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CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock Analysis

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

CF Stock Analysis Summary

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) currently has an AIQ Score of 72/100, indicating a bullish setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 82/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 52/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 1, 2026 · Market-close data

CF at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$135.60
AIQ Score72/100
Overall ViewBullish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$18.1B
P/E Ratio8.47
Forward P/E
EPS$4.74
Revenue TTM$2.22B
Dividend Yield2.00%
Beta0.4
Volume3.84M
52-week range$75.42-$141.96
RSI 1474.55
50-Day SMA$119.19
200-Day SMA$107.27
Analyst Price Target$126.82
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Sep 1, 2026 · Market close

CF

Overview
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Basic Materials· Agricultural Inputs
AIQ Score
BullishAIQ Edge 10/10
Leader
Sector Leader
Score data as of Sep 1, 2026
Last price
$135.60
+$5.57 (+4.28%)
Latest market quote
Momentum82
Value66
Quality80
Risk Resilience52
Sentiment
View financial data

CF Stock Analysis Summary

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) currently has an AIQ Score of 72/100/100, indicating a bullish setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 82/100/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 52/100/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 1, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Constructive

In a bullish regime, CF has AIQ Score of 72/100 with Momentum base of 82/100 and fading Risk resilience at 52/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (82/100) leads while Risk resilience (52/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Basic Materials · 4.28% stock move · CF classified in Agricultural Inputs.

Current Evidence

BullishCF is in a bullish AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 82/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is CF Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

CF currently has a bullish overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 82/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 52/100. The current evidence suggests a constructive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 80/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 82/100.
  • - Price is +13.77% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (38 vs 6).
Bear Case
  • - Analyst target implies -6.47% downside from the latest quote.

Current Consensus

CF's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 38 buy, 1 neutral, and 6 sell votes. CF's 14-day RSI is 74.55, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. CF's beta is 0.4, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in CF?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. The page still shows the latest market-close evidence and timestamps.

AIQ Score
Momentum
Quality
Risk

What Would Change the CF Outlook?

The current bullish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

CF Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

CF Fundamentals

CF valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$2.22B
Net income
$727M
Free cash flow
$607M
View full CF fundamental analysis

CF Technical Analysis

CF technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
74.55
Price vs SMA-50
+13.77%
View full CF technical analysis

CF Stock Catalysts

Track CF earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$126.82
News items
3
View CF earnings and stock catalysts

CF Dividend Analysis

CF dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.00%
Annual dividend
$2.00
Payout ratio
View CF dividend history and analysis

CF Financial Data

CF revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$2.22B
EPS
$4.74
Periods
8
View CF financials

CF Risk Analysis

CF volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.4
Risk score
52/100
AIQ Score
72/100
View CF risk analysis

CF Stock News

CF stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
3
Updated
Sep 2, 2026
Sentiment
Read CF stock news

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 1, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 2, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Value and quality should explain the score, not sit behind it.

P/E
8.71
As of Sep 1, 2026
Revenue growth
11.88%
Gross margin
42.54%
Debt / equity
0.63
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$2.22B
Quarter net income
$727M
Quarter free cash flow
$607M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
74.55
MACD
3.08

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
52/100
Beta
0.4
Annual volatility
42.64%
Max drawdown
-25.75%
Recent News
See all news
Sentiment —
No recent news found for CF

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock Analysis

Snapshot summary of AIQ score, trend, and risk context.

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 72/100 in a Bullish regime. Momentum is strongest at 82/100.

The main conflict is that momentum leads at 82/100 while risk lags at 52/100. Review the supporting factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Beta is 0.4, below market sensitivity. Current price is $135.60 and RSI (14) is 74.6.

Regime Context
CF is in a Bullish AIQ regime with score 72/100.
Signal Conflict
The primary conflict is that momentum leads at 82/100 while risk lags at 52/100.
Factor Evidence
Momentum 82/100 · Value 66/100 · Quality 80/100 · Risk 52/100
Persistence
Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.
Factor strength
Pass
Momentum is the strongest factor at 82/100.
Timing
Pass
Momentum is 82/100 and RSI (14) is 74.6.
Regime fit
Pass
CF is in a Bullish regime at 72/100.
Risk control
Wait
Risk factor is 52/100 with beta 0.40 and annual volatility 42.64%.
Conflict
Wait
Current conflict: momentum leads at 82/100 while risk lags at 52/100.
AIQ Score72/100/100
Price$135.60
Beta0.4
RSI (14)74.6

Compare with Similar Stocks

See how CF stacks up against its peers
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Portfolio Implication

CF currently shows balanced but still concentration-sensitive risk. Beta is 0.4, below market sensitivity.

CF Stock FAQ

What is CF stock price today?

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s current stock price is $135.60. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is CF bullish or bearish right now?

CF's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is CF's market cap?

CF's market cap is $18.1B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is CF's current P/E ratio?

CF's current P/E ratio is 8.47 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is CF's RSI?

CF's 14-day RSI is 74.55 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is CF above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

CF is 13.77% from its 50-day SMA and 26.40% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is CF's next earnings date?

CF's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does CF pay a dividend?

CF's dividend yield is 2.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.