BABA vs BIDU Stock Comparison

Alibaba Group Holding Limited vs Baidu, Inc.

Data as of Sep 5, 2026· market close· Cross-sector · Consumer Cyclical vs Communication Services · both in Asia Pacific — China· Coverage 65/66 fields· High confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 4/10

BIDU leads

BIDU leads by 8 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from BABA. Wall Street currently favors BABA on target upside.

Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support BIDU, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 6Comparison trend: Reversed
BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

AIQ Score
37/100
AIQ Edge Score
2/10
BIDU

Baidu, Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
45/100
AIQ Edge Score
3/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors BIDU over BABA, 45 versus 37 as of Sep 5, 2026. BIDU's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while BABA holds the stronger quality profile. BIDU also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors BABA. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor BIDU today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. BIDU lead: Reversed — BABA led by 4 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; BIDU now leads by 8.

Compare Alibaba Group Holding Limited and Baidu, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

BABA advantage
0
BIDU advantage
  • Value30%32 vs 57
    BIDU +25
  • Momentum25%21 vs 31
    BIDU +10
  • Quality30%50 vs 42
    BABA +8
  • Risk Resilience15%47 vs 53
    BIDU +6

3 of 6 evidence groups favor BIDU. BIDU’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; BABA keeps a meaningful quality edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-03, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-02.

BABA0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -2

No new signals fired.

BIDU+1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +4

No new signals fired.

BIDU's lead widened by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — BABA and BIDU both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

BIDU (Baidu, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.

BABA (Alibaba Group Holding Limited): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals, technicals.

The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

BIDU

BIDU on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

BIDU

BIDU on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

BIDU

BIDU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 25 points.

Momentum

BIDU

BIDU on the Momentum factor, by 10 points.

Lower downside

BIDU

BIDU on Risk Resilience, by 6 points.

Analyst upside

BABA

BABA on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors BIDU, analyst targets favor BABA. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.

MeasureBABABIDUNote
Implied upside to target+62.1%+20.2%BABA has more room
Target dispersion+26.7%+65.2%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering64Higher coverage generally improves confidence

The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor BIDU. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreBIDU37 vs 45
FundamentalsBABAon balancerevenue growth 10.2% vs -2.6%; EPS growth -59.1% vs -32.5%; TTM ROE 7% vs -1.7%; gross margin 38.1% vs 40.8%; operating margin 4.2% vs -6% — BABA takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationBIDUValue 32 vs 57
TechnicalsBABAPrice vs 50-day -2.2% vs -5.8%; vs 200-day -17.6% vs -22.2%
Risk ResilienceBIDURisk Resilience 47 vs 53
Analyst expectationsBABATarget upside 62.1% vs 20.2%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of BABA and BIDU and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is moderate at 8 points.
  • Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on BIDU.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 22 Sep 3

BIDU lead: Reversed — BABA led by 4 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; BIDU now leads by 8.

Apr 22BABA leads above the line · BIDU leads belowSep 3
Today
BIDU +8
37 vs 45
7 sessions ago
BIDU +1
41 vs 42
30 sessions ago
BABA +4
50 vs 46
90 sessions ago
BIDU +6
38 vs 44

The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Aug 27 when BIDU moved ahead of BABA.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

BABA

0 bullish / 4 bearish

  • Death Cross Active bearish, trend, long horizon (17.16%)
  • Keltner Channel Breakdown bearish, volatility, short horizon
  • Downtrend Structure Active bearish, trend, long horizon
BIDUConflicted

1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted

  • Death Cross Active bearish, trend, long horizon (16.22%)
  • Downtrend Structure Active bearish, trend, long horizon
  • MACD Bullish Crossover bullish, momentum, short horizon

BIDU leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

BABANo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.28%, AIQ 0 points).

BIDUConfirmed strength

Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +4.07%, AIQ +1 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1BABA closes the Value gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to BIDU's edge.
  2. 2BABA's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
  3. 3BIDU's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

BABA leads on balance
MetricBABABIDU
Revenue growth (YoY)10.2%-2.6%
EPS growth (YoY)-59.1%-32.5%
Gross margin38.1%40.8%
Operating margin4.2%-6%
Return on equity (TTM)7%-1.7%
Debt to equity0.250.42

Performance

BABA leads 4 of 6 windows
MetricBABABIDU
1 week (5 sessions)-3.9%-1.4%
1 month (20 sessions)-11.8%-12.6%
3 months (63 sessions)-11.2%-29.1%
6 months (126 sessions)-14.2%-19%
Year to date-23.7%-26.8%
1 year (252 sessions)-19.1%-0.7%

Technicals

BABA has the stronger structure
MetricBABABIDU
RSI (14)3235.6
ADX (14)20.323.9
Price vs 50-day-2.2%-5.8%
Price vs 200-day-17.6%-22.2%
Volatility (1M, annualized)43.8%51.4%

Risk

BIDU is the more resilient
MetricBABABIDU
Beta1.241.74
Sharpe ratio-0.330.16
Sortino ratio-0.590.26
Max drawdown-49.9%-44.1%
Current drawdown-41%-41.2%
Annualized volatility44%51.8%
Value at risk (95%)-3.6%-4.7%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, BABA or BIDU?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, BIDU is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 45 against BABA's 37. The edge comes from value and momentum. BABA is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is BABA or BIDU the better buy right now?

BIDU carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor BIDU over BABA?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. BIDU leads Value by 25 points; BIDU leads Momentum by 10 points; BABA leads Quality by 8 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, BABA or BIDU?

Analyst price targets imply +62.1% upside for BABA and +20.2% for BIDU, so the Street currently favors BABA. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors BIDU. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, BABA or BIDU?

BIDU is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. BIDU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 25 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, BABA or BIDU?

BIDU on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, BABA or BIDU?

BIDU on the Momentum factor, by 10 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, BABA or BIDU?

BIDU is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. BIDU on Risk Resilience, by 6 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is BABA more profitable than BIDU?

The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 38.1% vs 40.8%; operating margin 4.2% vs -6%; ttm roe 7% vs -1.7%. BABA leads on two measures and BIDU on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.

Is BIDU's lead over BABA getting stronger or weaker?

BIDU lead: Reversed — BABA led by 4 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; BIDU now leads by 8. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-22 and 2026-09-03. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-27, when BIDU moved ahead of BABA.

What would change the BABA vs BIDU verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: BABA closes the Value gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to BIDU's edge; BABA's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; BIDU's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about BABA and BIDU?

BABA: 0 bullish / 4 bearish. BIDU: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on BABA is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On BIDU it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).

Compare BABA and BIDU with others

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.