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Catalysts

MPC Stock Catalysts

Earnings · Growth Drivers · Events · AIQ Catalyst

EnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation

Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Relative Leader / Watch

Strong Relative Position

NeutralEdge 8/10
$467.98−$7.06 (−1.49%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    85
  • Value
    59
  • Quality
    48
  • Risk resilience
    45
  • Sentiment
    71
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

Stock Catalyst Board

Earnings timing, analyst expectations, news pressure, growth drivers, events, and AIQ Catalyst context.

Next earnings
Nov 3, 2026

Upcoming reporting date available for this company.

AIQ Catalyst
AIQ 60/100

Momentum 85/100 and sentiment 71/100 before the next covered event.

Recent coverage
3 articles

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Sentiment 33.50%

Earnings History And Surprises

See whether reported EPS and revenue have consistently exceeded or missed analyst expectations.

Earnings Expectations And Results

Compare what analysts expected with what the company reported across recent quarters.

Momentum 85/100AIQ Edge 8/10 Strong Relative Position
Beat rate
100%
3 of 3 reported periods
Average surprise
+65.7%
Across covered historical reports
Latest result
+24.2%
Aug 4, 2026
EPS estimate versus actual
Actual bars are colored by beat, inline result, or miss.
Earnings history
Report dateFiscal periodEPS estimateEPS actualEPS surpriseRevenue estimateRevenue actual
Nov 3, 2026—$21.16——$44.18B—
Aug 4, 2026—$14.27$17.73+24.2%$40.87B$52.34B
May 5, 2026—$0.74$1.65+123.3%$33.42B$34.57B
Feb 3, 2026—$2.72$4.07+49.6%$31.08B$33.42B

Analyst Forecast And Price Targets

Wall Street consensus, rating distribution, and the current 12-month target range.

Analyst ratings
Buy
9
Buy
9
Hold
2
Sell
12-month analyst target
$371.00
-20.72% versus current price
Based on 10 analyst observations. Targets are estimates, not predictions.
Low target
$233.00
-50.21% vs latest price
Average target
$371.00
-20.72% vs latest price
High target
$560.00
+19.66% vs latest price

Event Read

Catalysts should explain what can change the setup, when it might happen, and which AIQ component would move first.

Current event setup

Event dateNov 3, 2026

Next known earnings or reporting date.

EPS estimate$25.38

Current analyst expectation for the upcoming report.

Revenue estimate$46.61B

Current analyst expectation for the upcoming report.

Sentiment score71

News pressure around the setup.

Momentum score85

Where event reaction would show up first.

AIQ score60/100

Composite decision read before event confirmation.

Analyst context

Consensus
Buy
Analysts
10
Average target
$371.00
Target upside
-20.72%
Target range
$233.00 - $560.00
90-day revisions
13

News And Sentiment

Recent company coverage, scored where source sentiment is available.

Positive
2
Neutral
1
Negative
0
zacks.com · Oct 20, 2026

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Zacks.com users have recently been watching Marathon Petroleum (MPC) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.

seekingalpha.com · Oct 20, 2026

Marathon Petroleum: Booming Profits From A Long-Term Structural Bull Market (NYSE:MPC)

Marathon is the largest American refiner and is perfectly positioned to generate huge profits from the long-term secular bull market in refined products. Learn more about MPC stock here.

seekingalpha.com · Oct 15, 2026

Marathon Petroleum: A Solid Hedge Vs. Diesel's Damage (NYSE:MPC)

Marathon Petroleum is rated a Hold as investors pay attention to near-term guidance given the ensuing diesel scarcity. Click to read more on the MPC stock.

Open full news and sentiment

MPC Catalysts FAQ

What are the next catalysts for MPC stock?

MPC's next stock catalysts can include earnings, guidance, analyst ratings, price-target changes, estimate revisions, product updates, regulatory events, contracts, or sector developments. Use this page to connect those events with AIQ and market context.

What upcoming events could move MPC stock?

Upcoming events that could move MPC include earnings reports, management commentary, estimate changes, major news, and market-wide sector catalysts.

How could MPC's next earnings report affect the stock?

MPC's next earnings report could affect the stock by changing revenue expectations, EPS estimates, guidance, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, and momentum.

What could drive MPC stock higher?

MPC could move higher if earnings, guidance, demand trends, analyst expectations, or AIQ momentum improve relative to what the market already expects.

What events could hurt MPC stock?

MPC could be hurt by weaker guidance, negative estimate revisions, margin pressure, adverse news, regulatory issues, or a sector-wide risk-off move.