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AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Stock Analysis

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

AGNC Stock Analysis Summary

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) currently has an AIQ Score of 50/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 69/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 35/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

AGNC at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$8.78
AIQ Score50/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$12.17B
P/E Ratio (TTM)5.41
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$0.52
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$0
Dividend Yield (TTM)13.58%
Beta1.31
Volume29.8M
52-week range$8.38-$12.19
RSI 1445.45
50-Day SMA$9.88
200-Day SMA$10.58
Analyst Price Target$11.25
Next EarningsJan 25, 2027
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

AGNCAGNC Investment Corp.

Real Estate / REIT - Mortgage

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 6/10
$8.78−$0.02 (−0.23%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    38
  • Value
    69
  • Quality
    48
  • Risk resilience
    35
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

AGNC Stock Analysis Summary

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) currently has an AIQ Score of 50/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 69/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 35/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, AGNC has AIQ Score of 50/100 with Value base of 69/100 and fading Risk resilience at 35/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Value (69/100) leads while Risk resilience (35/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Real Estate · -0.23% stock move · AGNC classified in REIT - Mortgage.

Current Evidence

NeutralAGNC is in a neutral AIQ regime; Value is the strongest visible factor at 69/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is AGNC Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

AGNC currently has a neutral overall setup. Value is the strongest factor at 69/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 35/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +28.13% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 38/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 35/100.
  • - Price is -17.01% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (24 vs 14).

Current Consensus

AGNC's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 14 buy, 7 neutral, and 24 sell votes. AGNC's 14-day RSI is 45.45, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. AGNC's beta is 1.31, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in AGNC?

The largest recent change in AGNC is Momentum moving up by 13.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Value remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+3.0
Momentum
+13.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-4.0

What Would Change the AGNC Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

AGNC Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for AGNC Investment Corp..

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Stock Analysis

AGNC Investment Corp. has an AIQ Score of 50/100 in a Neutral regime. Value is strongest at 69/100. Beta is 1.34, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextAGNC is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 50/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that value leads at 69/100 while risk lags at 35/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 38/100 · Value 69/100 · Quality 48/100 · Risk 35/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Value is the strongest factor at 69/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 38/100 and RSI (14) is 45.5.

Regime fitWait

AGNC is in a Neutral regime at 50/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 35/100 with beta 1.34 and annual volatility 22.19%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: value leads at 69/100 while risk lags at 35/100.

AIQ Score
50/100
Price
$8.78
Beta
1.34
RSI (14)
45.5

AGNC Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

AGNC Fundamentals

AGNC valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$0
Net income
$610M
Free cash flow
$218M
View full AGNC fundamental analysis

AGNC Technical Analysis

AGNC technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
45.45
Price vs SMA-50
-11.16%
View full AGNC technical analysis

AGNC Stock Catalysts

Track AGNC earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Jan 25, 2027
Analyst target
$11.25
News items
5
View AGNC earnings and stock catalysts

AGNC Dividend Analysis

AGNC dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
5.47%
Annual dividend
$0.48
Payout ratio
78.89%
View AGNC dividend history and analysis

AGNC Financial Data

AGNC revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$0
EPS
$0.52
Periods
3
View AGNC financials

AGNC Risk Analysis

AGNC volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.31
Risk score
35/100
1Y volatility
22.19%
View AGNC risk analysis

AGNC Stock News

AGNC stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read AGNC stock news

AGNC vs Mortgage / Specialty Finance Peers

Current peer cohort: AGNC · DX · HASI · NLY · RITM. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
AGNC
Current stock
50/10069/10038/10035/100-0.722.19%Current
DX
Dynex Capital
50/10067/10041/10039/100-1.1518.87%AGNC vs DX
HASI
Hannon Armstrong
37/10038/10046/10062/1000.7530.18%AGNC vs HASI
NLY
Annaly Capital
50/10072/10034/10035/100-0.8221.49%AGNC vs NLY
RITM
Rithm Capital
50/10075/10037/10049/100-1.0224.77%AGNC vs RITM
Pairwise Compare links: DX · HASI · NLY · RITMAGNC vs DXAGNC vs HASIAGNC vs NLYAGNC vs RITMCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a AGNC stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
5.41
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
75.70%
Current debt / equity
7.16
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$0
Quarter net income
$610M
Quarter free cash flow
$218M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
45.45
MACD
-0.35

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
35/100
Beta
1.34
Annual volatility
22.19%
Max drawdown
-30.65%

AGNC Stock FAQ

What is AGNC stock price today?

AGNC Investment Corp.'s current stock price is $8.78. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is AGNC bullish or bearish right now?

AGNC's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is AGNC's market cap?

AGNC's market cap is $12.17B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is AGNC's current P/E ratio?

AGNC's current P/E ratio is 5.41 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is AGNC's RSI?

AGNC's 14-day RSI is 45.45 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is AGNC above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

AGNC is -11.16% from its 50-day SMA and -17.01% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is AGNC's next earnings date?

AGNC's next earnings date is currently listed as Jan 25, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does AGNC pay a dividend?

AGNC's dividend yield is 13.58% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.