ORLY vs PTON Stock Comparison
PTON currently leads ORLY in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 51 vs 50. The clearest difference is value, while ORLY has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between ORLY and PTON?
PTON leads the current stock comparison as Peloton Interactive, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. vs Peloton Interactive, Inc.
PTON leads
PTON leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Value.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support PTON, and its current signal state is conflicted.
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Peloton Interactive, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors PTON over ORLY, 51 versus 50 as of Oct 21, 2026. PTON's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value, while ORLY holds the stronger risk resilience profile. PTON also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PTON today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. PTON lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.
Compare O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. and Peloton Interactive, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price return from daily closes; distributions are not included.
Price return comparison
Growth of $10,000, price only
Split-adjusted closes only. Distributions are excluded, which understates the return of any fund or stock that pays them.
Compare ORLY and PTON against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience52 vs 30ORLY +22
- Value27 vs 39PTON +12
- Quality53 vs 54Even
- Momentum74 vs 75Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor PTON. PTON’s edge is concentrated in value; ORLY keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +5
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +14
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
The lead changed hands: PTON moved ahead of ORLY in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ORLY and PTON both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
PTON (Peloton Interactive, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value.
ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
PTONPTON on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
PTONPTON on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
PTONPTON on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
ORLYORLY on Risk Resilience, by 22 points.
Analyst upside
PTONPTON on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ORLY | PTON | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +20.9% | +30.3% | PTON has more room |
| Target dispersion | +19.5% | +80.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 2 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PTON. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 50 vs 51 |
| Fundamentals | PTONon balance | revenue growth 7.3% vs -3.7%; EPS growth 20.8% vs 127.3%; TTM ROE -232.4% vs -20.6%; gross margin 51.6% vs 52.6%; operating margin 19.6% vs 7.6% — PTON takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | PTON | Value 27 vs 39 |
| Technicals | PTON | Price vs 50-day 2% vs 1.6%; vs 200-day -0.7% vs 3.3% |
| Risk Resilience | ORLY | Risk Resilience 52 vs 30 |
| Analyst expectations | PTON | Target upside 20.9% vs 30.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ORLY and PTON and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on PTON.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20PTON lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- PTON +1
- 50 vs 51
- 7 sessions ago
- PTON +3
- 48 vs 51
- 30 sessions ago
- Level
- 42 vs 42
- 90 sessions ago
- ORLY +7
- 44 vs 37
The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Oct 20 when PTON moved ahead of ORLY.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only ORLY
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only PTON
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.81%)
Both carry 4 more signals that do not separate them: Death Cross Active, BB Upper Band Breach, Keltner Channel Breakout, MACD Bullish Crossover.
PTON leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.91%, AIQ +1 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 3 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -3.85%, AIQ +3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ORLY closes the Value gap — currently 12 points behind, the largest single contributor to PTON's edge.
- 2ORLY's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3PTON's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
PTON leads on balance| Metric | ORLY | PTON |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 7.3% | -3.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 20.8% | 127.3% |
| Gross margin | 51.6% | 52.6% |
| Operating margin | 19.6% | 7.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -232.4% | -20.6% |
| Debt to equity | -5.22 | -12.24 |
Performance
ORLY leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | ORLY | PTON |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 4.6% | 4.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 4.9% | 8.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4% | -12.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -4% | 9% |
| Year to date | -1.3% | -11.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -11% | -27.5% |
Technicals
PTON has the stronger structure| Metric | ORLY | PTON |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 72.3 | 65.8 |
| ADX (14) | 20.4 | 18.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 2% | 1.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -0.7% | 3.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 14% | 44.3% |
Risk
ORLY is the more resilient| Metric | ORLY | PTON |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.05 | 1.49 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.49 | -0.29 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.76 | -0.36 |
| Max drawdown | -18.6% | -52.8% |
| Current drawdown | -11.5% | -30.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 25.9% | 59.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.6% | -5.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ORLY or PTON?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, PTON is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 51 against ORLY's 50. The edge comes from value. ORLY is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ORLY or PTON the better buy right now?
PTON carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor PTON over ORLY?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ORLY leads Risk Resilience by 22 points; PTON leads Value by 12 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ORLY or PTON?
Analyst price targets imply +20.9% upside for ORLY and +30.3% for PTON, so the Street currently favors PTON. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ORLY or PTON?
PTON is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. PTON on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ORLY or PTON?
PTON on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ORLY or PTON?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ORLY or PTON?
ORLY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ORLY on Risk Resilience, by 22 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ORLY more profitable than PTON?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 51.6% vs 52.6%; operating margin 19.6% vs 7.6%; ttm roe -232.4% vs -20.6%. ORLY leads on one measure and PTON on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is PTON's lead over ORLY getting stronger or weaker?
PTON lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-20, when PTON moved ahead of ORLY.
What would change the ORLY vs PTON verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ORLY closes the Value gap — currently 12 points behind, the largest single contributor to PTON's edge; ORLY's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; PTON's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ORLY and PTON?
ORLY: 2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. PTON: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ORLY is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On PTON it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare ORLY and PTON with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.