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Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) Stock Analysis

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

JEF Stock Analysis Summary

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) currently has an AIQ Score of 45/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 56/100. Sentiment is the weakest current factor at 19/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

JEF at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$51.96
AIQ Score45/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$10.57B
P/E Ratio14.09
Forward P/E
EPS$1.06
Revenue TTM$3.41B
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta1.5
Volume2.14M
52-week range$35.53-$71.04
RSI 1448.29
50-Day SMA$54.36
200-Day SMA$53.52
Analyst Price Target$63.29
Next EarningsOct 5, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close
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JEF

Overview
Jefferies Financial Group Inc.
Financial Services· Financial - Capital Markets
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 3/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$51.96
-$1.97 (-3.65%)
Latest market quote
Momentum41
Value56
Quality39
Risk Resilience43
Sentiment19
View financial data

JEF Stock Analysis Summary

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) currently has an AIQ Score of 45/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 56/100. Sentiment is the weakest current factor at 19/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, JEF has AIQ Score of 45/100 with Value base of 56/100 and fading Sentiment at 19/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Value (56/100) leads while Sentiment (19/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · -3.65% stock move · JEF classified in Financial - Capital Markets.

Current Evidence

NeutralJEF is in a neutral AIQ regime; Value is the strongest visible factor at 56/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is JEF Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

JEF currently has a neutral overall setup. Value is the strongest factor at 56/100, while Sentiment is weakest at 19/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +21.81% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 41/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 43/100.
  • - Price is -2.91% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (33 vs 8).

Current Consensus

JEF's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 8 buy, 4 neutral, and 33 sell votes. JEF's 14-day RSI is 48.29, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. JEF's beta is 1.5, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in JEF?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
45/100
Momentum
41/100
Quality
39/100
Risk
43/100

What Would Change the JEF Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

JEF Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Jefferies Financial Group Inc..

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) Stock Analysis

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. has an AIQ Score of 45/100 in a Neutral regime. Value is strongest at 56/100. Beta is 1.5, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextJEF is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 45/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that value leads at 56/100 while sentiment lags at 19/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 41/100 · Value 56/100 · Quality 39/100 · Risk 43/100 · Sentiment 19/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Value is the strongest factor at 56/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 41/100 and RSI (14) is 48.3.

Regime fitWait

JEF is in a Neutral regime at 45/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 43/100 with beta 1.5 and annual volatility 43.29%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: value leads at 56/100 while sentiment lags at 19/100.

AIQ Score
45/100
Price
$51.96
Beta
1.5
RSI (14)
48.3

JEF Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

JEF Fundamentals

JEF valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$3.41B
Net income
$255.42M
Free cash flow
$1.55B
View full JEF fundamental analysis

JEF Technical Analysis

JEF technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
48.29
Price vs SMA-50
-4.41%
View full JEF technical analysis

JEF Stock Catalysts

Track JEF earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 5, 2026
Analyst target
$63.29
News items
5
View JEF earnings and stock catalysts

JEF Dividend Analysis

JEF dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
3.08%
Annual dividend
$1.60
Payout ratio
View JEF dividend history and analysis

JEF Financial Data

JEF revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$3.41B
EPS
$1.06
Periods
8
View JEF financials

JEF Risk Analysis

JEF volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.5
Risk score
43/100
1Y volatility
43.29%
View JEF risk analysis

JEF Stock News

JEF stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
19/100
Read JEF stock news

JEF vs Asset Management / Exchanges Peers

Current peer cohort: JEF · JLL · KKR · MCO · MKTX. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
JEF
Current stock
45/10056/10041/10043/100-0.4143.29%Current
JLL
Jones Lang LaSalle
53/10068/10015/10054/1000.4135.06%JEF vs JLL
KKR
KKR & Co
34/10030/10023/10055/100-0.7338.93%JEF vs KKR
MCO
Moody's
42/10024/10022/10053/100-0.2228.49%JEF vs MCO
MKTX
MarketAxess
65/10028/10074/10086/100-0.2339.81%JEF vs MKTX
Pairwise Compare links: JLL · KKR · MCO · MKTXJEF vs JLLJEF vs KKRJEF vs MCOJEF vs MKTXCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a JEF stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
14.01
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
18.79%
Gross margin
67.92%
Current debt / equity
3.48
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period May 31, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$3.41B
Quarter net income
$255.42M
Quarter free cash flow
$1.55B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
48.29
MACD
-0.2

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
43/100
Beta
1.5
Annual volatility
43.29%
Max drawdown
-48.81%

JEF Stock FAQ

What is JEF stock price today?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.'s current stock price is $51.96. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is JEF bullish or bearish right now?

JEF's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is JEF's market cap?

JEF's market cap is $10.57B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is JEF's current P/E ratio?

JEF's current P/E ratio is 14.09 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is JEF's RSI?

JEF's 14-day RSI is 48.29 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is JEF above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

JEF is -4.41% from its 50-day SMA and -2.91% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is JEF's next earnings date?

JEF's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 5, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does JEF pay a dividend?

JEF's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.