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Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Analysis

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

BABA Stock Analysis Summary

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) currently has an AIQ Score of 42/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 53/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 32/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

BABA at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$104.41
AIQ Score42/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$270.51B
P/E Ratio (TTM)24.28
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$4.48
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$268.19B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.94%
Beta0.51
Volume11.85M
52-week range$91.99-$182.50
RSI 1443.95
50-Day SMA$113.33
200-Day SMA$128.27
Analyst Price Target$182.00
Next EarningsNov 24, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

BABAAlibaba Group Holding Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty Retail

Low Priority

Relative Laggard

NeutralEdge 3/10
$104.41−$4.20 (−3.87%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    36
  • Value
    32
  • Quality
    50
  • Risk resilience
    53
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

BABA Stock Analysis Summary

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) currently has an AIQ Score of 42/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 53/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 32/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, BABA has AIQ Score of 42/100 with Risk resilience base of 53/100 and fading Value at 32/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (53/100) leads while Value (32/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · -3.87% stock move · BABA classified in Specialty Retail.

Current Evidence

NeutralBABA is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 53/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is BABA Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

BABA currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 53/100, while Value is weakest at 32/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +74.31% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 32/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 36/100.
  • - Price is -18.60% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (37 vs 5).

Current Consensus

BABA's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 5 buy, 3 neutral, and 37 sell votes. BABA's 14-day RSI is 43.95, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. BABA's beta is 0.51, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in BABA?

The largest recent change in BABA is Momentum moving down by 9.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-2.0
Momentum
-9.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+1.0

What Would Change the BABA Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

BABA Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Alibaba Group Holding Limited.

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Analysis

Alibaba Group Holding Limited has an AIQ Score of 42/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 53/100. Beta is 0.46, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextBABA is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 42/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 53/100 while value lags at 32/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 36/100 · Value 32/100 · Quality 50/100 · Risk 53/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Risk is the strongest factor at 53/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 36/100 and RSI (14) is 44.0.

Regime fitWait

BABA is in a Neutral regime at 42/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 53/100 with beta 0.46 and annual volatility 40.72%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 53/100 while value lags at 32/100.

AIQ Score
42/100
Price
$104.41
Beta
0.46
RSI (14)
44

BABA Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

BABA Fundamentals

BABA valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$268.19B
Net income
$10.58B
Free cash flow
-$44.73B
View full BABA fundamental analysis

BABA Technical Analysis

BABA technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
43.95
Price vs SMA-50
-7.87%
View full BABA technical analysis

BABA Stock Catalysts

Track BABA earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 24, 2026
Analyst target
$182.00
News items
4
View BABA earnings and stock catalysts

BABA Dividend Analysis

BABA dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
5.47%
Annual dividend
$5.71
Payout ratio
0.00%
View BABA dividend history and analysis

BABA Financial Data

BABA revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$268.19B
EPS
$4.48
Periods
4
View BABA financials

BABA Risk Analysis

BABA volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.51
Risk score
53/100
1Y volatility
40.72%
View BABA risk analysis

BABA Stock News

BABA stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read BABA stock news

BABA vs Asia Pacific — China Peers

Current peer cohort: BABA · BIDU · BYD · BZ · JD. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
BABA
Current stock
42/10032/10036/10053/100-1.1540.72%Current
BIDU
Baidu
46/10057/10025/10064/100-0.7747.44%BABA vs BIDU
BYD
BYD Company
61/10060/10058/10054/100-0.626.95%BABA vs BYD
BZ
Kanzhun
67/10041/10079/10067/100-0.6939.58%BABA vs BZ
JD
JD.com
48/10065/10037/10055/100-0.8830.09%BABA vs JD
Pairwise Compare links: BIDU · BYD · BZ · JDBABA vs BIDUBABA vs BYDBABA vs BZBABA vs JDCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a BABA stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 21, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
24.28
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
38.14%
Current debt / equity
0.25
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$268.19B
Quarter net income
$10.58B
Quarter free cash flow
-$44.73B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
43.95
MACD
-1.22

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
53/100
Beta
0.46
Annual volatility
40.72%
Max drawdown
-47.32%

BABA Stock FAQ

What is BABA stock price today?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited's current stock price is $104.41. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is BABA bullish or bearish right now?

BABA's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is BABA's market cap?

BABA's market cap is $270.51B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is BABA's current P/E ratio?

BABA's current P/E ratio is 24.28 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is BABA's RSI?

BABA's 14-day RSI is 43.95 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is BABA above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

BABA is -7.87% from its 50-day SMA and -18.60% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is BABA's next earnings date?

BABA's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 24, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does BABA pay a dividend?

BABA's dividend yield is 0.94% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.