ETF Analysis
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) ETF Analysis
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 95/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
BND at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $71.95 |
| AIQ Score | 57/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Fund Size | $396.7B |
| Expense Ratio | 0.03% |
| Holdings Count | 346 |
| NAV | $71.90 |
| Asset Class | Core Investment Grade Bond |
| Primary Exposure | Cash & Others (100.00%) |
| Issuer | Vanguard |
| Domicile | US |
| Inception Date | Apr 3, 2007 |
| Distribution Yield | 2.93% |
| Beta | 0.99 |
| Average Volume | 7.17M |
| 52-week range | $71.74-$75.23 |
| RSI 14 | 45.25 |
| 50-Day SMA | $72.52 |
| 200-Day SMA | $73.54 |
| Risk Score | 95/100 |
| Momentum Score | 38/100 |
| Value Exposure Score | 36/100 |
BND
OverviewBND ETF Analysis Summary
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 95/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, BND has AIQ Score of 57/100 with Risk resilience base of 95/100 and fading Value at 36/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Risk resilience (95/100) leads while Value (36/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · 0.03% ETF move · BND classified in Asset Management - Bonds.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is BND Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
BND currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 95/100, while Value is weakest at 36/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 75/100.
- - Risk Resilience is supportive at 95/100.
- - Value is the current constraint at 36/100.
- - Momentum is weak at 38/100.
- - Price is -2.17% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (35 vs 3).
Current Consensus
BND's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 3 buy, 7 neutral, and 35 sell votes. BND's 14-day RSI is 45.25, which places the ETF in a neutral momentum range. BND's beta is 0.99, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.
What Changed in BND?
Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.
What Would Change the BND Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, risk resilience improves, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, distribution or liquidity context deteriorates, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive market-context evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
BND Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF.
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) ETF Analysis
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF has an AIQ Score of 57/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 95/100. Beta is 0.99, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | BND is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 57/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that risk leads at 95/100 while value lags at 36/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 38/100 · Value 36/100 · Quality 75/100 · Risk 95/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Risk is the strongest factor at 95/100.
Momentum is 38/100 and RSI (14) is 45.2.
BND is in a Neutral regime at 57/100.
Risk factor is 95/100 with beta 0.99 and annual volatility 3.88%.
Current conflict: risk leads at 95/100 while value lags at 36/100.
BND Research Cluster
ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.
BND ETF Analytics
BND holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.
BND Technical Analysis
BND technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
BND ETF Market Context
Track BND market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.
BND Distribution Analysis
BND distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.
BND ETF Data
BND available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.
BND Risk Analysis
BND volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
BND ETF News
BND ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
BND vs Bond ETF Peers
Current peer cohort: BND · AGG · TLT · BNDX · BSV. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND Current ETF | 57/100 | 36/100 | 38/100 | 95/100 | -1.69 | 3.88% | Current |
| AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 59/100 | 45/100 | 38/100 | 95/100 | -1.63 | 4.00% | BND vs AGG |
| TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 56/100 | 45/100 | 48/100 | 55/100 | -0.99 | 9.55% | BND vs TLT |
| BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 54/100 | 36/100 | 36/100 | 83/100 | -1.8 | 4.20% | BND vs BNDX |
| BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF | 49/100 | 36/100 | 27/100 | 76/100 | -2.85 | 2.09% | BND vs BSV |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 4, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current ETF evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Valuation exposure across the fund's holdings.
Quality context inferred from fund exposure and available evidence.
Trend, momentum, volume, and timing confirmation.
Resilience, volatility, beta, drawdown, and tail risk.
News and event pressure around the setup.
Open the return calculator with ETF context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalystsNo quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.
Checked Sep 5, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
ETF Analytics Snapshot
Current ETF evidence uses fund profile, cost, size, distribution, momentum, and risk fields.
ETF pages use fund-native profile fields for cost, size, liquidity, holdings breadth, NAV, issuer, and launch date.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching BND
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for BND
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
BND ETF FAQ
What is BND ETF price today?
BND is currently shown at $71.95. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.
What is BND's 52-week high and low?
BND's 52-week range is $71.74 to $75.23 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.
Does BND pay a dividend?
BND's current distribution yield is 2.93% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.
What should investors compare before buying BND?
Compare BND's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.