Stock Analysis
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock Analysis
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) currently has an AIQ Score of 66/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 80/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 54/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
CF at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $116.30 |
| AIQ Score | 66/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Sell |
| Market Cap | $20.83B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 10.03 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $4.74 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $2.22B |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 1.55% |
| Beta | 0.4 |
| Volume | 2.62M |
| 52-week range | $75.42-$141.96 |
| RSI 14 | 54.44 |
| 50-Day SMA | $123.35 |
| 200-Day SMA | $114.99 |
| Analyst Price Target | $127.45 |
| Next Earnings | Nov 4, 2026 |
CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Basic Materials / Agricultural Inputs
Leader
Sector Leader
Latest quote
- Momentum54
- Value64
- Quality80
- Risk resilience59
- Sentiment—
CF Stock Analysis Summary
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) currently has an AIQ Score of 66/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 80/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 54/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, CF has AIQ Score of 66/100 with Quality base of 80/100 and fading Momentum at 54/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Quality (80/100) leads while Momentum (54/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Basic Materials · -1.38% stock move · CF classified in Agricultural Inputs.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is CF Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
CF currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 80/100, while Momentum is weakest at 54/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 80/100.
- - Analyst target implies +9.59% upside from the latest quote.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (26 vs 11).
Current Consensus
CF's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 11 buy, 8 neutral, and 26 sell votes. CF's 14-day RSI is 54.44, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. CF's beta is 0.4, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in CF?
The largest recent change in CF is Risk Resilience moving up by 3.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the CF Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
CF Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for CF Industries Holdings, Inc..
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock Analysis
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 66/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 80/100. Beta is 0.4, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | CF is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 66/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that quality leads at 80/100 while momentum lags at 54/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 54/100 · Value 64/100 · Quality 80/100 · Risk 59/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Quality is the strongest factor at 80/100.
Momentum is 54/100 and RSI (14) is 54.4.
CF is in a Neutral regime at 66/100.
Risk factor is 59/100 with beta 0.4 and annual volatility 42.84%.
Current conflict: quality leads at 80/100 while momentum lags at 54/100.
CF Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
CF Fundamentals
CF valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
CF Technical Analysis
CF technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
CF Stock Catalysts
Track CF earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
CF Dividend Analysis
CF dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
CF Financial Data
CF revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
CF Risk Analysis
CF volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
CF Stock News
CF stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
CF vs Chemicals Peers
Current peer cohort: CF · CTVA · DD · DOW · ECL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Current stock | 66/100 | 64/100 | 54/100 | 59/100 | 0.89 | 42.84% | Current |
| CTVA Corteva | 47/100 | 46/100 | 45/100 | 41/100 | -0.67 | 89.13% | CF vs CTVA |
| DD DuPont de Nemours | 56/100 | 50/100 | 66/100 | 79/100 | 0.94 | 30.17% | CF vs DD |
| DOW Dow Inc | 54/100 | 65/100 | 73/100 | 62/100 | 0.91 | 43.28% | CF vs DOW |
| ECL Ecolab | 55/100 | 30/100 | 81/100 | 70/100 | 0.06 | 21.54% | CF vs ECL |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 21, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching CF
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for CF
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
CF Stock FAQ
What is CF stock price today?
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s current stock price is $116.30. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is CF bullish or bearish right now?
CF's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is CF's market cap?
CF's market cap is $20.83B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is CF's current P/E ratio?
CF's current P/E ratio is 10.03 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is CF's RSI?
CF's 14-day RSI is 54.44 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is CF above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
CF is -5.72% from its 50-day SMA and 1.14% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is CF's next earnings date?
CF's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does CF pay a dividend?
CF's dividend yield is 1.55% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.