Current stock page

Stock Analysis

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) Stock Analysis

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

MCD Stock Analysis Summary

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 56/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 21/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

MCD at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$252.53
AIQ Score39/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$185.52B
P/E Ratio20.81
Forward P/E
EPS$3.32
Revenue TTM$7.1B
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta0.42
Volume4.1M
52-week range$252.15-$341.75
RSI 1420.96
50-Day SMA$268.24
200-Day SMA$294.91
Analyst Price Target$317.33
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

MCD

Overview
McDonald's Corporation
Consumer Cyclical· Restaurants
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 3/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$252.53
-$0.52 (-0.21%)
Latest market quote
Momentum21
Value35
Quality56
Risk Resilience45
Sentiment
View financial data

MCD Stock Analysis Summary

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 56/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 21/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, MCD has AIQ Score of 39/100 with Quality base of 56/100 and fading Momentum at 21/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (56/100) leads while Momentum (21/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · -0.21% stock move · MCD classified in Restaurants.

Current Evidence

BearishMCD is in a bearish AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 56/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is MCD Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

MCD currently has a bearish overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 56/100, while Momentum is weakest at 21/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +25.66% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 35/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 21/100.
  • - Price is -14.37% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 8).

Current Consensus

MCD's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 8 buy, 1 neutral, and 36 sell votes. MCD's 14-day RSI is 20.96, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. MCD's beta is 0.42, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in MCD?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
39/100
Momentum
21/100
Quality
56/100
Risk
45/100

What Would Change the MCD Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

MCD Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for McDonald's Corporation.

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) Stock Analysis

McDonald's Corporation has an AIQ Score of 39/100 in a Defensive regime. Quality is strongest at 56/100. Beta is 0.42, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextMCD is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 39/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 56/100 while momentum lags at 21/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 21/100 · Value 35/100 · Quality 56/100 · Risk 45/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Quality is the strongest factor at 56/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 21/100 and RSI (14) is 21.0.

Regime fitFail

MCD is in a Defensive regime at 39/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 45/100 with beta 0.42 and annual volatility 18.42%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 56/100 while momentum lags at 21/100.

AIQ Score
39/100
Price
$252.53
Beta
0.42
RSI (14)
21

MCD Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

MCD Fundamentals

MCD valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$7.1B
Net income
$2.36B
Free cash flow
$1.98B
View full MCD fundamental analysis

MCD Technical Analysis

MCD technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
20.96
Price vs SMA-50
-5.85%
View full MCD technical analysis

MCD Stock Catalysts

Track MCD earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$317.33
News items
2
View MCD earnings and stock catalysts

MCD Dividend Analysis

MCD dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.95%
Annual dividend
$7.44
Payout ratio
View MCD dividend history and analysis

MCD Financial Data

MCD revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$7.1B
EPS
$3.32
Periods
7
View MCD financials

MCD Risk Analysis

MCD volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.42
Risk score
45/100
1Y volatility
18.42%
View MCD risk analysis

MCD Stock News

MCD stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
2
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read MCD stock news

MCD vs Restaurants & Food Service Peers

Current peer cohort: MCD · SBUX · XLY · HD · LOW. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
MCD
Current stock
39/10035/10021/10045/100-1.1718.42%Current
SBUX
Starbucks
35/10024/10028/10051/1000.6327.81%MCD vs SBUX
XLY
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR
51/10044/10025/10072/100-0.2619.50%MCD vs XLY
HD
Home Depot
41/10037/10017/10059/100-1.1725.49%MCD vs HD
LOW
Lowe's
43/10053/10021/10054/100-1.1327.07%MCD vs LOW
Pairwise Compare links: SBUX · XLY · HD · LOWMCD vs SBUXMCD vs XLYMCD vs HDMCD vs LOWCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

Popular MCD Comparisons

How MCD scores against the names it is most often compared with.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a MCD stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 11, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
21.16
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
8.95%
Gross margin
57.39%
Current debt / equity
-53.36
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$7.1B
Quarter net income
$2.36B
Quarter free cash flow
$1.98B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
20.96
MACD
-4.56

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
45/100
Beta
0.42
Annual volatility
18.42%
Max drawdown
-25.96%

MCD Stock FAQ

What is MCD stock price today?

McDonald's Corporation's current stock price is $252.53. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is MCD bullish or bearish right now?

MCD's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is MCD's market cap?

MCD's market cap is $185.52B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is MCD's current P/E ratio?

MCD's current P/E ratio is 20.81 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is MCD's RSI?

MCD's 14-day RSI is 20.96 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is MCD above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

MCD is -5.85% from its 50-day SMA and -14.37% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is MCD's next earnings date?

MCD's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does MCD pay a dividend?

MCD's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.