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Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Analysis

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

BABA Stock Analysis Summary

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) currently has an AIQ Score of 37/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 50/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 22/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

BABA at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$113.24
AIQ Score37/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$270.51B
P/E Ratio29.94
Forward P/E
EPS$4.48
Revenue TTM$268.19B
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta0.51
Volume7.18M
52-week range$91.99-$192.67
RSI 1433.07
50-Day SMA$116.17
200-Day SMA$135.46
Analyst Price Target$183.57
Next EarningsNov 24, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

BABA

Overview
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Consumer Cyclical· Specialty Retail
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 2/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$113.24
+$1.43 (+1.28%)
Latest market quote
Momentum22
Value32
Quality50
Risk Resilience48
Sentiment
View financial data

BABA Stock Analysis Summary

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) currently has an AIQ Score of 37/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 50/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 22/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, BABA has AIQ Score of 37/100 with Quality base of 50/100 and fading Momentum at 22/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (50/100) leads while Momentum (22/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · 1.28% stock move · BABA classified in Specialty Retail.

Current Evidence

BearishBABA is in a bearish AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 50/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is BABA Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

BABA currently has a bearish overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 50/100, while Momentum is weakest at 22/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +62.11% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 32/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 22/100.
  • - Price is -16.40% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (34 vs 9).

Current Consensus

BABA's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 9 buy, 2 neutral, and 34 sell votes. BABA's 14-day RSI is 33.07, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. BABA's beta is 0.51, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in BABA?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
37/100
Momentum
22/100
Quality
50/100
Risk
48/100

What Would Change the BABA Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

BABA Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Alibaba Group Holding Limited.

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Analysis

Alibaba Group Holding Limited has an AIQ Score of 37/100 in a Defensive regime. Quality is strongest at 50/100. Beta is 0.51, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextBABA is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 37/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 50/100 while momentum lags at 22/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 22/100 · Value 32/100 · Quality 50/100 · Risk 48/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Quality is the strongest factor at 50/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 22/100 and RSI (14) is 33.1.

Regime fitFail

BABA is in a Defensive regime at 37/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 48/100 with beta 0.51 and annual volatility 43.85%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 50/100 while momentum lags at 22/100.

AIQ Score
37/100
Price
$113.24
Beta
0.51
RSI (14)
33.1

BABA Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

BABA Fundamentals

BABA valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$268.19B
Net income
$10.58B
Free cash flow
-$44.73B
View full BABA fundamental analysis

BABA Technical Analysis

BABA technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
33.07
Price vs SMA-50
-2.52%
View full BABA technical analysis

BABA Stock Catalysts

Track BABA earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 24, 2026
Analyst target
$183.57
News items
5
View BABA earnings and stock catalysts

BABA Dividend Analysis

BABA dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
5.04%
Annual dividend
$5.71
Payout ratio
View BABA dividend history and analysis

BABA Financial Data

BABA revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$268.19B
EPS
$4.48
Periods
8
View BABA financials

BABA Risk Analysis

BABA volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.51
Risk score
48/100
1Y volatility
43.85%
View BABA risk analysis

BABA Stock News

BABA stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Sep 5, 2026
Sentiment
Read BABA stock news

BABA vs Asia Pacific — China Peers

Current peer cohort: BABA · BIDU · BYD · BZ · JD. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
BABA
Current stock
37/10032/10022/10048/100-0.2143.85%Current
BIDU
Baidu
47/10057/10038/10053/1000.2151.92%BABA vs BIDU
BYD
BYD Company
53/10060/10024/10059/100-0.4126.40%BABA vs BYD
BZ
Kanzhun
62/10041/10069/10052/100-0.7840.00%BABA vs BZ
JD
JD.com
48/10065/10039/10051/100-0.2332.91%BABA vs JD
Pairwise Compare links: BIDU · BYD · BZ · JDBABA vs BIDUBABA vs BYDBABA vs BZBABA vs JDCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 4, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a BABA stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 5, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
24.28
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
10.20%
Gross margin
38.14%
Current debt / equity
0.25
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$268.19B
Quarter net income
$10.58B
Quarter free cash flow
-$44.73B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
33.07
MACD
-2.04

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
48/100
Beta
0.51
Annual volatility
43.85%
Max drawdown
-49.93%

BABA Stock FAQ

What is BABA stock price today?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited's current stock price is $113.24. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is BABA bullish or bearish right now?

BABA's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is BABA's market cap?

BABA's market cap is $270.51B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is BABA's current P/E ratio?

BABA's current P/E ratio is 29.94 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is BABA's RSI?

BABA's 14-day RSI is 33.07 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is BABA above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

BABA is -2.52% from its 50-day SMA and -16.40% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is BABA's next earnings date?

BABA's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 24, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does BABA pay a dividend?

BABA's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.