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BHP Group Limited (BHP) Stock Analysis

BHP Group Limited (BHP) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

BHP Stock Analysis Summary

BHP Group Limited (BHP) currently has an AIQ Score of 54/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 75/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 35/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

BHP at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$79.16
AIQ Score54/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$235.79B
P/E Ratio (TTM)23.76
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$1.66
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$30.96B
Dividend Yield (TTM)3.03%
Beta0.84
Volume3.41M
52-week range$52.18-$98.71
RSI 1434.37
50-Day SMA$87.11
200-Day SMA$81.40
Analyst Price Target$95.00
Next EarningsFeb 15, 2027
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

BHPBHP Group Limited

Basic Materials / Industrial Materials

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 6/10
$79.16−$2.66 (−3.25%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    35
  • Value
    46
  • Quality
    72
  • Risk resilience
    65
  • Sentiment
    75
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

BHP Stock Analysis Summary

BHP Group Limited (BHP) currently has an AIQ Score of 54/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 75/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 35/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, BHP has AIQ Score of 54/100 with Sentiment base of 75/100 and fading Momentum at 35/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Sentiment (75/100) leads while Momentum (35/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Basic Materials · -3.25% stock move · BHP classified in Industrial Materials.

Current Evidence

NeutralBHP is in a neutral AIQ regime; Sentiment is the strongest visible factor at 75/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is BHP Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

BHP currently has a neutral overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 75/100, while Momentum is weakest at 35/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 72/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 65/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +20.01% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 35/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (25 vs 11).

Current Consensus

BHP's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 11 buy, 9 neutral, and 25 sell votes. BHP's 14-day RSI is 34.37, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. BHP's beta is 0.84, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in BHP?

The largest recent change in BHP is Momentum moving up by 11.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Sentiment remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+3.0
Momentum
+11.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-2.0

What Would Change the BHP Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

BHP Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for BHP Group Limited.

BHP Group Limited (BHP) Stock Analysis

BHP Group Limited has an AIQ Score of 54/100 in a Neutral regime. Sentiment is strongest at 75/100. Beta is 0.85, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextBHP is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 54/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 75/100 while momentum lags at 35/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 35/100 · Value 46/100 · Quality 72/100 · Risk 65/100 · Sentiment 75/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Sentiment is the strongest factor at 75/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 35/100 and RSI (14) is 34.4.

Regime fitWait

BHP is in a Neutral regime at 54/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 65/100 with beta 0.85 and annual volatility 34.57%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: sentiment leads at 75/100 while momentum lags at 35/100.

AIQ Score
54/100
Price
$79.16
Beta
0.85
RSI (14)
34.4

BHP Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

BHP Fundamentals

BHP valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$30.96B
Net income
$4.21B
Free cash flow
$7.66B
View full BHP fundamental analysis

BHP Technical Analysis

BHP technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
34.37
Price vs SMA-50
-6.07%
View full BHP technical analysis

BHP Stock Catalysts

Track BHP earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Feb 15, 2027
Analyst target
$95.00
News items
0
View BHP earnings and stock catalysts

BHP Dividend Analysis

BHP dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
7.12%
Annual dividend
$5.64
Payout ratio
66.23%
View BHP dividend history and analysis

BHP Financial Data

BHP revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$30.96B
EPS
$1.66
Periods
3
View BHP financials

BHP Risk Analysis

BHP volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.84
Risk score
65/100
1Y volatility
34.57%
View BHP risk analysis

BHP Stock News

BHP stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
75/100
Read BHP stock news

BHP vs Europe Peers

Current peer cohort: BHP · LYG · RELX · SAP · SHEL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
BHP
Current stock
54/10046/10035/10065/1001.0634.57%Current
LYG
Lloyds Banking Group
43/10045/10034/10056/1000.429.84%BHP vs LYG
RELX
RELX
61/10050/10079/10038/100-0.3234.77%BHP vs RELX
SAP
SAP
67/10050/10081/10065/100-0.1838.52%BHP vs SAP
SHEL
Shell
61/10065/10078/10051/1001.4823.23%BHP vs SHEL
Pairwise Compare links: LYG · RELX · SAP · SHELBHP vs LYGBHP vs RELXBHP vs SAPBHP vs SHELCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a BHP stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
23.76
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
74.92%
Current debt / equity
0.53
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$30.96B
Quarter net income
$4.21B
Quarter free cash flow
$7.66B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
34.37
MACD
-1.59

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
65/100
Beta
0.85
Annual volatility
34.57%
Max drawdown
-21.39%

BHP Stock FAQ

What is BHP stock price today?

BHP Group Limited's current stock price is $79.16. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is BHP bullish or bearish right now?

BHP's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is BHP's market cap?

BHP's market cap is $235.79B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is BHP's current P/E ratio?

BHP's current P/E ratio is 23.76 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is BHP's RSI?

BHP's 14-day RSI is 34.37 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is BHP above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

BHP is -6.07% from its 50-day SMA and 0.52% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is BHP's next earnings date?

BHP's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 15, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does BHP pay a dividend?

BHP's dividend yield is 3.03% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.