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Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) Stock Analysis

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

RITM Stock Analysis Summary

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) currently has an AIQ Score of 54/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 75/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

RITM at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$10.08
AIQ Score54/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusNeutral
Market Cap$5.52B
P/E Ratio4.24
Forward P/E
EPS$0.04
Revenue TTM$1.28B
Dividend Yield0.03%
Beta1.11
Volume3.6M
52-week range$8.43-$12.74
RSI 1442.74
50-Day SMA$9.74
200-Day SMA$10.11
Analyst Price Target$13.30
Next EarningsOct 29, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close
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RITM

Overview
Rithm Capital Corp.
Real Estate· REIT - Diversified
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 8/10
Relative Leader / Watch
Strong Relative Position
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$10.08
+$0.03 (+0.30%)
Latest market quote
Momentum49
Value75
Quality36
Risk Resilience58
Sentiment
View financial data

RITM Stock Analysis Summary

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) currently has an AIQ Score of 54/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 75/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, RITM has AIQ Score of 54/100 with Value base of 75/100 and fading Quality at 36/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Value (75/100) leads while Quality (36/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Real Estate · 0.30% stock move · RITM classified in REIT - Diversified.

Current Evidence

NeutralRITM is in a neutral AIQ regime; Value is the strongest visible factor at 75/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is RITM Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

RITM currently has a neutral overall setup. Value is the strongest factor at 75/100, while Quality is weakest at 36/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Price is +3.54% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +31.94% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (17 vs 16).
Bear Case
  • - Price is -0.33% below its 200-day SMA.

Current Consensus

RITM's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 17 buy, 12 neutral, and 16 sell votes. RITM's 14-day RSI is 42.74, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. RITM's beta is 1.11, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in RITM?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
54/100
Momentum
49/100
Quality
36/100
Risk
58/100

What Would Change the RITM Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

RITM Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Rithm Capital Corp..

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) Stock Analysis

Rithm Capital Corp. has an AIQ Score of 54/100 in a Neutral regime. Value is strongest at 75/100. Beta is 1.11, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextRITM is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 54/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that value leads at 75/100 while quality lags at 36/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 49/100 · Value 75/100 · Quality 36/100 · Risk 58/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Value is the strongest factor at 75/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 49/100 and RSI (14) is 42.7.

Regime fitWait

RITM is in a Neutral regime at 54/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 58/100 with beta 1.11 and annual volatility 24.12%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: value leads at 75/100 while quality lags at 36/100.

AIQ Score
54/100
Price
$10.08
Beta
1.11
RSI (14)
42.7

RITM Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

RITM Fundamentals

RITM valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.28B
Net income
$56.29M
Free cash flow
$172.46M
View full RITM fundamental analysis

RITM Technical Analysis

RITM technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Neutral
RSI 14
42.74
Price vs SMA-50
+3.54%
View full RITM technical analysis

RITM Stock Catalysts

Track RITM earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 29, 2026
Analyst target
$13.30
News items
0
View RITM earnings and stock catalysts

RITM Dividend Analysis

RITM dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
9.92%
Annual dividend
$1.00
Payout ratio
View RITM dividend history and analysis

RITM Financial Data

RITM revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.28B
EPS
$0.04
Periods
8
View RITM financials

RITM Risk Analysis

RITM volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.11
Risk score
58/100
1Y volatility
24.12%
View RITM risk analysis

RITM Stock News

RITM stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
Sentiment
Read RITM stock news

RITM vs Mortgage / Specialty Finance Peers

Current peer cohort: RITM · AGNC · DX · HASI · NLY. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
RITM
Current stock
54/10075/10049/10058/100-0.9624.12%Current
AGNC
AGNC Investment
50/10069/10031/10047/1000.1220.45%RITM vs AGNC
DX
Dynex Capital
51/10067/10035/10051/100-0.0717.79%RITM vs DX
HASI
Hannon Armstrong
33/10040/10031/10057/1001.0530.53%RITM vs HASI
NLY
Annaly Capital
53/10072/10038/10047/1000.1319.89%RITM vs NLY
Pairwise Compare links: AGNC · DX · HASI · NLYRITM vs AGNCRITM vs DXRITM vs HASIRITM vs NLYCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 5, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a RITM stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 7, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
16.21
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
-7.10%
Gross margin
79.71%
Current debt / equity
4.72
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.28B
Quarter net income
$56.29M
Quarter free cash flow
$172.46M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
42.74
MACD
0.06

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
58/100
Beta
1.11
Annual volatility
24.12%
Max drawdown
-30.51%

RITM Stock FAQ

What is RITM stock price today?

Rithm Capital Corp.'s current stock price is $10.08. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is RITM bullish or bearish right now?

RITM's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is RITM's market cap?

RITM's market cap is $5.52B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is RITM's current P/E ratio?

RITM's current P/E ratio is 4.24 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is RITM's RSI?

RITM's 14-day RSI is 42.74 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is RITM above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

RITM is 3.54% from its 50-day SMA and -0.33% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is RITM's next earnings date?

RITM's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 29, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does RITM pay a dividend?

RITM's dividend yield is 0.03% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.