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Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Stock Analysis

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

COST Stock Analysis Summary

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) currently has an AIQ Score of 46/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 69/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 32/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 1, 2026 · Market-close data

COST at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$939.96
AIQ Score46/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$418.79B
P/E Ratio47.89
Forward P/E
EPS$4.94
Revenue TTM$70.53B
Dividend Yield5.54%
Beta0.86
Volume1.51M
52-week range$844.06-$1,096.50
RSI 1446.74
50-Day SMA$945.40
200-Day SMA$960.22
Analyst Price Target$1,113.69
Next EarningsSep 24, 2026
As of Sep 1, 2026 · Market close

COST

Overview
Costco Wholesale Corporation
Consumer Defensive· Discount Stores
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 4/10
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Score data as of Sep 1, 2026
Last price
$939.96
-$3.93 (-0.42%)
Latest market quote
Momentum33
Value32
Quality60
Risk Resilience69
Sentiment64
View financial data

COST Stock Analysis Summary

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) currently has an AIQ Score of 46/100/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 69/100/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 32/100/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 1, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, COST has AIQ Score of 46/100 with Risk resilience base of 69/100 and fading Value at 32/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (69/100) leads while Value (32/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Defensive · -0.42% stock move · COST classified in Discount Stores.

Current Evidence

NeutralCOST is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 69/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is COST Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

COST currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 69/100, while Value is weakest at 32/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 60/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 69/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +18.48% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 32/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 33/100.
  • - Price is -2.11% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (34 vs 4).

Current Consensus

COST's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 4 buy, 7 neutral, and 34 sell votes. COST's 14-day RSI is 46.74, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. COST's beta is 0.86, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in COST?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. The page still shows the latest market-close evidence and timestamps.

AIQ Score
Momentum
Quality
Risk

What Would Change the COST Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

COST Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

COST Fundamentals

COST valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$70.53B
Net income
$2.19B
Free cash flow
$2.04B
View full COST fundamental analysis

COST Technical Analysis

COST technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
46.74
Price vs SMA-50
-0.58%
View full COST technical analysis

COST Stock Catalysts

Track COST earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Sep 24, 2026
Analyst target
$1,113.69
News items
4
View COST earnings and stock catalysts

COST Dividend Analysis

COST dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
5.54%
Annual dividend
$5.20
Payout ratio
View COST dividend history and analysis

COST Financial Data

COST revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$70.53B
EPS
$4.94
Periods
8
View COST financials

COST Risk Analysis

COST volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.86
Risk score
69/100
AIQ Score
46/100
View COST risk analysis

COST Stock News

COST stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 2, 2026
Sentiment
64/100
Read COST stock news

Popular COST Comparisons

How COST scores against the names it is most often compared with.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 1, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 2, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Value and quality should explain the score, not sit behind it.

P/E
47.43
As of Sep 1, 2026
Revenue growth
1.34%
Gross margin
12.88%
Debt / equity
0.25
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period May 10, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$70.53B
Quarter net income
$2.19B
Quarter free cash flow
$2.04B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
46.74
MACD
-1.27

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
69/100
Beta
0.86
Annual volatility
19.98%
Max drawdown
-16.57%
Recent News
See all news
Sentiment —
No recent news found for COST

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Stock Analysis

Snapshot summary of AIQ score, trend, and risk context.

Costco Wholesale Corporation has an AIQ Score of 46/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 69/100.

The main conflict is that risk leads at 69/100 while value lags at 32/100. Review the supporting factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Beta is 0.86, below market sensitivity. Current price is $939.96 and RSI (14) is 46.7.

Regime Context
COST is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 46/100.
Signal Conflict
The primary conflict is that risk leads at 69/100 while value lags at 32/100.
Factor Evidence
Momentum 33/100 · Value 32/100 · Quality 60/100 · Risk 69/100 · Sentiment 64/100
Persistence
Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.
Factor strength
Pass
Risk is the strongest factor at 69/100.
Timing
Fail
Momentum is 33/100 and RSI (14) is 46.7.
Regime fit
Wait
COST is in a Neutral regime at 46/100.
Risk control
Pass
Risk factor is 69/100 with beta 0.86 and annual volatility 19.98%.
Conflict
Wait
Current conflict: risk leads at 69/100 while value lags at 32/100.
AIQ Score46/100/100
Price$939.96
Beta0.86
RSI (14)46.7

Compare with Similar Stocks

See how COST stacks up against its peers
Compare Stocks

Portfolio Implication

COST currently shows strong risk resilience. Beta is 0.86, below market sensitivity.

COST Stock FAQ

What is COST stock price today?

Costco Wholesale Corporation's current stock price is $939.96. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is COST bullish or bearish right now?

COST's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is COST's market cap?

COST's market cap is $418.79B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is COST's current P/E ratio?

COST's current P/E ratio is 47.89 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is COST's RSI?

COST's 14-day RSI is 46.74 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is COST above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

COST is -0.58% from its 50-day SMA and -2.11% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is COST's next earnings date?

COST's next earnings date is currently listed as Sep 24, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does COST pay a dividend?

COST's dividend yield is 5.54% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.