06%Oct 20, 2023
5Y134.58%18.62%-26.86%Oct 22, 2021
10Y134.58%18.62%-26.86%Oct 22, 2021

Growth of $10,000

Indexed to the first available close in this history window.

Drawdown History

Peak-to-trough decline from each prior high over the available window.

Calendar-Year Returns

Full-year returns where available, with the current calendar year shown as YTD.

Price-return view based on available daily close history; distributions are not reinvested unless already reflected in the source series.

XLEState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF

Financial Services / Asset Management

Leader

Strong Relative Position

NeutralEdge 9/10
$68.16+$0.19 (+0.28%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    80
  • Value
    54
  • Quality
    75
  • Risk resilience
    41
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

XLE ETF Analysis Summary

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) currently has an AIQ Score of 65/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 41/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, XLE has AIQ Score of 65/100 with Momentum base of 80/100 and fading Risk resilience at 41/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (80/100) leads while Risk resilience (41/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 0.28% ETF move · XLE classified in Asset Management.

Current Evidence

NeutralXLE is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 80/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is XLE Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

XLE currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 41/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 75/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 80/100.
  • - Price is +6.43% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (37 vs 8).
Bear Case
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 41/100.

Current Consensus

XLE's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 37 buy, 0 neutral, and 8 sell votes. XLE's 14-day RSI is 78.5, which places the ETF in an overbought momentum range. XLE's beta is -0.02, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in XLE?

The largest recent change in XLE is AIQ Score moving up by 0.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+0.0

What Would Change the XLE Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, risk resilience improves, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, distribution or liquidity context deteriorates, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive market-context evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

XLE Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF.

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) ETF Analysis

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF has an AIQ Score of 65/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 80/100. Beta is -0.02, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextXLE is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 65/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 80/100 while risk lags at 41/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 80/100 · Value 54/100 · Quality 75/100 · Risk 41/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 80/100 and RSI (14) is 78.5.

Regime fitPass

XLE is in a Neutral regime at 65/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 41/100 with beta -0.02 and annual volatility 22.03%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 80/100 while risk lags at 41/100.

AIQ Score
65/100
Price
$68.16
Beta
-0.02
RSI (14)
78.5

XLE Research Cluster

ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.

XLE ETF Analytics

XLE holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.

Fund size
$44.64B
Expense ratio
0.08%
Distribution yield
2.23%
View XLE ETF analytics

XLE Technical Analysis

XLE technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
78.5
Price vs SMA-50
+6.43%
View full XLE technical analysis

XLE ETF Market Context

Track XLE market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.

AIQ Score
65/100
Momentum
80/100
Primary exposure
Energy (100.00%)
View XLE ETF context

XLE Distribution Analysis

XLE distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.

Dividend yield
2.23%
Annual dividend
$1.52
Frequency
—
View XLE distribution history

XLE ETF Data

XLE available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.

Issuer
SPDR
Holdings
24
NAV
$67.80
View XLE ETF data

XLE Risk Analysis

XLE volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
-0.02
Risk score
41/100
Average volume
30.85M
View XLE risk analysis

XLE ETF News

XLE ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
1
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read XLE ETF news

XLE vs ETF Peers

Current peer cohort: XLE · XOM · CVX · XLF · XLI. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
XLE
Current ETF
65/10054/10080/10041/1001.9922.03%Current
XOM
ExxonMobil
57/10042/10082/10056/1001.7526.02%XLE vs XOM
CVX
Chevron
59/10042/10084/10063/1001.5624.08%XLE vs CVX
XLF
Financial Select Sector SPDR
69/10060/10066/10075/1000.2214.37%XLE vs XLF
XLI
Industrials Select Sector SPDR
54/10036/10041/10081/1000.417.14%XLE vs XLI
Pairwise Compare links: XOM · CVX · XLF · XLIXLE vs XOMXLE vs CVXXLE vs XLFXLE vs XLICompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current ETF evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a XLE ETF return scenario

Open the return calculator with ETF context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate ETF return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

No quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.

Checked Oct 21, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

ETF Analytics Snapshot

Current ETF evidence uses fund profile, cost, size, distribution, momentum, and risk fields.

Price
$68.16
As of Oct 21, 2026
Fund size
$44.64B
Expense ratio
0.08%
Distribution yield
2.25%
SPDR ETF evidence

ETF pages use fund-native profile fields for cost, size, liquidity, holdings breadth, NAV, issuer, and launch date.

Review ETF analytics
Holdings
24
NAV
$67.80
Average volume
30.85M
Inception
Dec 16, 1998
Asset class
Equity
Primary exposure
Energy (100.00%)
Beta
-0.02
Momentum score
80/100

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
78.5
MACD
1.37

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
41/100
Beta
-0.02
Annual volatility
22.03%
Max drawdown
-15.59%

XLE ETF FAQ

What is XLE ETF price today?

XLE is currently shown at $68.16. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.

What is XLE's 52-week high and low?

XLE's 52-week range is $43.07 to $68.64 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.

Does XLE pay a dividend?

XLE's current distribution yield is 2.25% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.

What should investors compare before buying XLE?

Compare XLE's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.