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State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) ETF Analysis

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.

XLY ETF Analysis Summary

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 72/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

XLY at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$114.91
AIQ Score53/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Dividend Yield0.90%
Beta1.22
Volume5.12M
52-week range$105.19-$125.01
RSI 1444.23
50-Day SMA$116.25
200-Day SMA$116.97
Risk Score72/100
Momentum Score36/100
Value Exposure Score44/100
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close
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XLY

Overview
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF
Financial Services· Asset Management
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 5/10
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$114.91
-$1.55 (-1.33%)
Latest market quote
Momentum36
Value44
Quality68
Risk Resilience72
Sentiment
View financial data

XLY ETF Analysis Summary

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 72/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, XLY has AIQ Score of 53/100 with Risk resilience base of 72/100 and fading Momentum at 36/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (72/100) leads while Momentum (36/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · -1.33% ETF move · XLY classified in Asset Management.

Current Evidence

NeutralXLY is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 72/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is XLY Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

XLY currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 72/100, while Momentum is weakest at 36/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 68/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 72/100.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 44/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 36/100.
  • - Price is -1.76% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 5).

Current Consensus

XLY's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 5 buy, 4 neutral, and 36 sell votes. XLY's 14-day RSI is 44.23, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. XLY's beta is 1.22, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in XLY?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
53/100
Momentum
36/100
Quality
68/100
Risk
72/100

What Would Change the XLY Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

XLY Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF.

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) ETF Analysis

State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF has an AIQ Score of 53/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 72/100. Beta is 1.22, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextXLY is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 53/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 72/100 while momentum lags at 36/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 36/100 · Value 44/100 · Quality 68/100 · Risk 72/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Risk is the strongest factor at 72/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 36/100 and RSI (14) is 44.2.

Regime fitWait

XLY is in a Neutral regime at 53/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 72/100 with beta 1.22 and annual volatility 19.45%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 72/100 while momentum lags at 36/100.

AIQ Score
53/100
Price
$114.91
Beta
1.22
RSI (14)
44.2

XLY Research Cluster

ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.

XLY ETF Analytics

XLY holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.

Revenue
Net income
Free cash flow
View XLY ETF analytics

XLY Technical Analysis

XLY technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
44.23
Price vs SMA-50
-1.15%
View full XLY technical analysis

XLY ETF Market Context

Track XLY market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.

Next earnings
Analyst target
News items
1
View XLY ETF context

XLY Distribution Analysis

XLY distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.

Dividend yield
0.97%
Annual dividend
$1.12
Payout ratio
View XLY distribution history

XLY ETF Data

XLY available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.

Quarter revenue
EPS
Periods
0
View XLY ETF data

XLY Risk Analysis

XLY volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.22
Risk score
72/100
AIQ Score
53/100
View XLY risk analysis

XLY ETF News

XLY ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
1
Updated
Sep 5, 2026
Sentiment
Read XLY ETF news

XLY vs ETF Peers

Current peer cohort: XLY · AMZN · TSLA · HD · MCD. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
XLY
Current ETF
53/10044/10036/10072/100-0.2219.45%Current
AMZN
Amazon
55/10035/10055/10054/1000.3234.51%XLY vs AMZN
TSLA
Tesla
40/10024/10056/10040/1000.2547.70%XLY vs TSLA
HD
Home Depot
41/10037/10019/10059/100-1.0125.40%XLY vs HD
MCD
McDonald's
40/10035/10026/10044/100-1.2818.53%XLY vs MCD
Pairwise Compare links: AMZN · TSLA · HD · MCDXLY vs AMZNXLY vs TSLAXLY vs HDXLY vs MCDCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 4, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current ETF evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a XLY etf return scenario

Open the return calculator with etf context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate etf return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

No quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.

Checked Sep 5, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

ETF Analytics Snapshot

Current ETF evidence uses fund analytics and available market-close fields.

Current TTM P/E
23.16
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
Gross margin
Current debt / equity
Latest quarterly evidence

Quarterly financial history appears when reported fields are present.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
Quarter net income
Quarter free cash flow

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
44.23
MACD
-0.26

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
72/100
Beta
1.22
Annual volatility
19.45%
Max drawdown
-15.15%

XLY ETF FAQ

What is XLY ETF price today?

XLY is currently shown at $114.91. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.

What is XLY's 52-week high and low?

XLY's 52-week range is $105.19 to $125.01 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.

Does XLY pay a dividend?

XLY's current distribution yield is 0.90% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.

What should investors compare before buying XLY?

Compare XLY's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.