JEF vs MKTX Stock Comparison

Compare JEF and MKTX across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 11, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 15 points
JEF
Financial Services
vs
MKTX
Financial Services
JEF
Jefferies Financial Group Inc.
Price
$51.96
Day move
-3.65%
AIQ Score
50/100
Best edge
Value
Sector
Financial Services
MKTX
MarketAxess Holdings Inc.
Leads
Price
$163
Day move
-0.06%
AIQ Score
65/100
Best edge
Quality
Sector
Financial Services

What is the main difference between JEF and MKTX?

MKTX leads the current stock comparison as MarketAxess Holdings Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. vs MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

Data as of Sep 11, 2026· market close· Financial Services· Coverage 66/66 fields· High confidence
AIQ VerdictCompetitiveAIQ Comparison Conviction 7/10

MKTX leads

MKTX leads by 15 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, and the lead has widened from 12 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors JEF on target upside.

Competitive: 3 of 6 evidence groups support MKTX, and its lead is widening.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 6Comparison trend: Strengthening
JEF

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

AIQ Score
50/100
AIQ Edge Score
5/10
MKTX

MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
65/100
AIQ Edge Score
10/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors MKTX over JEF, 65 versus 50 as of Sep 11, 2026. MKTX's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while JEF holds the stronger value profile. MKTX also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors JEF. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MKTX today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. MKTX lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 12 to 15 points over 30 sessions.

Compare Jefferies Financial Group Inc. and MarketAxess Holdings Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Price-return comparison using available daily close history.

JEF
+46.4%
MKTX
-62.3%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000

JEF $14,643 · MKTX $3,775

Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

JEF advantage
0
MKTX advantage
  • Quality39 vs 83
    MKTX +44
  • Risk Resilience45 vs 86
    MKTX +41
  • Value56 vs 28
    JEF +28
  • Momentum59 vs 74
    MKTX +15

3 of 6 evidence groups favor MKTX. MKTX’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; JEF keeps a meaningful value edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.

JEF-3 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -11

No new signals fired.

MKTX0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1

No new signals fired.

MKTX's lead widened by 3 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — JEF and MKTX both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

MKTX (MarketAxess Holdings Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.

JEF (Jefferies Financial Group Inc.): the counter-case, on value, valuation, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 24.9% against 2.5%.

The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

MKTX

MKTX on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

JEF

JEF on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

JEF

JEF on the peer-relative Value factor, by 28 points.

Momentum

MKTX

MKTX on the Momentum factor, by 15 points.

Lower downside

MKTX

MKTX on Risk Resilience, by 41 points.

Analyst upside

JEF

JEF on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors MKTX, analyst targets favor JEF. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.

MeasureJEFMKTXNote
Implied upside to target+21.8%-3.6%JEF has more room
Target dispersion+67.9%+55.3%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusHoldHoldContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering56Higher coverage generally improves confidence

The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MKTX. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreMKTX50 vs 65
FundamentalsEvenrevenue growth 18.8% vs -6.4%; EPS growth 47.2% vs -12.7%; TTM ROE 8.5% vs 24.7%; gross margin 67.9% vs 67.5%; operating margin 7.5% vs 40.5%
ValuationJEFValue 56 vs 28
TechnicalsMKTXPrice vs 50-day -4.4% vs 13.2%; vs 200-day 0.7% vs 3.9%
Risk ResilienceMKTXRisk Resilience 45 vs 86
Analyst expectationsJEFTarget upside 21.8% vs -3.6%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of JEF and MKTX and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Competitive

The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

  • The AIQ gap is wide at 15 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on MKTX.

How the comparison changed

119 daily snapshots · May 4 Sep 10

MKTX lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 12 to 15 points over 30 sessions.

May 4JEF leads above the line · MKTX leads belowSep 10
Today
MKTX +15
50 vs 65
7 sessions ago
MKTX +12
52 vs 64
30 sessions ago
MKTX +12
43 vs 55
90 sessions ago
MKTX +15
39 vs 54

The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Jun 25 when MKTX moved ahead of JEF.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

JEF

2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (1.52%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • MACD Bullish Crossover bullish, momentum, short horizon
MKTX

0 bullish / 3 bearish / 2 neutral

  • Death Cross Active bearish, trend, long horizon (9.01%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • RSI Overbought bearish, momentum, short horizon

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

JEFConfirmed weakness

Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -3.65%, AIQ -3 points).

MKTXNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.06%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1JEF closes the Quality gap — currently 44 points behind, the largest single contributor to MKTX's edge.
  2. 2JEF's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
  3. 3MKTX starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricJEFMKTX
Revenue growth (YoY)18.8%-6.4%
EPS growth (YoY)47.2%-12.7%
Gross margin67.9%67.5%
Operating margin7.5%40.5%
Return on equity (TTM)8.5%24.7%
Debt to equity3.480.14

Performance

MKTX leads 4 of 6 windows
MetricJEFMKTX
1 week (5 sessions)1.9%0.2%
1 month (20 sessions)-1.6%0.3%
3 months (63 sessions)-6.9%39.9%
6 months (126 sessions)39.3%-8.9%
Year to date-13%-10%
1 year (252 sessions)-16%-12.9%

Technicals

MKTX has the stronger structure
MetricJEFMKTX
RSI (14)61.578.7
ADX (14)24.367.8
Price vs 50-day-4.4%13.2%
Price vs 200-day0.7%3.9%
Volatility (1M, annualized)24.9%2.5%

Risk

MKTX is the more resilient
MetricJEFMKTX
Beta1.720.08
Sharpe ratio-0.28-0.28
Sortino ratio-0.32-0.59
Max drawdown-48.8%-43.6%
Current drawdown-23.4%-15.8%
Annualized volatility43.2%39.9%
Value at risk (95%)-4.5%-2.8%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, JEF or MKTX?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, MKTX is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 65 against JEF's 50. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. JEF is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is JEF or MKTX the better buy right now?

MKTX carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

Why does the AIQ Score favor MKTX over JEF?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MKTX leads Quality by 44 points; MKTX leads Risk Resilience by 41 points; JEF leads Value by 28 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, JEF or MKTX?

Analyst price targets imply +21.8% upside for JEF and -3.6% for MKTX, so the Street currently favors JEF. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors MKTX. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, JEF or MKTX?

JEF is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. JEF on the peer-relative Value factor, by 28 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, JEF or MKTX?

JEF on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, JEF or MKTX?

MKTX on the Momentum factor, by 15 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, JEF or MKTX?

MKTX is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MKTX on Risk Resilience, by 41 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is JEF more profitable than MKTX?

MKTX leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 67.9% vs 67.5%; operating margin 7.5% vs 40.5%; ttm roe 8.5% vs 24.7%.

Is MKTX's lead over JEF getting stronger or weaker?

MKTX lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 12 to 15 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-06-25, when MKTX moved ahead of JEF.

What would change the JEF vs MKTX verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JEF closes the Quality gap — currently 44 points behind, the largest single contributor to MKTX's edge; JEF's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; MKTX starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about JEF and MKTX?

JEF: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. MKTX: 0 bullish / 3 bearish / 2 neutral. The most decision-relevant rule on JEF is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On MKTX it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).

Compare JEF and MKTX with others

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.