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Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Stock Analysis

Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

PAYX Stock Analysis Summary

Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) currently has an AIQ Score of 63/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 81/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 45/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

PAYX at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$121.71
AIQ Score63/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusNeutral
Market Cap$44.69B
P/E Ratio22.8
Forward P/E
EPS$1.18
Revenue TTM$1.61B
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta0.8
Volume1.84M
52-week range$85.45-$138.19
RSI 1458.41
50-Day SMA$116.37
200-Day SMA$104.03
Analyst Price Target$107.00
Next EarningsSep 29, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

PAYX

Overview
Paychex, Inc.
Industrials· Staffing & Employment Services
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 10/10
Relative Leader / Watch
Sector Leader
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$121.71
-$3.37 (-2.69%)
Latest market quote
Momentum66
Value45
Quality81
Risk Resilience59
Sentiment
View financial data

PAYX Stock Analysis Summary

Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) currently has an AIQ Score of 63/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 81/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 45/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, PAYX has AIQ Score of 63/100 with Quality base of 81/100 and fading Value at 45/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (81/100) leads while Value (45/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Industrials · -2.69% stock move · PAYX classified in Staffing & Employment Services.

Current Evidence

NeutralPAYX is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 81/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is PAYX Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

PAYX currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 81/100, while Value is weakest at 45/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 81/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 66/100.
  • - Price is +4.59% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (19 vs 18).
Bear Case
  • - Analyst target implies -12.09% downside from the latest quote.

Current Consensus

PAYX's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 19 buy, 8 neutral, and 18 sell votes. PAYX's 14-day RSI is 58.41, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. PAYX's beta is 0.8, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in PAYX?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
63/100
Momentum
66/100
Quality
81/100
Risk
59/100

What Would Change the PAYX Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

PAYX Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Paychex, Inc..

Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Stock Analysis

Paychex, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 63/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 81/100. Beta is 0.8, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextPAYX is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 63/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 81/100 while value lags at 45/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 66/100 · Value 45/100 · Quality 81/100 · Risk 59/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 81/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 66/100 and RSI (14) is 58.4.

Regime fitWait

PAYX is in a Neutral regime at 63/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 59/100 with beta 0.8 and annual volatility 28.06%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 81/100 while value lags at 45/100.

AIQ Score
63/100
Price
$121.71
Beta
0.8
RSI (14)
58.4

PAYX Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

PAYX Fundamentals

PAYX valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.61B
Net income
$420.6M
Free cash flow
$515M
View full PAYX fundamental analysis

PAYX Technical Analysis

PAYX technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Neutral
RSI 14
58.41
Price vs SMA-50
+4.59%
View full PAYX technical analysis

PAYX Stock Catalysts

Track PAYX earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Sep 29, 2026
Analyst target
$107.00
News items
4
View PAYX earnings and stock catalysts

PAYX Dividend Analysis

PAYX dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
3.73%
Annual dividend
$4.54
Payout ratio
View PAYX dividend history and analysis

PAYX Financial Data

PAYX revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.61B
EPS
$1.18
Periods
8
View PAYX financials

PAYX Risk Analysis

PAYX volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.8
Risk score
59/100
1Y volatility
28.06%
View PAYX risk analysis

PAYX Stock News

PAYX stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 5, 2026
Sentiment
Read PAYX stock news

PAYX vs IT Services & Consulting Peers

Current peer cohort: PAYX · TRMB · TYL · VRSN · WIT. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
PAYX
Current stock
63/10045/10066/10059/100-0.4328.06%Current
TRMB
Trimble Inc
61/10067/10067/10052/100-0.8832.00%PAYX vs TRMB
TYL
Tyler Technologies
61/10049/10089/10053/100-0.9240.94%PAYX vs TYL
VRSN
VeriSign
57/10040/10079/10047/1000.1928.79%PAYX vs VRSN
WIT
Wipro
53/10072/10028/10057/100-0.844.13%PAYX vs WIT
Pairwise Compare links: TRMB · TYL · VRSN · WITPAYX vs TRMBPAYX vs TYLPAYX vs VRSNPAYX vs WITCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 4, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a PAYX stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 5, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
25.59
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
-11.24%
Gross margin
74.29%
Current debt / equity
1.24
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period May 31, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.61B
Quarter net income
$420.6M
Quarter free cash flow
$515M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
58.41
MACD
2.37

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
59/100
Beta
0.8
Annual volatility
28.06%
Max drawdown
-37.69%

PAYX Stock FAQ

What is PAYX stock price today?

Paychex, Inc.'s current stock price is $121.71. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is PAYX bullish or bearish right now?

PAYX's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is PAYX's market cap?

PAYX's market cap is $44.69B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is PAYX's current P/E ratio?

PAYX's current P/E ratio is 22.8 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is PAYX's RSI?

PAYX's 14-day RSI is 58.41 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is PAYX above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

PAYX is 4.59% from its 50-day SMA and 17.00% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is PAYX's next earnings date?

PAYX's next earnings date is currently listed as Sep 29, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does PAYX pay a dividend?

PAYX's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.